NYSE: AFL

AFLAC (AFL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

AFLAC Incorporated. Finance sector, multi-line insurance industry. Market cap $59.21B.

$116.33−0.27 (−0.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

AFL closes at $116.33, down 0.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $120.74 and 200-day average of $114.82. The GekkoIndex reads 61.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $119.86, putting current price 2.9% below that level.

Recent activity around AFL centers on insider and institutional stock movements. Masatoshi Koide, President of Aflac Life Insurance Japan, sold $1.56 million in common stock following option exercises, retaining 76,422 shares. Simard Frederic Jean Guy, Deputy President of Aflac U.S., forfeited 409 shares at $117.55 each, about 29.3% of his prior holdings, leaving him with 985 shares. Japan Post Holdings, a 10% owner, sold roughly $1.6 million worth of shares across transactions on September 15 and 16, and now holds over 50.5 million shares indirectly. On the institutional side, Bank of America Corp DE took a new position of over 2 million shares valued at approximately $244.52 million during the second quarter, while IFP Advisors Inc reduced its holdings by 66.9% over the same period.

Aflac's next earnings report is due 4 November 2026, before the open, 45 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. At the last report on 29 April 2026, adjusted EPS came in at $1.75 against a $1.80 estimate, with shares reacting -2.3%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +2.9% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage from 11 firms includes 2 buy, 6 hold and 3 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $118.53.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $116.33200-day averageGekko Fair Value $119.86

Key stats

Market cap
$59.21B
P/E ratio
12.6
Forward P/E
15.2
EPS, TTM
$9.27
Revenue, TTM
$18.07B
Profit margin
26.9%
Dividend yield
2.04%
Beta
0.58
Volume
6.67M avg 2.28M
1-year return
+6.5%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$120.74
200-day average
$114.82
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
501.3M
52-week range
$105.43$130.22

AFLAC swing-trade checklist

AFLAC scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $116.33 sits between the 50-day ($120.74) and 200-day ($114.82) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.8, Accumulation

    Reading 61.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.9% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.9% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AFLAC stock chart and price history

AFLAC closed at $116.33 on Sep 18, 2026, +6.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $105.43 to $130.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.2%
3 months
+0.7%
6 months
+8.5%
1 year
+6.5%
The full AFL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AFL in Gekko

Follow AFLAC through every session

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About AFLAC

AFLAC provides supplemental health and life insurance, offering policies that pay out alongside a person's main medical coverage rather than replacing it. It is widely known for its insurance products covering cancer, accidents, and other health events, sold to individuals and workplaces in Japan and the United States.

The company runs its business through two main divisions, Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Japan division sells cancer, medical, and nursing-care income policies, along with the GIFT plan, whole and term life coverage, and savings products such as WAYS and child endowment plans. The U.S. division offers cancer, accident, short-term disability, critical illness, and hospital indemnity policies, plus dental, vision, long-term care, disability, and life insurance. These products reach customers through career sales agents, independent brokers, agencies, and affiliated partners.

AFLAC was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AFL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Multi-line insurance
Website
aflac.com

AFLAC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AFLAC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.9 points over five sessions.

010061.8Accumulation

Down 0.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying20+2.9%+3.9%+5.5%+5.4%
Accumulation (current zone)173+0.5%+1.6%+2.6%+3.4%
Neutral429+0.1%+0.1%+0.6%+3.3%
Distribution31−0.3%+0.5%+2.8%+6.0%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average AFL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AFL price, zone by zone.Track AFL in Gekko

Is AFLAC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AFLAC trades 2.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $119.86, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AFLAC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$119.86

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

2.9% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AFL in Gekko

AFLAC insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AFLAC, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AFL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AFL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AFL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AFL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AFL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AFL in Gekko

Buybacks

AFLAC has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$984.0M
As a share of market cap
1.66%
Trailing four quarters
$3.79B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AFL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

