NYSE: ALL

Allstate (ALL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$269.06+7.56 (+2.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Allstate's week centers on third-quarter 2026 results, filed alongside a Form 10-Q for the period ending September 30. The company topped both EPS and revenue estimates, though this compares against earnings of $11.17 per share a year ago. Ahead of the release, one preview had flagged that Property-Liability underwriting income could plunge 55.7% with earnings projected to fall 37.1%, while another piece this week described a weak near-term sentiment pattern alongside a targeted 7.9% gain setup. The company also reported strong prior-quarter results on 5 August 2026, with total revenues of $18.6 billion and net income of $3.2 billion.

Shares closed at $269.06, up 2.9%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $245.85 and the 200-day average of $229.40, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The one-month return stands at 20% and the one-year return at 40.7%, even as the three-month return shows -2.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 48.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 5.7 over five days. Price sits 5.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $255.08.

No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar following the last report on 5 August 2026, which beat estimates with $8.99 versus $5.76 expected and produced a 4.8% reaction. Options activity over the past 30 days shows 1 unusual signal, with put premium of $2,036,480 against call premium of $16,585. Analyst consensus across 19 firms includes 9 buy, 7 hold, and 3 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $269.27. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +3.1%, rising in 3 of those years.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Allstate price vs fair value

$269.06$255.08Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $269.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $255.08

Allstate quick facts

Market cap
$68.03B
P/E ratio
5.3
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$49.98
Revenue, TTM
$70.14B
Profit margin
19%
Dividend yield
1.60%
Beta
0.12
Volume
2.00M avg 1.64M
1-year return
+40.7%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$245.85
200-day average
$229.40
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
252.9M
52-week range
$191.13$277.22

Allstate swing-trade checklist

Allstate scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $269.06 is above the 50-day ($245.85) and 200-day ($229.40) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.3, Neutral

    Reading 48.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.5% above

    Price is 5.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Allstate stock chart and price history

Allstate closed at $269.06 on Nov 4, 2026, +40.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $191.13 to $277.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Allstate share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$220$240$260$280DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct269.06

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+20.0%
3 months
−2.2%
6 months
+23.5%
1 year
+40.7%
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About Allstate

Allstate offers property and casualty coverage along with other insurance lines to customers across the United States and Canada. It is widely recognized for personal auto and homeowners policies, alongside coverage for vehicles such as motorcycles, trailers, motor homes, and off-road equipment, plus renters, condo, landlord, boat, umbrella, manufactured home, and scheduled personal property protection. Commercial insurance is also part of its offering, sold under both the Allstate and Encompass names.

The company organizes its work into four segments. Allstate Protection handles the personal and commercial insurance lines described above. Protection Services covers consumer products like device and appliance protection plans, vehicle service contracts, GAP waivers, tire and wheel coverage, roadside assistance, telematics-based data services, and identity protection, under brands such as Allstate Protection Plans, Arity, and Allstate Identity Protection. Allstate Health and Benefits provides life, accident, critical illness, and disability coverage, while Run-off Property-Liability manages older obligations no longer actively sold. Policies reach customers through call centers, agents, brokers, wholesale partners, affinity groups, and online and mobile channels.

Allstate was founded in 1931 and is based in Northbrook, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ALL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Multi-line insurance
Website
allstate.com

Allstate GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Allstate’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.3, in the Neutral zone, down 5.7 points over five sessions.

010048.3Neutral

Down 5.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying18+1.1%+3.6%+10.0%+8.2%
Accumulation184+1.2%+2.1%+4.1%+7.2%
Neutral (current zone)459+0.1%+0.3%0.0%+2.2%
Distribution31−0.5%−0.7%+2.3%+2.1%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average ALL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALL price, zone by zone.Track ALL in Gekko

Is Allstate stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Allstate trades 5.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $255.08, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Allstate shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$255.08

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

5.5% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$255$262Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALL in Gekko

Allstate insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Allstate, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALL in Gekko

