Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for BOW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every BOW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BOW in Gekko
NYSE: BOW
Bowhead Specialty (BOW) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$34.02−0.01 (0.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeBowhead Specialty's week was framed by a single piece of coverage examining behavioral patterns and institutional flows in the stock, which described a neutral near- and mid-term outlook alongside a longer-term positive bias. No earnings, guidance, deal or regulatory news accompanied the move, leaving sentiment analysis as the main talking point for the period.
The stock closed at $34.02, essentially flat on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $33.69 and its 200-day average of $28.02, with the shorter average also above the longer one. It trades near its 52-week high of $35.07 and well above its 52-week low of $21.21, with returns of 1% over one month, 10.3% over three months, 38.8% over six months and 31% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 51.1, placing BOW in the Neutral zone, and the price sits about 0.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $33.86.
Bowhead Specialty's next earnings report is set for 3 November 2026, 21 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report showed EPS of $0.47 against an estimate of $0.45, with a 5.5% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, and no seasonal history is available. Analyst coverage from 6 firms is uniformly rated hold, with a consensus target of $34.33, implying 0.9% upside to current levels.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Bowhead Specialty price vs fair value
Close $34.02200-day averageGekko Fair Value $33.86
Bowhead Specialty quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.12B
- P/E ratio
- 18.3
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.86
- Revenue, TTM
- $615.2M
- Profit margin
- 10.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- -0.08
- Volume
- 134,707 avg 285,331
- 1-year return
- +31.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±0.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
- 50-day average
- $33.69
- 200-day average
- $28.02
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 32.94M
Bowhead Specialty swing-trade checklist
Bowhead Specialty scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $34.02 is above the 50-day ($33.69) and 200-day ($28.02) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
51.1, Neutral
Reading 51.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
0.5% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 22 days
Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Bowhead Specialty stock chart and price history
Bowhead Specialty closed at $34.02 on Oct 12, 2026, +31.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.21 to $35.07.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +1.0%
- 3 months
- +10.3%
- 6 months
- +38.8%
- 1 year
- +31.0%
The full BOW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BOW in Gekko
Follow Bowhead Specialty through every session
Put BOW on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track BOW in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
Bowhead Specialty GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Bowhead Specialty’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.1, in the Neutral zone, down 1.7 points over five sessions.
51.1Neutral
Down 1.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 11 | −0.3% | −5.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 226 | +0.2% | +0.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 316 | +0.2% | +2.6% | ||
| Distribution | 39 | +2.8% | +0.6% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average BOW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BOW price, zone by zone.Track BOW in Gekko
Is Bowhead Specialty stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Bowhead Specialty trades 0.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $33.86, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Bowhead Specialty shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$33.86
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026
0.5% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.0% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BOW in Gekko
Bowhead Specialty insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Bowhead Specialty, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in BOW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for BOW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BOW in Gekko
Buybacks
Bowhead Specialty has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2022
- $25.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.24%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BOW.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Bowhead Specialty earnings: next date and track record
Bowhead Specialty reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
22 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.51
- Revenue estimate
- $278.6M
7 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Bowhead delivered strong Q4 2025 results with 21% quarterly GWP growth to $224M and 24% full-year growth to $863M, exceeding 20% expectations. The company achieved over 30% growth in adjusted net income with 13.6% ROE and $1.65 adjusted EPS. Casualty division drove performance with 26% Q4 growth, while expense ratio improved below 30% target.
- Guidance
- Management expects continued growth from construction projects and Baleen digital platform expansion. The company emphasizes sustainable profitable growth across market cycles through dual underwriting models.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.47 est $0.45 | $224.1M est $216.7M | +5.5% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.47 est $0.40 | $143.9M est $146.0M | +6.4% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.37 est $0.36 | $133.3M est $142.0M | −1.0% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.34 est $0.33 | $122.7M est $133.2M | −6.4% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.40 est $0.33 | $119.4M est $115.1M | +1.7% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.38 est $0.35 | $116.8M est $164.8M | +5.1% |
| Aug 8, 2024 | $0.28 est $0.25 | $98.87M est $94.28M | −0.4% |
| May 29, 2024 | $0.22 | — | −1.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Bowhead Specialty stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Bowhead Specialty is $34.33, +0.9% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$34.33consensus 12-month target, +0.9% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 | Citizens JMP | — | — |
| Aug 24 | J.P. Morgan | $34 | −0.1% |
| Aug 19 | Morgan Stanley | $34 | −0.1% |
| Aug 19 | Morgan Stanley | $34 | −0.1% |
| Aug 4 | Deutsche Bank | $34 | −0.1% |
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±0.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Bowhead Specialty market cap and key statistics
Bowhead Specialty’s market cap is $1.12B, with a P/E ratio of 18.3 and revenue of $615.2M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.12B
- P/E ratio
- 18.3
- Forward P/E
- 13.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.86
- Gekko Fair Value
- $33.86
Trading
- Volume
- 134,707
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 285,331
- 52-week high
- $35.07
- 52-week low
- $21.21
- Shares outstanding
- 32.94M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $615.2M
- Profit margin
- 10.1%
- Return on equity
- 14.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +33.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- -0.08
- Typical daily move
- ±0.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.7%
Bowhead Specialty stock news this week
1 headline about Bowhead Specialty from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Behavioral Patterns of BOW and Institutional FlowsStock Traders Daily, Oct 6
Bowhead Specialty peers
Bowhead Specialty’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PGRProgressive | Neutral | 0.6% below |
| MFCManulife Financial | Accumulation | 7.6% above |
| METMetLife | Neutral | 0.6% below |
| ALLAllstate | Accumulation | 9.9% below |
| AFLAFLAC | Neutral | 1.5% below |
| SLFSun Life Financial | Accumulation | 5.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Bowhead Specialty stock FAQ
What is Bowhead Specialty’s market cap?
Bowhead Specialty’s market cap is $1.12B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.02, with 32.94M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.3.
What is the Bowhead Specialty stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Bowhead Specialty is $34.33, +0.9% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Bowhead Specialty stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Bowhead Specialty is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.02 is 0.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $33.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Bowhead Specialty report earnings next?
Bowhead Specialty is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $278.6M. Bowhead Specialty beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 7 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.
What is Bowhead Specialty’s 52-week high and low?
Bowhead Specialty’s 52-week high is $35.07 and its 52-week low is $21.21; it closed at $34.02 on Oct 12, 2026, +31.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $42.29 on Mar 28, 2025.
Is Bowhead Specialty stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Bowhead Specialty the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.