NASDAQ: TRUP

Trupanion (TRUP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$26.29+0.23 (+0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Trupanion's week centers on a new brand partnership with Simon Cowell, aimed at raising pet insurance awareness among younger pet owners, which several commentators frame as a long-term brand and education play rather than an immediate financial driver. Alongside this, Cantor Fitzgerald lowered its price target on the stock to $30.00 from $34.00 while maintaining a "neutral" rating, even as the broader analyst consensus carries a "Hold" rating with an average target cited at $38.40 in one report. An insider, Margaret R. Tooth, has also proposed a further share sale following prior sales in August and September.

TRUP closed at $26.29, up 0.9%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $26.89 and its 200-day average of $27.15, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 53.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 9.6 points over the last five readings. Shares trade 11.8% below the Gekko Fair Value of $29.82. Over the past year the stock is down 37.8%, though it has gained 5.6% over the last month.

The next earnings report is due 5 November 2026 after the close, 24 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.16 versus $0.11 expected, with an 14.2% reaction, and the stock has beaten estimates in 5 of 8 recent quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.5% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. Consensus analyst target sits at $34.25, implying 30.3% upside per that measure.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Trupanion price vs fair value

$29.82$26.29Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $26.29200-day averageGekko Fair Value $29.82

Trupanion quick facts

Market cap
$1.15B
P/E ratio
48.7
Forward P/E
1,428.6
EPS, TTM
$0.53
Revenue, TTM
$1.52B
Profit margin
1.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.44
Volume
333,295 avg 426,490
1-year return
−37.8%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±11.1%
50-day average
$26.89
200-day average
$27.15
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
43.62M
52-week range
$21.16$46.98

Trupanion swing-trade checklist

Trupanion scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $26.29 is below the 50-day ($26.89) and 200-day ($27.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.6, Neutral

    Reading 53.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.8% below

    Price is 11.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Trupanion stock chart and price history

Trupanion closed at $26.29 on Oct 12, 2026, −37.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.16 to $46.98.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Trupanion share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct26.29

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.6%
3 months
+1.8%
6 months
+3.9%
1 year
−37.8%
The full TRUP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRUP in Gekko

Follow Trupanion through every session

Put TRUP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track TRUP in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Trupanion

Trupanion offers monthly subscription plans for pet medical insurance, covering dogs and cats for owners in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and Australia. The company is recognized for this subscription-based approach to covering veterinary costs for household pets.

The business is structured around two segments, described as Subscription Business and Other Business, through which it serves both pet owners directly and veterinary professionals who work with pet healthcare.

Trupanion traces its history back to its founding in 2000, when it operated under the name Vetinsurance International, Inc., before changing to its current name in 2013. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker TRUP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Multi-line insurance
Website
trupanion.com

Trupanion GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Trupanion’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.6, in the Neutral zone, down 9.6 points over five sessions.

010053.6Neutral

Down 9.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying60+2.3%+3.2%+2.8%−0.4%
Accumulation275+0.1%−0.9%−0.4%−2.4%
Neutral (current zone)294+0.5%+1.4%+1.9%+8.5%
Distribution51−2.3%−1.6%−2.6%+0.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average TRUP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRUP price, zone by zone.Track TRUP in Gekko

Is Trupanion stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Trupanion trades 11.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.82, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Trupanion shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$29.82

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

11.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$30$26Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRUP in Gekko

Trupanion insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Trupanion, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRUP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TRUP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRUP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TRUP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TRUP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRUP in Gekko

Buybacks

Trupanion has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, Aug 5, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$496K
As a share of market cap
0.04%

From company filings.

Trupanion earnings: next date and track record

Trupanion reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.9%Oct ’24−27.3%Feb ’25+23.0%May ’25+0.4%Aug ’25−9.2%Nov ’25−13.5%Feb ’26−3.0%Apr ’26+14.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Trupanion delivered strong Q2 2026 results with subscription adjusted operating income growing 24% year-over-year, tracking toward $180M total AOI target. Gross pet adds accelerated 9% YoY, with net subscription pets added of ~18,800, up 39% over prior year. Lifetime value of enrolled pets increased 25%, reflecting improved pricing discipline and product enhancements including expanded deductible and coinsurance options.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed full-year target of $180M total adjusted operating income. A new digital offering is on track to launch in the first half of the current strategic plan, aimed at expanding market reach and new customer segments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.16
est $0.11
+41.2%$392.9M
est $389.7M
+0.8%+14.2%
Apr 30, 2026$0.11
est $0.07
+57.1%$384.0M
est $379.8M
+1.1%−3.0%
Feb 12, 2026$0.13
est $0.14
−7.1%$376.9M
est $375.5M
+0.4%−13.5%
Nov 6, 2025$0.13
est $0.89
−85.4%$366.9M
est $361.6M
+1.5%−9.2%
Aug 7, 2025$0.22
est −$0.03
+833.3%$353.6M
est $346.7M
+2.0%+0.4%
May 1, 2025−$0.03
est −$0.04
+25.0%$342.0M
est $346.4M
−1.3%+23.0%
Feb 19, 2025$0.04
est $0.06
−33.3%$337.3M
est $335.4M
+0.6%−27.3%
Oct 30, 2024$0.03
est −$0.06
+150.0%$327.5M
est $333.9M
−1.9%+2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Trupanion stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Trupanion is $34.25, +30.3% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$34.25consensus 12-month target, +30.3% from the last close
Low $29High $42
Buy2
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$42+59.8%
Oct 7Cantor FitzgeraldHold, maintained$30+14.1%
Sep 30Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$42+59.8%
Aug 26Piper SandlerHold, downgraded$32+21.7%
Aug 20Stifel NicolausHold, maintained$29+10.3%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Trupanion seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Trupanion averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+41.1%2021−11.9%2022−12.7%2023+4.0%2024−6.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.5%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.1%3 of 5

For scale, TRUP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.1%.

Trupanion market cap and key statistics

Trupanion’s market cap is $1.15B, with a P/E ratio of 48.7 and revenue of $1.52B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.15B
P/E ratio
48.7
Forward P/E
1,428.6
EPS, TTM
$0.53
Gekko Fair Value
$29.82

Trading

Volume
333,295
Avg volume, 20 days
426,490
52-week high
$46.98
52-week low
$21.16
Shares outstanding
43.62M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.52B
Profit margin
1.5%
Return on equity
6.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−28.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.44
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±11.1%

Trupanion peers

Trupanion’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGRProgressive+0.6%Neutral0.6% below
MFCManulife Financial+0.8%Accumulation7.6% above
METMetLife+1.2%Neutral0.6% below
ALLAllstate−0.1%Accumulation9.9% below
AFLAFLAC+0.6%Neutral1.5% below
SLFSun Life Financial+0.4%Accumulation5.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Trupanion stock FAQ

What is Trupanion’s market cap?

Trupanion’s market cap is $1.15B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $26.29, with 43.62M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 48.7.

What is the Trupanion stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Trupanion is $34.25, +30.3% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Trupanion stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Trupanion is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $26.29 is 11.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $29.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Trupanion report earnings next?

Trupanion is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.16 per share on revenue of $402.5M. Trupanion beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is Trupanion’s 52-week high and low?

Trupanion’s 52-week high is $46.98 and its 52-week low is $21.16; it closed at $26.29 on Oct 12, 2026, −37.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $158.25 on Dec 8, 2021.

Is Trupanion stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Trupanion the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.