Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HG in Gekko
NYSE: HG
Hamilton Insurance (HG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$34.86+0.34 (+1.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeHamilton Insurance draws comparison this week to peer performance within the finance sector, alongside a note on its recent daily trading move, which put shares at $35.1, up 2.27% on the day. No deal, guidance or regulatory news accompanies these items, and attention otherwise centers on the stock's standing relative to sector peers like Atlanticus.
HG closes at $34.86, up 1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $34.78 and its 200-day average of $31.75, with the shorter average also above the longer one, a configuration consistent with an established uptrend. The GekkoIndex reads 55.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 4.8 over five days. Shares trade 3.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.20, within range of that benchmark.
The next earnings report is due 29 October 2026 after close, 16 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $1.55 against a $0.96 estimate, with a 2% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.3%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage from 6 firms shows 3 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $38.29, implying 9.8% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Hamilton Insurance price vs fair value
Close $34.86200-day averageGekko Fair Value $36.20
Hamilton Insurance quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.48B
- P/E ratio
- 6
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- $5.85
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.99B
- Profit margin
- 19.6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- Beta
- 0.47
- Volume
- 262,307 avg 394,270
- 1-year return
- +42.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.8%
- 50-day average
- $34.78
- 200-day average
- $31.75
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 65.89M
Hamilton Insurance swing-trade checklist
Hamilton Insurance scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $34.86 is above the 50-day ($34.78) and 200-day ($31.75) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
55.4, Neutral
Reading 55.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.7% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.7% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Hamilton Insurance stock chart and price history
Hamilton Insurance closed at $34.86 on Oct 12, 2026, +42.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $22.66 to $37.31.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- 0.0%
- 3 months
- 0.0%
- 6 months
- +12.9%
- 1 year
- +42.5%
The full HG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HG in Gekko
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About Hamilton Insurance
Hamilton Insurance is a holding company that provides insurance and reinsurance coverage across property, specialty, and casualty lines. It serves clients seeking protection in these areas and is known for operating through a network of underwriting units spread across several international locations.
The company runs its business through two segments, International and Bermuda. The International segment covers property, specialty, and casualty insurance and reinsurance written through operations in London, Dublin, and Hamilton Select. The Bermuda segment offers the same classes of business through Hamilton Re in Bermuda and Hamilton Re US along with related subsidiaries.
Hamilton Insurance was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker HG.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Multi-line insurance
- Website
- hamiltongroup.com
Hamilton Insurance GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Hamilton Insurance’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.4, in the Neutral zone, down 4.8 points over five sessions.
55.4Neutral
Down 4.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 16 | +1.5% | +3.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 180 | +2.2% | +6.7% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 430 | +0.1% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 55 | +0.1% | −1.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HG price, zone by zone.Track HG in Gekko
Is Hamilton Insurance stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Hamilton Insurance trades 3.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.20, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Hamilton Insurance shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$36.20
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
3.7% below fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.6% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HG in Gekko
Hamilton Insurance insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hamilton Insurance, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HG in Gekko
Buybacks
Hamilton Insurance has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $22.20M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.64%
- Trailing four quarters
- $115.9M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds HG.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Hamilton Insurance earnings: next date and track record
Hamilton Insurance reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected after the close, 17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.86
- Revenue estimate
- $693.5M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Hamilton Insurance Group reported a strong Q2 2026 with net income of $144 million (annualized ROAE 21%), solid investment income of $141 million, and gross premiums written up 17% for the quarter (group top-line growth of 14% year-to-date to $1.8 billion). The quarter included a combined ratio of 95%, adversely impacted by approximately $50 million of catastrophe losses primarily from the Middle East conflict. Management highlighted disciplined, selective growth (low double-digit full-year growth expectation), targeted underwriting actions, a modest $16 million reserve review charge, and ongoing expansion of the Hamilton Select platform after an AM Best upgrade. Management emphasized the competitive property market, continued rate momentum in casualty driven by social and economic inflation, improved pricing opportunities in marine/political violence due to the Middle East events, and productivity/automation benefits from AI and smart-queuing initiatives. The Q&A showed confident, direct responses from management and reiterated conservative underwriting and capital management tools (retrocession, sidecar) to manage volatility.
- Guidance
- Expect low double-digit growth for full year 2026. Attritional loss ratio guidance: International 54.5%, Group 55%, Bermuda 56%. Management expects to run the core book in the low- to mid-90s combined ratio on average through the cycle.
- Risks flagged
- Ongoing Middle East conflict and related catastrophe losses; competitive property market with price-focused competition; social and economic inflation driving claim severity and reserve pressure; potential adverse reserve development (modest $16M charge this quarter); macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty; technology implementation costs vs. benefits.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.55 est $0.96 | $831.0M est $599.3M | +2.0% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.64 est $1.13 | $940.1M est $933.9M | −1.2% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $1.65 est $0.84 | $669.0M est $621.0M | −0.3% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.32 est $0.71 | $681.5M est $644.0M | +11.8% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $1.55 est $1.01 | $740.8M est $519.5M | +5.2% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.47 est $0.04 | $843.3M est $847.5M | +6.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.32 est $0.76 | $583.0M est $460.2M | +6.0% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.74 est $0.71 | $65.56M est $472.4M | +1.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Hamilton Insurance stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hamilton Insurance is $38.29, +9.8% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$38.29consensus 12-month target, +9.8% from the last close
Now $34.86Avg $38.29
Low $32High $42
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | Wells Fargo | $40 | +14.7% |
| Oct 7 | Barclays | $39 | +11.9% |
| Oct 6 | Morgan Stanley | $35 | +0.4% |
| Aug 19 | Morgan Stanley | $37 | +6.1% |
| Aug 13 | BMO Capital | $32 | −8.2% |
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Hamilton Insurance market cap and key statistics
Hamilton Insurance’s market cap is $3.48B, with a P/E ratio of 6 and revenue of $2.99B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.48B
- P/E ratio
- 6
- EPS, TTM
- $5.85
- Gekko Fair Value
- $36.20
Trading
- Volume
- 262,307
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 394,270
- 52-week high
- $37.31
- 52-week low
- $22.66
- Shares outstanding
- 65.89M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.99B
- Profit margin
- 19.6%
- Return on equity
- 31.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −20.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.47
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
Hamilton Insurance stock news this week
2 headlines about Hamilton Insurance from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Is Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Outperforming Other Finance Stocks This Year?Zacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- Hamilton Insurance (HG) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to KnowZacks Investment Research, Oct 8
Hamilton Insurance peers
Hamilton Insurance’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PGRProgressive | Neutral | 0.6% below |
| MFCManulife Financial | Accumulation | 7.6% above |
| METMetLife | Neutral | 0.6% below |
| ALLAllstate | Accumulation | 9.9% below |
| AFLAFLAC | Neutral | 1.5% below |
| SLFSun Life Financial | Accumulation | 5.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Hamilton Insurance stock FAQ
What is Hamilton Insurance’s market cap?
Hamilton Insurance’s market cap is $3.48B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.86, with 65.89M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.
What is the Hamilton Insurance stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hamilton Insurance is $38.29, +9.8% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Hamilton Insurance stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Hamilton Insurance is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.86 is 3.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Hamilton Insurance report earnings next?
Hamilton Insurance is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.86 per share on revenue of $693.5M. Hamilton Insurance beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.
What is Hamilton Insurance’s 52-week high and low?
Hamilton Insurance’s 52-week high is $37.31 and its 52-week low is $22.66; it closed at $34.86 on Oct 12, 2026, +42.5% over the past year.
Is Hamilton Insurance stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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