Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AXS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AXS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AXS in Gekko
NYSE: AXS
Axis Capital (AXS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$94.450.00 (0.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's activity centers on Axis Capital's dividend calendar and continued attention to its longer-term valuation. The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.44 per share, with the stock going ex-dividend on September 30th and payment set for October 15th. Separate coverage revisits AXS's 132.1% share price gain over the past five years, questioning whether current valuation reflects its earnings power, alongside a community initiative launched with Denver Arts & Venues.
AXS closed at $94.45, sitting below both its 50-day average of $102.26 and 200-day average of $102.75, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. Shares are down 4.6% over one month, 13.2% over three months, and roughly flat over the past year at -0.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 70.1, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 5.4 over the past five sessions. Price sits 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $110.84.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS miss ($2.84 actual versus $3.23 estimate) with a 2.4% reaction, and AXS has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonality over five years shows a 1.1% average return across the next 20 trading days, positive in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 6 buy and 3 hold ratings among 9 firms, with a consensus target of $123.09.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Axis Capital price vs fair value
Close $94.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $110.84
Axis Capital quick facts
- Market cap
- $6.89B
- P/E ratio
- 6.8
- Forward P/E
- 7.3
- EPS, TTM
- $13.95
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.81B
- Profit margin
- 16.2%
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
- Beta
- 0.49
- Volume
- 696,323 avg 636,772
- 1-year return
- −0.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.8%
- 50-day average
- $102.26
- 200-day average
- $102.75
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 72.97M
Axis Capital swing-trade checklist
Axis Capital scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $94.45 is below the 50-day ($102.26) and 200-day ($102.75) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70.1, Buying
Reading 70.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.8% below
Price is 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+1.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Axis Capital stock chart and price history
Axis Capital closed at $94.45 on Sep 28, 2026, −0.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $88.07 to $119.99.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.6%
- 3 months
- −13.2%
- 6 months
- −4.5%
- 1 year
- −0.1%
The full AXS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AXS in Gekko
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About Axis Capital
Axis Capital underwrites a broad set of insurance and reinsurance coverages for clients facing complex risks. Its policies touch areas such as property damage, marine exposures, terrorism, aviation, political instability, professional liability, general liability, accident, and health, making it a source of protection for organizations across several specialty fields. The company has built its identity around covering this wide mix of risk categories.
Its work is split between two operating divisions. One writes the direct insurance policies covering the risk types noted above, while the other supplies reinsurance, taking on non-life treaty business from other insurers looking to share their risk exposure. Through these two arms, the company serves both end policyholders indirectly and insurance carriers directly.
Axis Capital traces its founding to December 9, 2002, and keeps its main offices in Pembroke, Bermuda. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker AXS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Multi-line insurance
- Website
- axiscapital.com
Axis Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Axis Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.1, in the Buying zone, up 5.4 points over five sessions.
70.1Buying
Up 5.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Accumulation | 176 | +0.9% | +3.0% | ||
| Neutral | 436 | +0.4% | +1.6% | ||
| Distribution | 52 | −1.6% | −1.8% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AXS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AXS price, zone by zone.Track AXS in Gekko
Is Axis Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Axis Capital trades 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $110.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Axis Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$110.84
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
14.8% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AXS in Gekko
Axis Capital insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Axis Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AXS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AXS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AXS in Gekko
Buybacks
Axis Capital has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $38.80M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.56%
- Trailing four quarters
- $496.1M
From company filings.
Axis Capital earnings: next date and track record
Axis Capital reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.82
- Revenue estimate
- $1.69B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- AXIS Capital reported Q2 2026 results with 14.3% annualized operating ROE and 15% year-over-year growth in diluted book value per share (15th consecutive quarter). Combined ratio was 93% with gross written premiums of $2.7 billion, up 6% YoY. Insurance segment posted $2.2 billion in premiums (up 15%) with a 90% combined ratio. The company absorbed $31 million in Iran conflict losses and $49 million in SCS catastrophe losses.
- Guidance
- AXIS expects AXIS Capacity Solutions fee income to reach approximately $17 million for the full year, up from ~$4 million in Q2. Management is cycle-managing the reinsurance portfolio, reducing premiums by 25% in liability and professional lines amid softening market conditions.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | $2.84 est $3.23 | $1.75B est $1.74B | +2.4% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $3.29 est $3.38 | $1.64B est $1.72B | +0.1% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $3.25 est $3.12 | $1.73B est $1.63B | +1.5% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $3.25 est $2.72 | $1.60B est $1.45B | +5.0% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $3.29 est $2.88 | $1.63B est $1.32B | −2.7% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $3.17 est $2.64 | $1.47B est $1.83B | +0.6% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $2.97 est $2.58 | $1.58B est $1.78B | +2.6% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $2.71 est $2.54 | $1.52B est $1.50B | −2.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Axis Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Axis Capital is $123.09, +30.3% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$123.09consensus 12-month target, +30.3% from the last close
Now $94.45Avg $123.09
Low $108High $130
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Mizuho Securities | $118 | +24.9% |
| Aug 4 | KBW | $125 | +32.3% |
| Aug 3 | UBS | $126 | +33.4% |
| Aug 3 | Mizuho Securities | $130 | +37.6% |
| Jul 30 | Wells Fargo | $126 | +33.4% |
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Axis Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Axis Capital averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.1% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.0% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, AXS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.
Axis Capital market cap and key statistics
Axis Capital’s market cap is $6.89B, with a P/E ratio of 6.8 and revenue of $6.81B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $6.89B
- P/E ratio
- 6.8
- Forward P/E
- 7.3
- EPS, TTM
- $13.95
- Gekko Fair Value
- $110.84
Trading
- Volume
- 696,323
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 636,772
- 52-week high
- $119.99
- 52-week low
- $88.07
- Shares outstanding
- 72.97M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.81B
- Profit margin
- 16.2%
- Return on equity
- 17.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +24.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.49
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.85%
Axis Capital stock news this week
4 headlines about Axis Capital from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) To Go Ex-Dividend on September 30thDefense World, Sep 28
- Is AXIS Capital Holdings (AXS) Still A Bargain After A 132% Run?Simply Wall Street, Sep 27
- AXS and Denver Arts & Venues Launch Beyond AXS Community Initiative in DenverBusiness Wire, Sep 24
- AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) Latest Stock News & Headlines - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 22
Axis Capital peers
Axis Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PGRProgressive | Accumulation | 5.2% below |
| MFCManulife Financial | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| METMetLife | Neutral | 4.2% below |
| ALLAllstate | Buying | 13.8% below |
| AFLAFLAC | Accumulation | 4.8% below |
| SLFSun Life Financial | Neutral | 7.1% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Axis Capital stock FAQ
What is Axis Capital’s market cap?
Axis Capital’s market cap is $6.89B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $94.45, with 72.97M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.8.
What is the Axis Capital stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Axis Capital is $123.09, +30.3% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Axis Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Axis Capital is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $94.45 is 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $110.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Axis Capital report earnings next?
Axis Capital is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.82 per share on revenue of $1.69B. Axis Capital beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.
What is Axis Capital’s 52-week high and low?
Axis Capital’s 52-week high is $119.99 and its 52-week low is $88.07; it closed at $94.45 on Sep 28, 2026, −0.1% over the past year.
Is Axis Capital stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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