NASDAQ: QLYS

Qualys (QLYS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$173.83+1.40 (+0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Qualys shares fell this week along with a broader group of cybersecurity names including Okta, Palo Alto Networks, Rapid7 and SentinelOne, which all saw a significant afternoon decline on 25 September. Separately, a retrospective piece noted that Qualys has significantly outperformed the market over the last decade, with an average annual return of 17.05%. Alongside these stories, a Form 4 filing for insider transactions was noted on 22 September.

Qualys closed at $173.83, up 0.8%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $170.91 and its 200-day average of $127.03, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -7.8% even as its three-month and six-month returns remain strongly positive at 35.5% and 103%. The GekkoIndex reads 59.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 11.8% below the Gekko Fair Value of $197.10.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 3 November, 35 days away, after market close, placing it outside this window. The last report on 4 August showed EPS of $1.56 against an estimate of $1.27, with an 18.3% reaction. Seasonality over five years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -1.3%, positive in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy, 12 hold and 1 sell across 16 firms, with a consensus target of $179.36.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Qualys price vs fair value

$197.10$173.83Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $173.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $197.10

Qualys quick facts

Market cap
$6.12B
P/E ratio
32
Forward P/E
21.9
EPS, TTM
$5.71
Revenue, TTM
$703.0M
Profit margin
29.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.62
Volume
600,547 avg 757,579
1-year return
+28.4%
Typical daily move
±5.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$170.91
200-day average
$127.03
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
34.60M
52-week range
$74.51$201.54

Qualys swing-trade checklist

Qualys scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $173.83 is above the 50-day ($170.91) and 200-day ($127.03) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.1, Neutral

    Reading 59.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.8% below

    Price is 11.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Qualys stock chart and price history

Qualys closed at $173.83 on Sep 28, 2026, +28.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $74.51 to $201.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Qualys share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$100$125$150$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep173.83

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.8%
3 months
+35.5%
6 months
+103.0%
1 year
+28.4%
The full QLYS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open QLYS in Gekko

Follow Qualys through every session

Put QLYS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Qualys

Qualys provides cloud-delivered tools that help organizations manage their information technology systems, guard against cyber threats, and stay in line with regulatory requirements. Its main offering, the Qualys Cloud Platform, brings together a range of applications covering vulnerability management, threat detection and response, endpoint security, patch management, certificate assessment, and web application scanning and firewall protection, along with tools for securing cloud and container environments. Through this platform, customers can track their IT assets, examine security data, spot and rank vulnerabilities, and confirm that fixes have been properly applied.

Beyond these core capabilities, Qualys offers asset tagging, dashboards and reporting tools, shared questionnaires, workflows for remediation, large-scale data analysis, and real-time alerting, giving clients a fuller view of their IT, security, and compliance operations. Its customer base spans large corporations, government bodies, and smaller businesses across industries like finance, healthcare, manufacturing, education, and technology. The company reaches these customers both through its own sales team and through a network of outside partners, including consulting firms, managed service providers, and resellers.

Qualys was established in 1999 and operates out of Foster City, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker QLYS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
qualys.com

Qualys GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Qualys’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.1, in the Neutral zone, up 3.3 points over five sessions.

010059.1Neutral

Up 3.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying59−0.3%−1.4%−0.9%−0.3%
Accumulation2930.0%0.0%−0.4%+0.1%
Neutral (current zone)281+0.4%+1.3%+2.0%+4.6%
Distribution28−0.9%−2.5%+4.0%+13.3%
Selling11+1.7%−1.1%−8.7%−1.8%

Average QLYS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the QLYS price, zone by zone.Track QLYS in Gekko

Is Qualys stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Qualys trades 11.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $197.10, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Qualys shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$197.10

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

11.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open QLYS in Gekko

Qualys insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Qualys, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for QLYS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every QLYS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open QLYS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in QLYS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for QLYS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open QLYS in Gekko

Buybacks

Qualys has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$77.88M
As a share of market cap
1.27%
Trailing four quarters
$225.3M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold QLYS.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Qualys earnings: next date and track record

Qualys reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+27.8%Nov ’24−7.1%Feb ’25−0.4%May ’25−4.0%Aug ’25+16.8%Nov ’25−14.2%Feb ’26−1.8%May ’26+18.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Qualys reported strong Q2 2026 revenue growth and profitability, driven by its Enterprise TruRisk Management (ETM) platform. The company launched InstaScan powered by Agent Insta, enabling near-instant vulnerability detection without traditional scan cycles. New autonomous zero-day remediation capabilities were announced, including AI-scored remediation waves with patch reliability scoring. Management emphasized AI-native risk operations as differentiated from competitors' CTEM dashboard approaches.
Guidance
No specific revenue or EPS guidance figures were provided in this excerpt. Management signaled continued investment in AI-native security capabilities and ETM platform expansion, with Black Hat showcasing upcoming product launches suggesting continued growth momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$1.56
est $1.27
+22.8%$182.2M
est $178.6M
+2.0%+18.3%
May 5, 2026$1.95
est $1.80
+8.3%$175.6M
est $173.6M
+1.2%−1.8%
Feb 5, 2026$1.87
est $1.78
+5.1%$175.3M
est $173.2M
+1.2%−14.2%
Nov 4, 2025$1.86
est $1.56
+19.2%$169.9M
est $173.2M
−1.9%+16.8%
Aug 5, 2025$1.68
est $1.47
+14.3%$164.1M
est $161.3M
+1.7%−4.0%
May 6, 2025$1.67
est $1.46
+14.4%$159.9M
est $159.9M
0.0%−0.4%
Feb 6, 2025$1.60
est $1.37
+16.8%$159.2M
est $156.3M
+1.9%−7.1%
Nov 5, 2024$1.56
est $1.34
+16.4%$153.9M
est $150.7M
+2.1%+27.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Qualys stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Qualys is $179.36, +3.2% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$179.36consensus 12-month target, +3.2% from the last close
Low $130High $220
Buy3
Hold12
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10WedbushHold, downgraded$175+0.7%
Aug 5NeedhamHold, maintained——
Aug 5Northland SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$208+19.7%
Aug 5D.A. DavidsonHold, reiterated$165−5.1%
Aug 5ScotiabankBuy, reiterated$220+26.6%
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Qualys seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Qualys averaged −1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.1%2021−5.0%2022+3.8%2023−5.5%2024−6.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.2%4 of 5

For scale, QLYS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

Qualys market cap and key statistics

Qualys’s market cap is $6.12B, with a P/E ratio of 32 and revenue of $703.0M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.12B
P/E ratio
32
Forward P/E
21.9
EPS, TTM
$5.71
Gekko Fair Value
$197.10

Trading

Volume
600,547
Avg volume, 20 days
757,579
52-week high
$201.54
52-week low
$74.51
Shares outstanding
34.60M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$703.0M
Profit margin
29.4%
Return on equity
38.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+16.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.62
Typical daily move
±5.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%

Qualys peers

Qualys’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Qualys stock FAQ

What is Qualys’s market cap?

Qualys’s market cap is $6.12B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $173.83, with 34.60M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.

What is the Qualys stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Qualys is $179.36, +3.2% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 12 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Qualys stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Qualys is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $173.83 is 11.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $197.10. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Qualys report earnings next?

Qualys is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.95 per share on revenue of $186.7M. Qualys beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.3% on average across the report.

What is Qualys’s 52-week high and low?

Qualys’s 52-week high is $201.54 and its 52-week low is $74.51; it closed at $173.83 on Sep 28, 2026, +28.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $206.35 on Dec 19, 2023.

Is Qualys stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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