NYSE: ALL

Allstate (ALL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Allstate Corporation (The). Finance sector, multi-line insurance industry. Market cap $64.31B.

$249.83−2.38 (−0.9%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Allstate closes at $249.83, down 0.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $258.17 and 200-day average of $223.63. The GekkoIndex reads 64.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $264.76. Over the past year the stock has returned 26.7%, with a 22.4% six-month gain and a 3.8% pullback over the last month.

Coverage this week centers on valuation and profitability. Commentary points to shares trading at just over 9x 2027–2028 earnings, with Q2 combined ratio at 86.6% and auto at 83.3%, alongside a note that $1.5 billion in reserve releases and a quiet catastrophe environment have supported underwriting margins, though normalization is expected. Allstate was also upgraded to Strong Buy, and the company declared approximately $29.3 million in aggregate preferred dividends payable 15 October 2026.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 45 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last quarter produced an EPS of $8.99 against an estimate of $5.76, with an 8-for-8 beat streak and a 4.8% reaction, versus an average absolute move of 2.4%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 1.7% gain across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 8 buy, 8 hold and 4 sell ratings among 20 firms, with a consensus target of $274.64.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $249.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $264.76

Key stats

Market cap
$64.31B
P/E ratio
5.1
Forward P/E
9.2
EPS, TTM
$49.95
Revenue, TTM
$70.14B
Profit margin
19%
Dividend yield
1.63%
Beta
0.15
Volume
3.76M avg 1.57M
1-year return
+26.7%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$258.17
200-day average
$223.63
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
252.9M
52-week range
$188.08$277.22

Allstate swing-trade checklist

Allstate scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $249.83 sits between the 50-day ($258.17) and 200-day ($223.63) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.9, Accumulation

    Reading 64.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.6% below

    Price is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Allstate stock chart and price history

Allstate closed at $249.83 on Sep 18, 2026, +26.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $188.08 to $277.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.8%
3 months
+13.0%
6 months
+22.4%
1 year
+26.7%
The full ALL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALL in Gekko

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About Allstate

Allstate offers property and casualty coverage along with other insurance lines to customers across the United States and Canada. It is widely recognized for personal auto and homeowners policies, alongside coverage for vehicles such as motorcycles, trailers, motor homes, and off-road equipment, plus renters, condo, landlord, boat, umbrella, manufactured home, and scheduled personal property protection. Commercial insurance is also part of its offering, sold under both the Allstate and Encompass names.

The company organizes its work into four segments. Allstate Protection handles the personal and commercial insurance lines described above. Protection Services covers consumer products like device and appliance protection plans, vehicle service contracts, GAP waivers, tire and wheel coverage, roadside assistance, telematics-based data services, and identity protection, under brands such as Allstate Protection Plans, Arity, and Allstate Identity Protection. Allstate Health and Benefits provides life, accident, critical illness, and disability coverage, while Run-off Property-Liability manages older obligations no longer actively sold. Policies reach customers through call centers, agents, brokers, wholesale partners, affinity groups, and online and mobile channels.

Allstate was founded in 1931 and is based in Northbrook, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ALL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Multi-line insurance
Website
allstate.com

Allstate GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Allstate’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.7 points over five sessions.

010064.9Accumulation

Up 4.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying9Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)171+1.3%+2.3%+4.6%+7.2%
Neutral446+0.1%+0.4%+0.4%+2.9%
Distribution31−0.5%−0.7%+2.3%+2.7%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average ALL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALL price, zone by zone.Track ALL in Gekko

Is Allstate stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Allstate trades 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $264.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Allstate shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$264.76

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

5.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALL in Gekko

Allstate insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Allstate, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALL in Gekko

Buybacks

Allstate has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.05B
As a share of market cap
1.63%
Trailing four quarters
$2.46B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ALL.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Allstate earnings: next date and track record

