NASDAQ: CVLT

Commvault Systems (CVLT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$148.08+2.54 (+1.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Commvault this week added David Morton, EVP and CFO of Intapp, to its board of directors as Chairperson of the Operating Committee, effective September 22, a move framed around strengthening financial and technology sector leadership. Separately, Commvault and NetApp showcased their partnership at NetApp INSIGHT 2026, highlighting AI-driven cyber resilience that integrates NetApp's threat intelligence with Commvault's recovery workflows.

Shares closed at $148.08, up 1.7%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $137.75 and the 200-day average of $114.99, with the shorter average also above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 52.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 12.5% above the Gekko Fair Value of $131.66. Over the past six months the stock has returned 94.6%, though the one-year return is -20.3%.

Commvault's next earnings date is 27 October 2026, before the open, falling inside the typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 28 July showed EPS of $0.73 against an estimate of $0.61, with a -19.5% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 7 of 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.4% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst consensus among 13 firms stands at 9 buy and 4 hold, with a $160.55 price target.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Commvault Systems price vs fair value

$148.08$131.66Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $148.08200-day averageGekko Fair Value $131.66

Commvault Systems quick facts

Market cap
$6.14B
P/E ratio
93.3
Forward P/E
28
EPS, TTM
$1.56
Revenue, TTM
$1.22B
Profit margin
5.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.82
Volume
640,766 avg 556,043
1-year return
−20.3%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%
50-day average
$137.75
200-day average
$114.99
Next earnings
Oct 27 before open
Shares outstanding
41.44M
52-week range
$71.75$196.88

Commvault Systems swing-trade checklist

Commvault Systems scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $148.08 is above the 50-day ($137.75) and 200-day ($114.99) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.3, Neutral

    Reading 52.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    12.5% above

    Price is 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Commvault Systems stock chart and price history

Commvault Systems closed at $148.08 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $71.75 to $196.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Commvault Systems share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$75$100$125$175$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep148.08

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.5%
3 months
+2.7%
6 months
+94.6%
1 year
−20.3%
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About Commvault Systems

Commvault Systems builds software that helps organizations protect, recover, and manage their data across on-premises systems, cloud environments, and cloud-native applications. Its platform is centered on cyber resilience, giving customers ways to back up information, recover it after disruptions, and guard against cyber threats such as ransomware. It has become known for combining data protection with security features like threat scanning and early detection of attacks within backup data.

The company organizes its offerings around several core capabilities. These include tools for routine backup and recovery, automated disaster and cyber recovery across hybrid and multi-cloud setups, and isolated recovery environments for testing incident response. It also provides scale-out data protection infrastructure, air-gapped cloud storage, compliance reporting and auditing tools, and utilities for restoring cloud application environments or reverting stored data objects. Alongside its software, Commvault offers professional and customer support services to organizations working across the Americas and other regions.

Commvault was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CVLT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
commvault.com

Commvault Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Commvault Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.3, in the Neutral zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions.

010052.3Neutral

Up 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25+1.3%+4.5%+3.3%+4.5%
Accumulation187+0.7%+1.4%+1.2%+2.3%
Neutral (current zone)400+0.5%+0.7%+2.2%+6.6%
Distribution56+1.9%+4.3%+6.2%+10.5%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average CVLT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CVLT price, zone by zone.Track CVLT in Gekko

Is Commvault Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Commvault Systems trades 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $131.66, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Commvault Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$131.66

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

12.5% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CVLT in Gekko

Commvault Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Commvault Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVLT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CVLT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVLT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CVLT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CVLT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVLT in Gekko

Buybacks

Commvault Systems has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$10.13M
As a share of market cap
0.17%
Trailing four quarters
$441.2M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CVLT.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Commvault Systems earnings: next date and track record

Commvault Systems reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±16.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+18.5%Oct ’24−7.3%Jan ’25+0.7%Apr ’25+18.3%Jul ’25−19.5%Oct ’25−30.5%Jan ’26+14.4%Apr ’26−19.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Commvault Q1 FY2027 results exceeded expectations with subscription ARR growing 22% to $1.05 billion and SaaS ARR up 38% to $424 million. SaaS revenue hit a milestone $100 million quarterly run rate, while subscription revenue grew 16% to $267 million. EBIT margins expanded over 200 basis points to approximately 23%. Management positions AI as a key growth tailwind, with Clumio cited as a strong SaaS portfolio growth driver.
Guidance
Management did not provide explicit forward-looking financial targets in this excerpt. However, leadership expressed continued confidence in growth momentum driven by enterprise AI adoption, hybrid environment protection demand, and expanding platform capabilities.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.73
est $0.61
+19.7%$314.1M
est $310.4M
+1.2%−19.5%
Apr 28, 2026$1.28
est $1.09
+17.4%$311.7M
est $306.7M
+1.6%+14.4%
Jan 27, 2026$1.17
est $0.98
+19.4%$313.8M
est $299.1M
+4.9%−30.5%
Oct 28, 2025$0.91
est $0.94
−3.2%$276.2M
est $273.3M
+1.1%−19.5%
Jul 29, 2025$1.01
est $0.97
+4.1%$282.0M
est $273.2M
+3.2%+18.3%
Apr 29, 2025$1.03
est $0.93
+10.8%$275.0M
est $264.0M
+4.2%+0.7%
Jan 28, 2025$0.94
est $0.87
+8.0%$262.6M
est $245.6M
+6.9%−7.3%
Oct 29, 2024$0.83
est $0.76
+9.2%——+18.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Commvault Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Commvault Systems is $160.55, +8.4% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$160.55consensus 12-month target, +8.4% from the last close
Low $130High $175
Buy9
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 10FBN SecuritiesBuy, initiated$155+4.7%
Jul 29Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$182+22.9%
Jul 29OppenheimerBuy, maintained$175+18.2%
Jul 29ScotiabankHold, reiterated$130−12.2%
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Commvault Systems seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Commvault Systems averaged −2.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.3%2021+16.2%2022−2.3%2023−12.6%2024−10.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.4%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.1%3 of 5

For scale, CVLT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.

Commvault Systems market cap and key statistics

Commvault Systems’s market cap is $6.14B, with a P/E ratio of 93.3 and revenue of $1.22B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.14B
P/E ratio
93.3
Forward P/E
28
EPS, TTM
$1.56
Gekko Fair Value
$131.66

Trading

Volume
640,766
Avg volume, 20 days
556,043
52-week high
$196.88
52-week low
$71.75
Shares outstanding
41.44M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.22B
Profit margin
5.6%
Return on equity
32.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−3.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.82
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%

Commvault Systems stock news this week

Coverage of Commvault Systems this week reads positive: 10 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Commvault Systems peers

Commvault Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Commvault Systems stock FAQ

What is Commvault Systems’s market cap?

Commvault Systems’s market cap is $6.14B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $148.08, with 41.44M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 93.3.

What is the Commvault Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Commvault Systems is $160.55, +8.4% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Commvault Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Commvault Systems is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $148.08 is 12.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $131.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Commvault Systems report earnings next?

Commvault Systems is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.25 per share on revenue of $310.2M. Commvault Systems beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 16.1% on average across the report.

What is Commvault Systems’s 52-week high and low?

Commvault Systems’s 52-week high is $196.88 and its 52-week low is $71.75; it closed at $148.08 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $200.68 on Jul 30, 2025.

Is Commvault Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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