NYSE: MSGE

Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$79.78−1.06 (−1.3%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Madison Square Garden Entertainment closed at $79.78 on 12 October 2026, -1.3% on the day. The price sits above both the 50-day ($79.69) and 200-day ($68.83) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $41.69 to $90.41. The GekkoIndex reads 58.4, in the Neutral zone, up 0.8 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $69.49, so the price is 14.8% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 24 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 5 times, with an average move of 5.7% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +4.6% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

5 firms rate the stock: 3 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $91.62. A typical daily move is about 3.2%, and a typical 20-day move about 7.1%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (fair value, earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment price vs fair value

$79.78$69.49Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $79.78200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.49

Madison Square Garden Entertainment quick facts

Market cap
$3.77B
P/E ratio
59.2
Forward P/E
26.9
EPS, TTM
$1.38
Revenue, TTM
$1.06B
Profit margin
6.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.56
Volume
207,209 avg 528,578
1-year return
+90.5%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%
50-day average
$79.69
200-day average
$68.83
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
40.44M
52-week range
$41.69$90.41

Madison Square Garden Entertainment swing-trade checklist

Madison Square Garden Entertainment scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $79.78 is above the 50-day ($79.69) and 200-day ($68.83) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.4, Neutral

    Reading 58.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    14.8% above

    Price is 14.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock chart and price history

Madison Square Garden Entertainment closed at $79.78 on Oct 12, 2026, +90.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $41.69 to $90.41.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Madison Square Garden Entertainment share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70$90NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct79.78

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.7%
3 months
+8.3%
6 months
+31.2%
1 year
+90.5%
The full MSGE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSGE in Gekko

Follow Madison Square Garden Entertainment through every session

Put MSGE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Madison Square Garden Entertainment GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.4, in the Neutral zone, up 0.8 points over five sessions.

010058.4Neutral

Up 0.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+2.1%+4.7%+3.7%+10.1%
Accumulation150+0.6%+1.5%+4.8%+12.6%
Neutral (current zone)409+1.0%+1.6%+2.2%+4.9%
Distribution91−0.6%0.0%+1.8%+6.4%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average MSGE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSGE price, zone by zone.Track MSGE in Gekko

Is Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Madison Square Garden Entertainment trades 14.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.49, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Madison Square Garden Entertainment shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.49

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

14.8% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 10.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$69$81Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSGE in Gekko

Madison Square Garden Entertainment insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Madison Square Garden Entertainment, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MSGE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MSGE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSGE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MSGE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MSGE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSGE in Gekko

Buybacks

Madison Square Garden Entertainment has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$25.00M
As a share of market cap
0.66%
Trailing four quarters
$65.89M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MSGE.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Madison Square Garden Entertainment earnings: next date and track record

Madison Square Garden Entertainment reports on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.0%Nov ’24+2.4%Feb ’25+7.0%May ’25−9.7%Aug ’25+4.4%Nov ’25−3.4%Feb ’26−2.5%May ’26+6.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MSGE reported fiscal 2026 full-year revenues exceeding $1 billion and adjusted operating income of $262 million, up 13% and 18% respectively. The company hosted ~6.4 million guests across ~960 live events. Christmas Spectacular achieved record revenue of ~$195 million with 1.2 million tickets sold, highest attendance in 25 years. The Knicks NBA championship boosted per-game revenue streams, and the company repurchased ~$25 million in Class A stock.
Guidance
Management expects fiscal 2027 revenue and AOI growth, driven by increased event volume, a 30-date Harry Styles residency, 230 Christmas Spectacular performances, and continued momentum in sponsorships and premium hospitality. Arena license fees will be approximately $47 million in fiscal 2027, growing 3% annually.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 12, 2026−$0.13
est −$0.42
+69.0%$196.3M
est $166.6M
+17.8%+6.2%
May 7, 2026$0.23
est $0.18
+27.8%$246.3M
est $243.0M
+1.3%−2.5%
Feb 3, 2026$1.94
est $2.35
−17.4%$459.9M
est $452.1M
+1.7%−3.4%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.46
est −$0.59
+22.0%$158.3M
est $442.0M
−64.2%+4.4%
Aug 13, 2025−$0.50
est −$0.47
−6.4%$154.1M
est $143.4M
+7.5%−9.7%
May 6, 2025$0.33
est $0.25
+32.0%$242.5M
est $149.0M
+62.8%+7.0%
Feb 6, 2025$1.56
est $2.46
−36.6%$407.4M
est $230.5M
+76.8%+2.4%
Nov 8, 2024−$0.40
est −$0.78
+48.7%$134.1M
est $139.5M
−3.9%−10.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment is $91.62, +14.8% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$91.62consensus 12-month target, +14.8% from the last close
Low $83High $103
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8BTIGBuy, reiterated$100+25.3%
Aug 28Piper SandlerHold, maintained$86+7.8%
Aug 20Piper SandlerHold, initiated$86+7.8%
Aug 17J.P. MorganHold, maintained$83+4.0%
Aug 13Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$96+20.3%
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Madison Square Garden Entertainment averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+23.1%2021−1.2%2022−11.7%2023+1.9%2024+11.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.7%1 of 5

For scale, MSGE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment market cap and key statistics

Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s market cap is $3.77B, with a P/E ratio of 59.2 and revenue of $1.06B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.77B
P/E ratio
59.2
Forward P/E
26.9
EPS, TTM
$1.38
Gekko Fair Value
$69.49

Trading

Volume
207,209
Avg volume, 20 days
528,578
52-week high
$90.41
52-week low
$41.69
Shares outstanding
40.44M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.06B
Profit margin
6.2%
Return on equity
40.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−35.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.56
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.1%

Madison Square Garden Entertainment peers

Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DISWalt Disney+0.6%Neutral2.5% above
LYVLive Nation Entertainment−0.4%Accumulation9.2% below
TKOTKO−2.9%Accumulation46.1% below
DKNGDraftKings+0.9%Accumulation50.5% below
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports−0.2%Neutral3.0% above
CHDNChurchill Downs+0.7%Neutral36.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock FAQ

What is Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s market cap?

Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s market cap is $3.77B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $79.78, with 40.44M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 59.2.

What is the Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment is $91.62, +14.8% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Madison Square Garden Entertainment is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $79.78 is 14.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $69.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Madison Square Garden Entertainment report earnings next?

Madison Square Garden Entertainment is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.05 per share on revenue of $208.1M. Madison Square Garden Entertainment beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s 52-week high and low?

Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s 52-week high is $90.41 and its 52-week low is $41.69; it closed at $79.78 on Oct 12, 2026, +90.5% over the past year.

Is Madison Square Garden Entertainment stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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