Allstate reports on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Oct ’24+0.5%Feb ’25−0.8%Apr ’25+4.8%Jul ’25+1.4%Nov ’25+6.7%Feb ’26+0.4%Apr ’26+4.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Allstate reported strong Q2 2026 results with total revenues of $18.6 billion, up 11.8% year-over-year. Net premiums written grew 2.6%, policies in force increased 3.8% to 215.9 million, and net investment income surged 33.8% to $1 billion. Net income reached $3.2 billion with adjusted net income of $2.3 billion ($8.99/share). The Property-Liability combined ratio improved 4.5 points to 86.6%, and adjusted net income ROE stands at 44.2% over the trailing twelve months.
Guidance
No explicit forward-looking financial targets were provided in this excerpt. Management highlighted continued momentum from the transformative growth initiative and deployment of the Ally AI ecosystem as key drivers of future market share expansion and operational efficiency.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$8.99
est $5.76
+56.1%$15.43B
est $15.46B
−0.2%+4.8%
Apr 29, 2026$10.65
est $7.24
+47.1%$14.63B
est $15.07B
−2.9%+0.4%
Feb 4, 2026$14.31
est $9.60
+49.1%$14.57B
est $14.53B
+0.3%+6.7%
Nov 5, 2025$11.17
est $7.67
+45.6%$17.06B
est $15.68B
+8.8%+1.4%
Jul 30, 2025$5.94
est $3.25
+82.8%$16.62B
est $15.21B
+9.3%+4.8%
Apr 30, 2025$3.53
est $2.52
+40.1%$16.46B
est $14.05B
+17.1%−0.8%
Feb 5, 2025$7.67
est $5.40
+42.0%$16.51B
est $13.72B
+20.3%+0.5%
Oct 30, 2024$3.91
est $2.36
+65.7%$16.63B
est $14.57B
+14.1%0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Allstate stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Allstate is $274.64, +9.9% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$274.64consensus 12-month target, +9.9% from the last close
Low $226High $315
Buy8
Hold8
Sell4

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$300+20.1%
Sep 18KBWSell, maintained$250+0.1%
Sep 15Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$297+18.9%
Aug 28Argus ResearchHold, downgraded
Aug 21BarclaysSell, maintained$226−9.5%
+4.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Allstate seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Allstate averaged +1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.7%2021+1.1%2022+12.8%2023+2.5%2024−4.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.8%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%1 of 5

For scale, ALL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

Allstate market cap and key statistics

Allstate’s market cap is $64.31B, with a P/E ratio of 5.1 and revenue of $70.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$64.31B
P/E ratio
5.1
Forward P/E
9.2
EPS, TTM
$49.95
Gekko Fair Value
$264.76

Trading

Volume
3.76M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.57M
52-week high
$277.22
52-week low
$188.08
Shares outstanding
252.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$70.14B
Profit margin
19%
Return on equity
46.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+61.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.15
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
1.63%

Allstate stock news this week

6 headlines about Allstate from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Allstate peers

Allstate’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive−0.3%Accumulation3.9% below
MFCManulife Financial+0.7%Neutral10.8% above
METMetLife+0.2%Neutral2.5% below
AFLAFLAC+0.7%Accumulation2.9% below
SLFSun Life Financial+1.0%Neutral9.1% above
AIGAIG+0.2%Accumulation8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Allstate stock FAQ

What is Allstate’s market cap?

Allstate’s market cap is $64.31B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $249.83, with 252.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.1.

What is the Allstate stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Allstate is $274.64, +9.9% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 4 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Allstate stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Allstate is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $249.83 is 5.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $264.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Allstate report earnings next?

Allstate is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.53 per share on revenue of $15.84B. Allstate beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

What is Allstate’s 52-week high and low?

Allstate’s 52-week high is $277.22 and its 52-week low is $188.08; it closed at $249.83 on Sep 18, 2026, +26.7% over the past year.

Is Allstate stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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