Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ARX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARX in Gekko
NYSE: ARX
Accelerant (ARX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$19.74−0.01 (−0.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's news centers on Accelerant's comparison against peer Hagerty (HGTY) across earnings, profitability, analyst recommendations, dividends, risk, valuation and institutional ownership, alongside the expiration of the company's "go-shop" period, a milestone tied to a pending deal process.
Accelerant closes at $19.74, little changed on the day, and sits above both its 50-day average of $17.27 and 200-day average of $14.53, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock has climbed 56.3% over three months and 51.7% over six months, and trades near its 52-week high of $19.90. The GekkoIndex reads 50.3, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 6.7 over five days. Price sits essentially in line with Gekko Fair Value of $19.76, a gap of just -0.1%.
Accelerant's next earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 17 July showed EPS of $0.32 against a $0.16 estimate, with a -2.7% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of its last quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst coverage from 6 firms shows 1 buy, 4 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $23.50 implying 19% upside. Two billionaire holders are noted among current positions.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Accelerant price vs fair value
Close $19.74200-day averageGekko Fair Value $19.76
Accelerant quick facts
- Market cap
- $4.31B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 22.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$6.30
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.07B
- Profit margin
- -127.5%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- —
- Volume
- 904,607 avg 1.73M
- 1-year return
- +26.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±0.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±16%
- 50-day average
- $17.27
- 200-day average
- $14.53
- Next earnings
- Nov 11
- Shares outstanding
- 118.5M
Accelerant swing-trade checklist
Accelerant scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $19.74 is above the 50-day ($17.27) and 200-day ($14.53) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
50.3, Neutral
Reading 50.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
0.1% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.1% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 43 days
Next report Nov 11, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Accelerant stock chart and price history
Accelerant closed at $19.74 on Sep 28, 2026, +26.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.18 to $19.90.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +0.3%
- 3 months
- +56.3%
- 6 months
- +51.7%
- 1 year
- +26.3%
The full ARX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARX in Gekko
Follow Accelerant through every session
Put ARX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track ARX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Accelerant
Accelerant runs a risk exchange that links specialty insurance underwriters with partners who supply risk capital, using a shared platform built on technology and data. Through this exchange, chosen underwriting members can access capital and services designed to support the placement and management of specialty insurance business. The company is known for this exchange model rather than for selling insurance directly to the public, and its focus falls on small-to-medium sized commercial clients across the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia and the United Kingdom.
The business is organised into three parts. Exchange Services covers the platform itself, including the technology, data handling and agency work that supports members and capital partners, with capital partners paying a fixed, volume-based fee for having their business sourced and monitored. MGA Operations reflects fees earned by members for originating and underwriting policies, net of the costs of providing those services. Underwriting covers the writing of insurance and reinsurance policies through the company's own consolidated insurers, giving current and prospective capital partners a route into the portfolio.
Accelerant was founded in 2018 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ARX.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Property/Casualty insurance
- Website
- accelerant.ai
Accelerant GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Accelerant’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.3, in the Neutral zone, up 6.7 points over five sessions.
50.3Neutral
Up 6.7 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 28 | −3.2% | −9.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 104 | +1.8% | +5.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 137 | −0.1% | −1.4% | ||
| Distribution | 20 | −4.1% | −5.2% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ARX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARX price, zone by zone.Track ARX in Gekko
Is Accelerant stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Accelerant trades 0.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.76, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Accelerant shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$19.76
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
0.1% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARX in Gekko
Accelerant insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Accelerant, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ARX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ARX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARX in Gekko
Buybacks
Accelerant has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $70.40M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.63%
- Trailing four quarters
- $433.2M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold ARX.
0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Accelerant earnings: next date and track record
Accelerant reports on Nov 11, 2026 (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 6 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 11, 2026
43 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.20
- Revenue estimate
- $268.6M
6 of 6reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.4%average move across the report
3 of 5reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | $0.32 est $0.16 | — | −2.7% |
| May 13, 2026 | $0.17 est $0.16 | $273.3M est $244.6M | +8.3% |
| Mar 18, 2026 | $0.23 est $0.22 | $248.4M est $252.4M | +4.7% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $0.39 est $0.21 | $267.4M est $253.5M | +9.7% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.13 | $204.2M est $239.0M | −31.5% |
| May 28, 2025 | $2.65 est $0.00 | $170.7M | — |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Accelerant stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Accelerant is $23.50, +19.0% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$23.50consensus 12-month target, +19.0% from the last close
Now $19.74Avg $23.50
Low $12High $30
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Raymond James | $12 | −39.2% |
| Aug 20 | TD Cowen | $30 | +52.0% |
| Aug 17 | Raymond James | — | — |
| Aug 15 | William Blair | — | — |
| Aug 14 | RBC Capital | $20.25 | +2.6% |
−1.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±0.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Accelerant market cap and key statistics
Accelerant’s market cap is $4.31B and revenue of $1.07B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $4.31B
- Forward P/E
- 22.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$6.30
- Gekko Fair Value
- $19.76
Trading
- Volume
- 904,607
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.73M
- 52-week high
- $19.90
- 52-week low
- $9.18
- Shares outstanding
- 118.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.07B
- Profit margin
- -127.5%
- Return on equity
- -222%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +800.0%
Risk and income
- Typical daily move
- ±0.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±16%
Accelerant stock news this week
2 headlines about Accelerant from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Hagerty (NYSE:HGTY) versus Accelerant (NYSE:ARX) Financial AnalysisDefense World, Sep 24
- Accelerant Announces Expiration of “Go-Shop” PeriodBusiness Wire, Sep 23
Accelerant peers
Accelerant’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Accumulation | 3.7% below |
| BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| CBChubb | Accumulation | 6.2% below |
| TRVTravelers Companies | Accumulation | 1.3% below |
| HIGHartford Insurance | Buying | 11.4% below |
| LLoews | Buying | 15.3% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Accelerant stock FAQ
What is Accelerant’s market cap?
Accelerant’s market cap is $4.31B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.74, with 118.5M shares outstanding.
What is the Accelerant stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Accelerant is $23.50, +19.0% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Accelerant stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Accelerant is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $19.74 is 0.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Accelerant report earnings next?
Accelerant is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026 (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $268.6M. Accelerant beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 6 reports, moving 11.4% on average across the report.
What is Accelerant’s 52-week high and low?
Accelerant’s 52-week high is $19.90 and its 52-week low is $9.18; it closed at $19.74 on Sep 28, 2026, +26.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $31.18 on Jul 25, 2025.
Is Accelerant stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Accelerant the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.