NASDAQ: OTEX

Open Text (OTEX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$22.22−0.29 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news around Open Text centers on debt management activity. The company revised terms of its cash tender offer for its 3.875% Senior Notes due 2028, disclosed via an 8-K filing on 25 September, and separately plans to conditionally redeem $1.0 billion of its 6.900% Senior Secured Notes due 2027 on 2 October, contingent on financing, while exploring a new senior secured notes offering under Rule 144A and Regulation S to fund the redemption and general corporate purposes.

Open Text closed at $22.22, down 1.3%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $24.00 and 200-day average of $24.83, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 11.8% over one month but up 0.6% over three months and 3.2% over six months, and remain down 40.3% over the past year, with a 52-week range of $19.77 to $39.90. The GekkoIndex reads 64.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $39.20 stands at -43.3%.

The next earnings date falls on 4 November, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August showed EPS of $1.14 against a $1.03 estimate, with an 8 of 8 beat streak, though shares reacted -2.8%, against an average absolute reaction of 6.8%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over five years shows a 1.3% average return across the next 20 trading days, positive in 4 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Open Text price vs fair value

$39.20$22.22Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $22.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $39.20

Open Text quick facts

Market cap
$5.39B
P/E ratio
9
Forward P/E
6.2
EPS, TTM
$2.53
Revenue, TTM
$5.25B
Profit margin
12.3%
Dividend yield
4.77%
Beta
1.03
Volume
789,572 avg 1.12M
1-year return
−40.3%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$24.00
200-day average
$24.83
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
242.1M
52-week range
$19.77$39.90

Open Text swing-trade checklist

Open Text scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $22.22 is below the 50-day ($24.00) and 200-day ($24.83) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.2, Accumulation

    Reading 64.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    43.3% below

    Price is 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Open Text stock chart and price history

Open Text closed at $22.22 on Sep 28, 2026, −40.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.77 to $39.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Open Text share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep22.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.8%
3 months
+0.6%
6 months
+3.2%
1 year
−40.3%
The full OTEX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OTEX in Gekko

Follow Open Text through every session

Put OTEX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track OTEX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Open Text

Open Text builds software that helps organizations manage and safeguard their information. Its offerings cover content services and business network tools for handling data both inside a company and with outside partners, alongside security products aimed at preventing cyber threats, keeping operations running, and responding to breaches through digital forensics and dedicated resilience tools. Familiar names such as Carbonite and Webroot sit within this security lineup.

The company's technology is built around its Information Management platform, supported by tools for eDiscovery and unstructured data analysis, a developer cloud offering API services, and AI-driven analytics for structured and unstructured information. It also provides digital process automation and a digital experience platform, along with customer support, consulting, training, and cloud services. Its customers range from large enterprises and mid-market companies to government bodies, smaller businesses, and individual users, and it works alongside partners including SAP, Google Cloud, Amazon AWS, Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, Accenture, ATOS, Capgemini, Cognizant, Deloitte, and Tata Consultancy Services.

Founded in 1991, Open Text is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada, with operations extending across the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, wider Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other regions. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker OTEX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
opentext.com

Open Text GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Open Text’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.7 points over five sessions.

010064.2Accumulation

Up 0.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying65−0.2%−1.1%−2.1%−6.9%
Accumulation (current zone)256−0.2%−0.3%−1.8%−4.3%
Neutral332−0.5%−0.9%−0.9%−0.4%
Distribution9Too few readings yet
Selling10−0.4%−3.6%−9.3%−13.7%

Average OTEX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OTEX price, zone by zone.Track OTEX in Gekko

Is Open Text stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Open Text trades 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Open Text shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$39.20

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

43.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OTEX in Gekko

Open Text insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Open Text, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OTEX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OTEX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OTEX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OTEX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OTEX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OTEX in Gekko

Buybacks

Open Text has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$469.3M
As a share of market cap
8.70%
Trailing four quarters
$873.0M

From company filings.

Open Text earnings: next date and track record

Open Text reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.2%Oct ’24−8.3%Feb ’25−4.9%Apr ’25+6.8%Aug ’25−3.3%Nov ’25+6.6%Feb ’26+7.3%May ’26−2.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
OpenText reported Q4 fiscal 2026 results with 1% top-line revenue growth, 3% core portfolio growth, and 9% cloud revenue growth in constant currency. Adjusted EBITDA margin came in at 37.1%. New CEO Ayman Antoun, recently appointed, conducted stakeholder assessments and is positioning OpenText as a 'secure data foundation in the AI stack,' emphasizing enterprise-grade data management as a key differentiator in a $300 billion addressable market.
Guidance
Fiscal 2027 is designated a 'foundation year' focused on ruthless prioritization, disciplined execution, and core growth in constant currency. Management aims to establish the foundation for enhanced performance in future years, with CFO to provide detailed fiscal 2027 outlook.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.14
est $1.03
+10.7%$1.33B
est $1.29B
+3.0%−2.8%
May 7, 2026$0.70
est $0.40
+75.0%$1.26B
est $1.26B
+0.6%+7.3%
Feb 5, 2026$1.13
est $1.04
+8.7%$1.32B
est $1.30B
+1.7%+6.6%
Nov 5, 2025$1.00
est $0.94
+6.4%$1.27B
est $1.34B
−5.0%−3.3%
Aug 7, 2025$0.97
est $0.86
+12.8%$1.31B
est $1.26B
+4.4%+6.8%
Apr 30, 2025$0.82
est $0.81
+1.2%$1.25B
est $1.28B
−2.1%−4.9%
Feb 6, 2025$1.11
est $0.93
+19.4%$1.33B
est $1.32B
+1.5%−8.3%
Oct 31, 2024$0.93
est $0.80
+16.3%$1.27B
est $1.28B
−1.0%−14.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Open Text stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Open Text is $27.95, +25.8% from the last close.

$27.95consensus 12-month target, +25.8% from the last close
−1.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Open Text seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Open Text averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.4%2021+7.5%2022−7.5%2023+1.4%2024+4.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.0%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.7%3 of 5

For scale, OTEX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Open Text market cap and key statistics

Open Text’s market cap is $5.39B, with a P/E ratio of 9 and revenue of $5.25B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.39B
P/E ratio
9
Forward P/E
6.2
EPS, TTM
$2.53
Gekko Fair Value
$39.20

Trading

Volume
789,572
Avg volume, 20 days
1.12M
52-week high
$39.90
52-week low
$19.77
Shares outstanding
242.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.25B
Profit margin
12.3%
Return on equity
16.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+476.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.03
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
4.77%

Open Text stock news this week

Coverage of Open Text this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Open Text peers

Open Text’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Open Text stock FAQ

What is Open Text’s market cap?

Open Text’s market cap is $5.39B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $22.22, with 242.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.

What is the Open Text stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Open Text is $27.95, +25.8% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Open Text stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Open Text is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $22.22 is 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $39.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Open Text report earnings next?

Open Text is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.94 per share on revenue of $1.23B. Open Text beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.8% on average across the report.

What is Open Text’s 52-week high and low?

Open Text’s 52-week high is $39.90 and its 52-week low is $19.77; it closed at $22.22 on Sep 28, 2026, −40.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $52.70 on Nov 17, 2021.

Is Open Text stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Open Text the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.