Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RLI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
This week's coverage of RLI centers on routine stock summaries alongside a piece weighing whether recent gains, including a 6.2% rise over three months, warrant holding the position, citing disciplined underwriting, rising investment income, and strong capital returns as premium pricing in the P&C market moderates. A filing also showed Bank of America Corp DE opening a new position in RLI Corp.
RLI closes at $55.98, up 0.5%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $62.10 and 200-day average of $58.99. The stock has fallen 12.8% over one month and 12.8% over one year, though it is roughly flat over six months at -0.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 74.9, placing it in the Buying zone, up 3.5 over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $61.53, putting the current price 9% below that level.
RLI next reports earnings on 19 October 2026, 20 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; its last report showed a 86% combined ratio and operating earnings of $0.83 per share matching estimates, with an average absolute reaction of 2.8% historically. Analyst views are split, with 5 firms covering the stock at 1 buy, 2 hold and 2 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $60.50 implying 8.1% upside. Seasonality over this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.2% gain across the next 20 trading days over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
RLI scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
Averages disagree
Close $55.98 sits between the 50-day ($62.10) and 200-day ($58.99) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart74.9, Buying
Reading 74.9 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex9.0% below
Price is 9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueNo data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart moneyReports in 20 days
Reports on Oct 19, 2026, 20 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
RLI closed at $55.98 on Sep 28, 2026, −12.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $47.26 to $67.12.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put RLI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
RLI writes property and casualty insurance for businesses and individuals across the United States and abroad. It covers a broad mix of risks, from general liability for manufacturers, contractors, apartments and retailers to specialized coverages for security guards, onshore energy operations and environmental exposures like underground storage tanks and asbestos removal. It also insures professional firms against errors and omissions, provides commercial auto coverage for truckers and transit operators, and offers property, marine, homeowners and management liability products, along with surety bonds for contractors and other businesses.
The company organizes its underwriting into casualty, property and surety segments, and it also assumes reinsurance business. Its casualty lines serve commercial and personal clients ranging from small professional firms to larger public and private businesses, while its surety segment bonds range from individual and small business needs to medium and large contractors. RLI reaches these customers through its own branch offices as well as brokers, carrier partners, and underwriting and independent agents.
RLI was founded in 1965 and is based in Peoria, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RLI.
RLI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 74.9, in the Buying zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions.
Up 3.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 49 | +1.4% | +3.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 242 | −0.4% | −0.8% | ||
| Neutral | 340 | +0.1% | 0.0% | ||
| Distribution | 34 | −1.5% | −2.9% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RLI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
RLI trades 9.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what RLI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$61.53
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
9.0% Undervalued
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RLI, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RLI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in RLI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
RLI has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RLI.
RLI reports on Oct 19, 2026 (20 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Oct 19, 2026
20 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | $0.83 est $0.83 | $503.9M est $479.4M | −1.3% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | $0.94 est $0.81 | $463.2M est $481.7M | −0.5% |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $0.83 est $0.71 | $509.3M est $515.4M | +2.8% |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $0.84 est $0.75 | $499.8M est $445.4M | −0.8% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $0.92 est $0.88 | $407.7M est $442.0M | −3.8% |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $0.41 est $0.52 | $439.1M est $444.6M | −8.0% |
| Oct 21, 2024 | $0.66 est $0.48 | $470.0M est $491.5M | −2.4% |
| Jul 22, 2024 | $1.72 est $1.34 | $422.6M est $561.6M | +3.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for RLI is $60.50, +8.1% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | Jefferies | $53 | −5.3% |
| Jul 29 | KBW | $74 | +32.2% |
| Jul 29 | Wells Fargo | $57 | +1.8% |
| Jul 24 | Truist Financial | $58 | +3.6% |
| Jul 23 | William Blair | — | — |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, RLI averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.4% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, RLI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.
RLI’s market cap is $5.14B, with a P/E ratio of 11.8 and revenue of $1.97B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of RLI this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
RLI’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PGRProgressive | Accumulation | 5.2% below |
| MFCManulife Financial | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| METMetLife | Neutral | 4.2% below |
| ALLAllstate | Buying | 13.8% below |
| AFLAFLAC | Accumulation | 4.8% below |
| SLFSun Life Financial | Neutral | 7.1% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
RLI’s market cap is $5.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $55.98, with 91.77M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.8.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for RLI is $60.50, +8.1% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate RLI is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $55.98 is 9.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
RLI is expected to report on Oct 19, 2026 (20 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $533.5M. RLI beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.8% on average across the report.
RLI’s 52-week high is $67.12 and its 52-week low is $47.26; it closed at $55.98 on Sep 28, 2026, −12.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $91.15 on Nov 27, 2024.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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