NYSE: AFL

AFLAC (AFL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$125.30+1.26 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

AFLAC's stock this week centers on its third-quarter 2026 results, released 4 November, in which the company surpassed earnings and revenue estimates, compared with earnings of $2.49 per share a year ago. Coverage also flagged benefit ratios in the U.S. and Japan as a key focus for underwriting margins after a weaker prior quarter. Separately, a technical commentary piece described AFL as forming a breakout setup, citing a Technical Rating of 8 and a Setup Rating of 8, alongside outperformance against the market and peers. Additional stories marked the 25th anniversary of the company's Holiday Duck charitable program.

AFL closed at $125.30, up 1% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $117.19 and 200-day average of $116.10, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 45.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3.8 over the prior five readings. Price stands 7% above Gekko Fair Value of $117.13. The stock trades within its 52-week range of $105.76 to $130.22, with one-month returns of 10.3% and one-year returns of 17.1%.

No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar following the Q3 report issued 4 November. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity is recorded in the current windows, and no billionaire holders are listed, though trailblazer holders stand at zero. Analyst views are split among 10 firms, with 2 buy, 5 hold, and 3 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $117.33. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 1.2% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

AFLAC price vs fair value

$125.30$117.13Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $125.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $117.13

AFLAC quick facts

Market cap
$62.82B
P/E ratio
13.4
Forward P/E
15.2
EPS, TTM
$9.30
Revenue, TTM
$18.07B
Profit margin
26.9%
Dividend yield
1.92%
Beta
0.55
Volume
2.52M avg 1.62M
1-year return
+17.1%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
50-day average
$117.19
200-day average
$116.10
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
501.3M
52-week range
$105.76$130.22

AFLAC swing-trade checklist

AFLAC scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $125.30 is above the 50-day ($117.19) and 200-day ($116.10) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.5, Neutral

    Reading 45.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    7.0% above

    Price is 7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AFLAC stock chart and price history

AFLAC closed at $125.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +17.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $105.76 to $130.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
AFLAC share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$105$110$115$120$130DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct125.30

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.3%
3 months
−1.1%
6 months
+10.5%
1 year
+17.1%
The full AFL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AFL in Gekko

Follow AFLAC through every session

Put AFL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track AFL in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About AFLAC

AFLAC provides supplemental health and life insurance, offering policies that pay out alongside a person's main medical coverage rather than replacing it. It is widely known for its insurance products covering cancer, accidents, and other health events, sold to individuals and workplaces in Japan and the United States.

The company runs its business through two main divisions, Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Japan division sells cancer, medical, and nursing-care income policies, along with the GIFT plan, whole and term life coverage, and savings products such as WAYS and child endowment plans. The U.S. division offers cancer, accident, short-term disability, critical illness, and hospital indemnity policies, plus dental, vision, long-term care, disability, and life insurance. These products reach customers through career sales agents, independent brokers, agencies, and affiliated partners.

AFLAC was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AFL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Multi-line insurance
Website
aflac.com

AFLAC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AFLAC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3.8 points over five sessions.

010045.5Neutral

Down 3.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying20+2.9%+3.9%+5.2%+5.4%
Accumulation192+0.6%+1.6%+2.4%+3.3%
Neutral (current zone)445+0.2%+0.2%+0.6%+2.7%
Distribution31−0.3%+0.5%+2.8%+4.8%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average AFL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AFL price, zone by zone.Track AFL in Gekko

Is AFLAC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AFLAC trades 7.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $117.13, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AFLAC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$117.13

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

7.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$117$124Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AFL in Gekko

AFLAC insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AFLAC, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AFL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AFL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AFL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AFL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AFL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AFL in Gekko

Buybacks

AFLAC has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$984.0M
As a share of market cap
1.57%
Trailing four quarters
$3.79B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AFL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

AFLAC earnings: next date and track record

AFLAC beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.6%Jul ’24−4.7%Oct ’24−3.4%Feb ’25−4.7%Apr ’25+3.8%Aug ’25+4.0%Nov ’25+4.8%Feb ’26−2.3%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Aflac reported Q1 2026 net EPS of $1.98 and adjusted EPS of $1.75. Aflac Japan achieved 25.5% sales increase driven by new medical product Onsen Tallett and cancer insurance product Miraito, with all distribution channels posting gains. Aflac U.S. saw 2.9% sales growth, 79.3% premium persistency, and 3.5% net earned premium increase, supported by strong group voluntary product momentum.
Guidance
Management emphasized continued focus on profitable growth through underwriting discipline and premium persistency. Strong capital generation and prudent liquidity management remain priorities, with Japan's sales transformation expected to sustain momentum throughout 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$1.75
est $1.80
−2.8%$4.35B
est $4.20B
+3.4%−2.3%
Feb 4, 2026$1.57
est $1.69
−7.1%$4.87B
est $4.25B
+14.5%+4.8%
Nov 4, 2025$2.49
est $1.77
+40.7%$4.79B
est $4.37B
+9.8%+4.0%
Aug 5, 2025$1.78
est $1.70
+4.7%$4.22B
est $4.33B
−2.6%+3.8%
Apr 30, 2025$1.66
est $1.67
−0.6%$3.45B
est $4.28B
−19.3%−4.7%
Feb 5, 2025$1.56
est $1.62
−3.7%$5.50B
est $4.33B
+27.0%−3.4%
Oct 30, 2024$2.16
est $1.68
+28.6%$3.04B
est $4.30B
−29.4%−4.7%
Jul 31, 2024$1.83
est $1.60
+14.4%$5.16B
est $4.10B
+25.7%+6.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AFLAC stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AFLAC is $117.33, −6.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$117.33consensus 12-month target, −6.4% from the last close
Low $101High $138
Buy2
Hold5
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 15J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$119−5.0%
Oct 12Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$138+10.1%
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$133+6.1%
Oct 12Wells FargoHold, maintained$116−7.4%
Oct 8KBWHold, maintained$120−4.2%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AFLAC seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, AFLAC averaged +1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.5%2021+5.7%2022+1.5%2023+2.2%2024+0.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.7%3 of 5

For scale, AFL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.7%.

AFLAC market cap and key statistics

AFLAC’s market cap is $62.82B, with a P/E ratio of 13.4 and revenue of $18.07B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$62.82B
P/E ratio
13.4
Forward P/E
15.2
EPS, TTM
$9.30
Gekko Fair Value
$117.13

Trading

Volume
2.52M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.62M
52-week high
$130.22
52-week low
$105.76
Shares outstanding
501.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.07B
Profit margin
26.9%
Return on equity
16.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+46.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.55
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.7%
Dividend yield
1.92%

AFLAC peers

AFLAC’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive+0.8%Neutral5.3% above
MFCManulife Financial+0.6%Neutral14.5% above
ALLAllstate+1.3%Neutral5.5% above
METMetLife+0.9%Neutral1.1% above
SLFSun Life Financial+0.6%Neutral11.2% above
AIGAIG+0.4%Neutral0.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Multi-line insurance

AFLAC stock FAQ

What is AFLAC’s market cap?

AFLAC’s market cap is $62.82B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $125.30, with 501.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.4.

What is the AFLAC stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AFLAC is $117.33, −6.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AFLAC stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AFLAC is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $125.30 is 7.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $117.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is AFLAC’s 52-week high and low?

AFLAC’s 52-week high is $130.22 and its 52-week low is $105.76; it closed at $125.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +17.1% over the past year.

Is AFLAC stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See AFLAC the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.