Buybacks

Allstate has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.05B
As a share of market cap
1.54%
Trailing four quarters
$2.46B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 1% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Nov 3, $2.05M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ALL.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Allstate earnings: next date and track record

Allstate beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Oct ’24+0.5%Feb ’25−0.8%Apr ’25+4.8%Jul ’25+1.4%Nov ’25+6.7%Feb ’26+0.4%Apr ’26+4.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Allstate reported strong Q2 2026 results with total revenues of $18.6 billion, up 11.8% year-over-year. Net premiums written grew 2.6%, policies in force increased 3.8% to 215.9 million, and net investment income surged 33.8% to $1 billion. Net income reached $3.2 billion with adjusted net income of $2.3 billion ($8.99/share). The Property-Liability combined ratio improved 4.5 points to 86.6%, and adjusted net income ROE stands at 44.2% over the trailing twelve months.
Guidance
No explicit forward-looking financial targets were provided in this excerpt. Management highlighted continued momentum from the transformative growth initiative and deployment of the Ally AI ecosystem as key drivers of future market share expansion and operational efficiency.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$8.99
est $5.76
+56.1%$15.43B
est $15.46B
−0.2%+4.8%
Apr 29, 2026$10.65
est $7.24
+47.1%$14.63B
est $15.07B
−2.9%+0.4%
Feb 4, 2026$14.31
est $9.60
+49.1%$14.57B
est $14.53B
+0.3%+6.7%
Nov 5, 2025$11.17
est $7.67
+45.6%$17.06B
est $15.68B
+8.8%+1.4%
Jul 30, 2025$5.94
est $3.25
+82.8%$16.62B
est $15.21B
+9.3%+4.8%
Apr 30, 2025$3.53
est $2.52
+40.1%$16.46B
est $14.05B
+17.1%−0.8%
Feb 5, 2025$7.67
est $5.40
+42.0%$16.51B
est $13.72B
+20.3%+0.5%
Oct 30, 2024$3.91
est $2.36
+65.7%$16.63B
est $14.57B
+14.1%0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Allstate stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Allstate is $269.27, +0.1% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$269.27consensus 12-month target, +0.1% from the last close
Low $215High $315
Buy9
Hold7
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Oct 20UBSHold, reiterated$275+2.2%
Oct 16KBWSell, maintained$232−13.8%
Oct 16Wells FargoHold, reiterated$236−12.3%
Oct 16Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$240−10.8%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Allstate seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Allstate averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.5%2021−0.5%2022+6.3%2023+11.5%2024+6.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.5%4 of 5

For scale, ALL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

Allstate market cap and key statistics

Allstate’s market cap is $68.03B, with a P/E ratio of 5.3 and revenue of $70.14B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$68.03B
P/E ratio
5.3
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$49.98
Gekko Fair Value
$255.08

Trading

Volume
2.00M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.64M
52-week high
$277.22
52-week low
$191.13
Shares outstanding
252.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$70.14B
Profit margin
19%
Return on equity
46.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+61.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.12
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
1.60%

Allstate stock news this week

Coverage of Allstate this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Allstate peers

Allstate’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive+0.8%Neutral5.3% above
MFCManulife Financial+0.6%Neutral14.5% above
METMetLife+0.9%Neutral1.1% above
AFLAFLAC−0.5%Neutral7.0% above
SLFSun Life Financial+0.6%Neutral11.2% above
AIGAIG+0.4%Neutral0.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Multi-line insurance

Allstate stock FAQ

What is Allstate’s market cap?

Allstate’s market cap is $68.03B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $269.06, with 252.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.3.

What is the Allstate stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Allstate is $269.27, +0.1% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Allstate stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Allstate is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $269.06 is 5.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $255.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Allstate’s 52-week high and low?

Allstate’s 52-week high is $277.22 and its 52-week low is $191.13; it closed at $269.06 on Nov 4, 2026, +40.7% over the past year.

Is Allstate stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Allstate?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Allstate over the last 30 days, with $17K of flagged premium in calls and $2.04M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Nov 3, 2026 with $2.05M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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