AFLAC earnings: next date and track record

AFLAC reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.6%Jul ’24−4.7%Oct ’24−3.4%Feb ’25−4.7%Apr ’25+3.8%Aug ’25+4.0%Nov ’25+4.8%Feb ’26−2.3%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Aflac reported Q1 2026 net EPS of $1.98 and adjusted EPS of $1.75. Aflac Japan achieved 25.5% sales increase driven by new medical product Onsen Tallett and cancer insurance product Miraito, with all distribution channels posting gains. Aflac U.S. saw 2.9% sales growth, 79.3% premium persistency, and 3.5% net earned premium increase, supported by strong group voluntary product momentum.
Guidance
Management emphasized continued focus on profitable growth through underwriting discipline and premium persistency. Strong capital generation and prudent liquidity management remain priorities, with Japan's sales transformation expected to sustain momentum throughout 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$1.75
est $1.80
−2.8%$4.35B
est $4.20B
+3.4%−2.3%
Feb 4, 2026$1.57
est $1.69
−7.1%$4.87B
est $4.25B
+14.5%+4.8%
Nov 4, 2025$2.49
est $1.77
+40.7%$4.79B
est $4.37B
+9.8%+4.0%
Aug 5, 2025$1.78
est $1.70
+4.7%$4.22B
est $4.33B
−2.6%+3.8%
Apr 30, 2025$1.66
est $1.67
−0.6%$3.45B
est $4.28B
−19.3%−4.7%
Feb 5, 2025$1.56
est $1.62
−3.7%$5.50B
est $4.33B
+27.0%−3.4%
Oct 30, 2024$2.16
est $1.68
+28.6%$3.04B
est $4.30B
−29.4%−4.7%
Jul 31, 2024$1.83
est $1.60
+14.4%$5.16B
est $4.10B
+25.7%+6.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AFLAC stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AFLAC is $118.53, +1.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$118.53consensus 12-month target, +1.9% from the last close
Low $99High $138
Buy2
Hold6
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 19Wolfe ResearchSell, initiated$103−11.5%
Aug 19Wells FargoHold, maintained$122+4.9%
Aug 11J.P. MorganHold, maintained$116−0.3%
Aug 11KBWHold, maintained$125+7.5%
Aug 10Mizuho SecuritiesSell, maintained$116−0.3%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AFLAC seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, AFLAC averaged +2.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.9%2021−1.2%2022+5.2%2023+6.6%2024−0.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.9%4 of 5

For scale, AFL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

AFLAC market cap and key statistics

AFLAC’s market cap is $59.21B, with a P/E ratio of 12.6 and revenue of $18.07B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$59.21B
P/E ratio
12.6
Forward P/E
15.2
EPS, TTM
$9.27
Gekko Fair Value
$119.86

Trading

Volume
6.67M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.28M
52-week high
$130.22
52-week low
$105.43
Shares outstanding
501.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.07B
Profit margin
26.9%
Return on equity
16.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+46.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.58
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
2.04%

AFLAC stock news this week

Coverage of AFLAC this week reads negative: 2 positive, 7 neutral and 12 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

AFLAC peers

AFLAC’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive−0.3%Accumulation3.9% below
MFCManulife Financial+0.7%Neutral10.8% above
ALLAllstate−0.6%Accumulation5.6% below
METMetLife+0.2%Neutral2.5% below
SLFSun Life Financial+1.0%Neutral9.1% above
AIGAIG+0.2%Accumulation8.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AFLAC stock FAQ

What is AFLAC’s market cap?

AFLAC’s market cap is $59.21B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $116.33, with 501.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.6.

What is the AFLAC stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AFLAC is $118.53, +1.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AFLAC stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AFLAC is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $116.33 is 2.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $119.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AFLAC report earnings next?

AFLAC is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.81 per share on revenue of $4.10B. AFLAC beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is AFLAC’s 52-week high and low?

AFLAC’s 52-week high is $130.22 and its 52-week low is $105.43; it closed at $116.33 on Sep 18, 2026, +6.5% over the past year.

Is AFLAC stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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