NASDAQ: SFNC

Simmons First National (SFNC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$22.34+0.16 (+0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Attention around Simmons First National centers on its third-quarter report, due after the close on 15 October. Coverage ahead of the release points to Wall Street expecting earnings growth, with analysts examining key metrics beyond the headline numbers and the most accurate forecasters revising their estimates ahead of the call.

SFNC closed at $22.34, up 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $23.05 and 200-day average of $21.47, a mixed trend picture. The stock is down 3.7% over one month and 2.5% over three months, though still up 8.3% over six months and 17.2% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 61.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.22.

The next 20 trading days bring earnings risk front and center, with the report landing just 3 days away and well inside that window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the past 90 days for insiders and Congress or the past 30 days for options signals. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4% gain over 5 years, positive in 3 of them. Five analysts cover the stock, with 3 at buy, 1 at hold and 1 at sell, and a consensus target of $25.93 implying 16.1% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Simmons First National price vs fair value

$24.22$22.34Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $22.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $24.22

Simmons First National quick facts

Market cap
$3.24B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
9.5
EPS, TTM
−$2.40
Revenue, TTM
$110.3M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
3.85%
Beta
0.94
Volume
1.56M avg 1.50M
1-year return
+17.2%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
50-day average
$23.05
200-day average
$21.47
Next earnings
Oct 15
Shares outstanding
144.5M
52-week range
$17.00$24.32

Simmons First National swing-trade checklist

Simmons First National scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $22.34 sits between the 50-day ($23.05) and 200-day ($21.47) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.3, Accumulation

    Reading 61.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.8% below

    Price is 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 3 days

    Reports on Oct 15, 2026, 3 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Simmons First National stock chart and price history

Simmons First National closed at $22.34 on Oct 12, 2026, +17.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.00 to $24.32.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Simmons First National share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$18$20$24NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct22.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.7%
3 months
−2.5%
6 months
+8.3%
1 year
+17.2%
The full SFNC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SFNC in Gekko

Follow Simmons First National through every session

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About Simmons First National

Simmons First National is the holding company behind Simmons Bank, which provides banking and financial services to households and businesses. It offers everyday deposit products like checking, savings, and time accounts, along with a range of loans covering consumer, real estate, and commercial needs, plus specialized financing for agriculture, equipment purchases, and small businesses through SBA programs.

Beyond deposits and lending, the bank handles trust and fiduciary work, issues credit cards, and offers investment management, insurance, and securities services to its customer base. It also supports account holders with ATM access, online and mobile banking tools, overdraft options, and safe deposit boxes, rounding out a full set of retail and commercial banking conveniences. As of January 2022, the bank ran 199 branches spread across Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas.

The company traces its founding back to 1903 and is headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker SFNC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Major banks
Website
simmonsbank.com

Simmons First National GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Simmons First National’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.1 points over five sessions.

010061.3Accumulation

Up 3.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+1.2%+1.9%+3.8%+1.4%
Accumulation (current zone)226+0.3%+0.4%+1.9%+4.2%
Neutral387+0.2%+0.5%+0.3%+1.5%
Distribution32−1.4%−3.5%−3.0%−3.0%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average SFNC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SFNC price, zone by zone.Track SFNC in Gekko

Is Simmons First National stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Simmons First National trades 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.22, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Simmons First National shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$24.22

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

7.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 7.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$22Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SFNC in Gekko

Simmons First National insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Simmons First National, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SFNC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SFNC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SFNC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SFNC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SFNC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SFNC in Gekko

Buybacks

Simmons First National has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$12.21M
As a share of market cap
0.38%
Trailing four quarters
$17.95M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SFNC.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Simmons First National earnings: next date and track record

Simmons First National reports on Oct 15, 2026 (3 days away).

Simmons First National stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Simmons First National is $25.93, +16.1% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$25.93consensus 12-month target, +16.1% from the last close
Low $25High $27.50
Buy3
Hold1
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$26+16.4%
Sep 10KBWBuy, upgraded$26+16.4%
Sep 8Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$26+16.4%
Sep 4Piper SandlerBuy, upgraded$27.50+23.1%
Sep 4KBWHold, maintained$26+16.4%
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Simmons First National seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Simmons First National averaged +4.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.1%2021+6.9%2022−8.1%2023+14.1%2024−2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.9%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.6%3 of 5

For scale, SFNC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.

Simmons First National market cap and key statistics

Simmons First National’s market cap is $3.24B and revenue of $110.3M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.24B
Forward P/E
9.5
EPS, TTM
−$2.40
Gekko Fair Value
$24.22

Trading

Volume
1.56M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.50M
52-week high
$24.32
52-week low
$17.00
Shares outstanding
144.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$110.3M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-9.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+7.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.94
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
Dividend yield
3.85%

Simmons First National stock news this week

3 headlines about Simmons First National from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Simmons First National peers

Simmons First National’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
JPMJP Morgan Chase0.0%Accumulation6.9% below
BACBank of America+0.2%Accumulation13.1% below
RYRoyal Bank Of Canada+0.4%Accumulation6.5% below
WFCWells Fargo−0.8%Neutral8.5% below
CCitigroup+1.5%Neutral6.6% below
TDToronto Dominion Bank+1.2%Accumulation2.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Simmons First National stock FAQ

What is Simmons First National’s market cap?

Simmons First National’s market cap is $3.24B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $22.34, with 144.5M shares outstanding.

What is the Simmons First National stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Simmons First National is $25.93, +16.1% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Simmons First National stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Simmons First National is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $22.34 is 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Simmons First National report earnings next?

Simmons First National is expected to report on Oct 15, 2026 (3 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.54 per share on revenue of $254.0M.

What is Simmons First National’s 52-week high and low?

Simmons First National’s 52-week high is $24.32 and its 52-week low is $17.00; it closed at $22.34 on Oct 12, 2026, +17.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $32.76 on Nov 11, 2021.

Is Simmons First National stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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