NYSE: LNC

Lincoln National (LNC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$40.88−0.81 (−1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Coverage of Lincoln National this week is largely routine, with general stock overviews and options-chain data alongside institutional filings pointing to increased stakes in the company. Analyst commentary describes a mixed picture, with a consensus Hold rating and an average price target near $47.92, alongside a broader tally of 6 buy, 4 hold and 1 sell ratings across 11 firms.

Shares closed at $40.88, down 1.9% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $43.43 and the 200-day average of $39.52, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 65.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 9.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.24, with the 52-week range spanning $32.18 to $47.67.

The next earnings report is due 29 October 2026, 30 days out, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 30 July 2026 beat estimates, with EPS of $2.24 versus $2.00 expected, producing a 10.1% reaction, part of a streak of 8 beats in 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 5.7%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 3.5% across 5 years, positive in 3 of them. Smart-money data shows no recent insider, Congress or unusual options activity, though one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are recorded as current stakeholders.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Lincoln National price vs fair value

$45.24$40.88Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $40.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $45.24

Lincoln National quick facts

Market cap
$7.83B
P/E ratio
3.5
Forward P/E
5.2
EPS, TTM
$11.96
Revenue, TTM
$19.39B
Profit margin
12.2%
Dividend yield
4.38%
Beta
1.11
Volume
1.54M avg 1.90M
1-year return
+1.7%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$43.43
200-day average
$39.52
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
191.4M
52-week range
$32.18$47.67

Lincoln National swing-trade checklist

Lincoln National scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $40.88 sits between the 50-day ($43.43) and 200-day ($39.52) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.8, Accumulation

    Reading 65.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    9.6% below

    Price is 9.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Lincoln National stock chart and price history

Lincoln National closed at $40.88 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.18 to $47.67.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Lincoln National share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep40.88

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.0%
3 months
+11.8%
6 months
+19.6%
1 year
+1.7%
The full LNC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LNC in Gekko

Follow Lincoln National through every session

Put LNC on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Lincoln National

Lincoln National operates in the United States as an insurance and retirement business, selling annuities, life coverage, and workplace benefit plans to individuals and employers. It has built its presence around annuity contracts in fixed, variable, and indexed variable forms, together with life insurance ranging from term policies to universal life variants, and add-on riders for critical illness and long-term care needs.

The business runs through four segments. One centers on annuities themselves, another serves employers through retirement plan services aimed largely at defined contribution arrangements, pairing annuity and mutual-fund based savings vehicles with back-office support like recordkeeping, compliance oversight, participant guidance, and custodial functions. A life insurance segment covers term and universal policies, including survivorship, variable, and indexed variants. A group protection segment sells employers non-medical benefits such as disability coverage, statutory disability, family leave administration, absence tracking, and group plans for life, dental, vision, accident, and critical illness, funded through employee contributions or employer sponsorship. These products move to market via brokers, consultants, planners, agents, advisors, and administrative intermediaries.

Founded in 1905, Lincoln National is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker LNC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Multi-line insurance
Website
lincolnfinancial.com

Lincoln National GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Lincoln National’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.8, in the Accumulation zone, unchanged over five sessions.

010065.8Accumulation

Unchanged over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25+1.8%+2.2%+6.3%+10.7%
Accumulation (current zone)185+1.2%+2.3%+3.4%+9.3%
Neutral412+0.1%+0.4%+1.4%+2.9%
Distribution430.0%−1.2%−3.0%−7.2%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average LNC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LNC price, zone by zone.Track LNC in Gekko

Is Lincoln National stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Lincoln National trades 9.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.24, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Lincoln National shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$45.24

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

9.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LNC in Gekko

Lincoln National insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lincoln National, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LNC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LNC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LNC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LNC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LNC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LNC in Gekko

Buybacks

Lincoln National has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$23.00M
As a share of market cap
0.29%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold LNC.

2added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Lincoln National earnings: next date and track record

Lincoln National reports on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.2%Oct ’24+9.7%Feb ’25−1.9%May ’25+7.8%Jul ’25+4.9%Oct ’25+6.2%Feb ’26−4.8%May ’26+10.1%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$2.24
est $2.00
+12.0%$4.93B
est $4.89B
+0.8%+10.1%
May 7, 2026$1.66
est $1.60
+3.7%$5.31B
est $4.93B
+7.5%−4.8%
Feb 12, 2026$2.21
est $1.86
+18.8%$4.89B
est $4.84B
+1.1%+6.2%
Oct 30, 2025$2.04
est $1.84
+10.9%$4.59B
est $4.85B
−5.4%+4.9%
Jul 31, 2025$2.36
est $1.91
+23.6%$4.07B
est $4.82B
−15.6%+7.8%
May 8, 2025$1.60
est $1.54
+3.9%$4.69B
est $4.71B
−0.5%−1.9%
Feb 6, 2025$1.91
est $1.74
+9.8%$5.08B
est $4.74B
+7.2%+9.7%
Oct 31, 2024$2.06
est $1.63
+26.4%$3.51B
est $4.67B
−24.9%−0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Lincoln National stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lincoln National is $47.92, +17.2% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$47.92consensus 12-month target, +17.2% from the last close
Low $40High $57
Buy6
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11TD CowenHold, maintained$42+2.7%
Aug 24Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$50+22.3%
Aug 12J.P. MorganSell, maintained$49+19.9%
Aug 10Wells FargoBuy, maintained$52+27.2%
Jul 31Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$53+29.6%
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Lincoln National seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Lincoln National averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.3%2021+16.9%2022−8.7%2023+4.3%2024−1.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.2%3 of 5

For scale, LNC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

Lincoln National market cap and key statistics

Lincoln National’s market cap is $7.83B, with a P/E ratio of 3.5 and revenue of $19.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$7.83B
P/E ratio
3.5
Forward P/E
5.2
EPS, TTM
$11.96
Gekko Fair Value
$45.24

Trading

Volume
1.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.90M
52-week high
$47.67
52-week low
$32.18
Shares outstanding
191.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.39B
Profit margin
12.2%
Return on equity
22.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+76.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.11
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
4.38%

Lincoln National stock news this week

Coverage of Lincoln National this week reads positive: 3 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Lincoln National peers

Lincoln National’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive+1.7%Accumulation5.2% below
MFCManulife Financial−0.4%Neutral8.8% above
METMetLife−1.7%Neutral4.2% below
ALLAllstate−0.5%Buying13.8% below
AFLAFLAC−0.4%Accumulation4.8% below
SLFSun Life Financial−0.5%Neutral7.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Lincoln National stock FAQ

What is Lincoln National’s market cap?

Lincoln National’s market cap is $7.83B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $40.88, with 191.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 3.5.

What is the Lincoln National stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lincoln National is $47.92, +17.2% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Lincoln National stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Lincoln National is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $40.88 is 9.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $45.24. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Lincoln National report earnings next?

Lincoln National is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.01 per share on revenue of $4.97B. Lincoln National beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is Lincoln National’s 52-week high and low?

Lincoln National’s 52-week high is $47.67 and its 52-week low is $32.18; it closed at $40.88 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $77.57 on Nov 3, 2021.

Is Lincoln National stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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