NASDAQ: SKWD

Skyward Specialty Insurance (SKWD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$59.88+1.56 (+2.7%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Skyward Specialty Insurance closed at $59.88 on 12 October 2026, +2.7% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($57.67) and 200-day ($50.80) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $40.60 to $65.69. The GekkoIndex reads 49.9, in the Neutral zone, down 10 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $62.79, so the price is 4.6% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 24 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 3.4% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 2 Congress purchases and 0 sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +4.1% over the last 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

7 firms rate the stock: 6 buy, 1 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $70.45. A typical daily move is about 2.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 5.9%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Skyward Specialty Insurance price vs fair value

$62.79$59.88Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $59.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $62.79

Skyward Specialty Insurance quick facts

Market cap
$2.43B
P/E ratio
13.8
Forward P/E
9.9
EPS, TTM
$4.31
Revenue, TTM
$1.73B
Profit margin
10.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.36
Volume
347,278 avg 368,015
1-year return
+23.1%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$57.67
200-day average
$50.80
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
44.40M
52-week range
$40.60$65.69

Skyward Specialty Insurance swing-trade checklist

Skyward Specialty Insurance scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $59.88 is above the 50-day ($57.67) and 200-day ($50.80) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.9, Neutral

    Reading 49.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.1% over 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Skyward Specialty Insurance stock chart and price history

Skyward Specialty Insurance closed at $59.88 on Oct 12, 2026, +23.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $40.60 to $65.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Skyward Specialty Insurance share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$45$50$55$65NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct59.88

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.5%
3 months
+2.6%
6 months
+30.0%
1 year
+23.1%
The full SKWD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SKWD in Gekko

Follow Skyward Specialty Insurance through every session

Put SKWD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Skyward Specialty Insurance GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Skyward Specialty Insurance’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.9, in the Neutral zone, down 10 points over five sessions.

010049.9Neutral

Down 10 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying20+1.7%+3.1%+9.9%+11.3%
Accumulation223+0.8%+1.5%+3.0%+4.9%
Neutral (current zone)398+0.4%+0.8%+1.5%+6.1%
Distribution380.0%0.0%+0.6%−4.8%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average SKWD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SKWD price, zone by zone.Track SKWD in Gekko

Is Skyward Specialty Insurance stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Skyward Specialty Insurance trades 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.79, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Skyward Specialty Insurance shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$62.79

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

4.6% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$63$58Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SKWD in Gekko

Skyward Specialty Insurance insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Skyward Specialty Insurance, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SKWD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SKWD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SKWD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 15

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Skyward Specialty Insurance has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, Jul 15, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$10.76M
As a share of market cap
0.44%

From company filings.

Skyward Specialty Insurance earnings: next date and track record

Skyward Specialty Insurance reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.0%Oct ’24+0.8%Feb ’25+10.4%May ’25−0.6%Jul ’25+1.1%Oct ’25−3.9%Feb ’26+3.6%May ’26+3.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Skyward Specialty reported outstanding Q2 2026 results with Diluted Operating EPS up 46% to $1.30 and annualized Operating ROE of 19%. Gross Written Premiums grew 13% to $741M, while Managed Premiums rose 18% to $1.1B. Combined Ratio was 89.5 with Ex-CAT at 87.6. Operating income for H1 2026 reached $116M with 20.4% ROE. Apollo fee-generating premiums surged 29% to $318M.
Guidance
Management increased share repurchase authorization to $100M, citing attractive valuation and strong earnings growth. Apollo's seasonal patterns mean Q2 results are not indicative of longer-term trends; focus remains on growing Managed Premiums and expanding underwriting and fee-based earnings.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$1.30
est $1.15
+13.0%$740.6M
est $706.6M
+4.8%+3.6%
May 6, 2026$1.25
est $1.11
+12.6%$667.7M
est $665.1M
+0.4%+3.6%
Feb 23, 2026$1.17
est $0.96
+21.9%$439.6M
est $434.1M
+1.3%−3.9%
Oct 29, 2025$0.71
est $0.85
−16.5%$382.2M
est $380.3M
+0.5%+1.1%
Jul 30, 2025$0.89
est $0.86
+3.5%$320.8M
est $335.3M
−4.3%−0.6%
May 1, 2025$0.90
est $0.78
+15.4%$330.5M
est $326.3M
+1.3%+10.4%
Feb 25, 2025$0.80
est $0.77
+3.9%$304.5M
est $326.3M
−6.7%+0.8%
Oct 29, 2024$0.71
est $0.65
+9.2%$302.0M
est $292.6M
+3.2%−3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Skyward Specialty Insurance stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Skyward Specialty Insurance is $70.45, +17.7% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$70.45consensus 12-month target, +17.7% from the last close
Low $65High $75
Buy6
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7BarclaysBuy, maintained$68+13.6%
Oct 2Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$75+25.3%
Aug 24Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$72+20.2%
Aug 11TD CowenHold, reiterated$65+8.6%
Aug 11Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$72+20.2%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Skyward Specialty Insurance seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Skyward Specialty Insurance averaged +4.1% across the last 3 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.8%2023+9.6%2024−3.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%2 of 3
Next 10 trading days+0.2%1 of 3
Next 15 trading days−1.9%1 of 3
Next 20 trading days+4.1%2 of 3
Next 30 trading days+7.4%2 of 3

For scale, SKWD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

Skyward Specialty Insurance market cap and key statistics

Skyward Specialty Insurance’s market cap is $2.43B, with a P/E ratio of 13.8 and revenue of $1.73B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.43B
P/E ratio
13.8
Forward P/E
9.9
EPS, TTM
$4.31
Gekko Fair Value
$62.79

Trading

Volume
347,278
Avg volume, 20 days
368,015
52-week high
$65.69
52-week low
$40.60
Shares outstanding
44.40M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.73B
Profit margin
10.8%
Return on equity
17.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+15.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.36
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%

Skyward Specialty Insurance peers

Skyward Specialty Insurance’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive+0.6%Neutral0.6% below
MFCManulife Financial+0.8%Accumulation7.6% above
METMetLife+1.2%Neutral0.6% below
ALLAllstate−0.1%Accumulation9.9% below
AFLAFLAC+0.6%Neutral1.5% below
SLFSun Life Financial+0.4%Accumulation5.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Skyward Specialty Insurance stock FAQ

What is Skyward Specialty Insurance’s market cap?

Skyward Specialty Insurance’s market cap is $2.43B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $59.88, with 44.40M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.8.

What is the Skyward Specialty Insurance stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Skyward Specialty Insurance is $70.45, +17.7% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Skyward Specialty Insurance stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Skyward Specialty Insurance is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $59.88 is 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Skyward Specialty Insurance report earnings next?

Skyward Specialty Insurance is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $753.9M. Skyward Specialty Insurance beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.

What is Skyward Specialty Insurance’s 52-week high and low?

Skyward Specialty Insurance’s 52-week high is $65.69 and its 52-week low is $40.60; it closed at $59.88 on Oct 12, 2026, +23.1% over the past year.

Is Skyward Specialty Insurance stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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