NYSE: CNK

Cinemark (CNK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$38.38+0.61 (+1.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Cinemark reaches a new 52-week high of $39.02 this week, extending a nearly 64% year-to-date return, as the stock continues to react to strong second-quarter results reported on 30 July, when revenue of $1.09 billion and diluted EPS of $1.19 beat expectations. Morgan Stanley trims its price target on the stock to $40 from $42 while keeping an Overweight rating, and the company also announces new initiatives including a 4D E-Motion location expansion in Buenos Aires and a partnership with the Dallas Cowboys as their official movie theater. Peer AMC also rallies this week following a refinancing announcement, with IMAX noted as moving higher as well.

Cinemark closes at $38.38, up 1.6%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $35.89 and 200-day average of $29.53, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 46.8, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a higher level five days prior. Price sits 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.61.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November, 36 days away, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed an EPS beat with a 4.9% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in current windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows a -6% average return over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's proximity to its 52-week high of $39.07.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Cinemark price vs fair value

▲$62.61$38.38Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $38.38200-day averageGekko Fair Value $62.61

Cinemark quick facts

Market cap
$4.45B
P/E ratio
20
Forward P/E
13.6
EPS, TTM
$1.85
Revenue, TTM
$3.36B
Profit margin
6.4%
Dividend yield
0.98%
Beta
0.98
Volume
2.72M avg 2.14M
1-year return
+35.2%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±9.1%
50-day average
$35.89
200-day average
$29.53
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
115.9M
52-week range
$21.60$39.07

Cinemark swing-trade checklist

Cinemark scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $38.38 is above the 50-day ($35.89) and 200-day ($29.53) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.8, Neutral

    Reading 46.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    38.7% below

    Price is 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −6.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Cinemark stock chart and price history

Cinemark closed at $38.38 on Sep 28, 2026, +35.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $21.60 to $39.07.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Cinemark share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep38.38

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.9%
3 months
+17.4%
6 months
+36.8%
1 year
+35.2%
The full CNK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CNK in Gekko

Follow Cinemark through every session

Put CNK on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track CNK in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Cinemark

Cinemark runs movie theaters, showing first-run films to moviegoers across multiple continents. As of mid-2022, its network spanned 522 locations with a combined 5,868 screens, and the company is recognized for this scale of theatrical exhibition.

The business operates through a group of subsidiaries that manage these venues, with locations spread across the United States as well as South America and Central America. Its customers are the general public who purchase tickets and concessions at these theaters.

Cinemark was founded in 1984 and keeps its main offices in Plano, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CNK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Movies/Entertainment
Website
cinemark.com

Cinemark GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Cinemark’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.8, in the Neutral zone, down 11.5 points over five sessions.

010046.8Neutral

Down 11.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying34+0.7%+0.8%+3.5%+13.0%
Accumulation197+1.1%+3.2%+6.4%+10.1%
Neutral (current zone)356+0.8%+1.3%+2.2%+6.0%
Distribution77+0.8%+0.7%+1.3%+9.1%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average CNK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CNK price, zone by zone.Track CNK in Gekko

Is Cinemark stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Cinemark trades 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Cinemark shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$62.61

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

38.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CNK in Gekko

Cinemark insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Cinemark, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CNK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CNK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CNK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CNK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNK in Gekko

Buybacks

Cinemark has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$4.90M
As a share of market cap
0.11%
Trailing four quarters
$100.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CNK.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Cinemark earnings: next date and track record

Cinemark reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.1%Oct ’24−15.9%Feb ’25−0.3%May ’25−4.4%Aug ’25+8.4%Nov ’25+3.9%Feb ’26−7.7%May ’26+4.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Cinemark delivered record Q2 2026 results with worldwide quarterly revenue exceeding $1 billion for the first time in company history. Adjusted EBITDA reached an all-time high of $294 million with a 27.1% margin, the second-highest in company history. The company generated nearly $300 million in free cash flow, deployed $60 million in capex, and returned capital via buybacks and dividends. Record highs were achieved across admissions revenue, concession sales, per caps, premium amenity performance, and loyalty transactions.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in H2 2026 momentum, citing Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey as near-term catalysts. Long-term optimism is supported by expanded theatrical window exclusivity, rising young moviegoer frequency, and emerging content forms.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.19
est $1.03
+15.5%$1.09B
est $1.03B
+5.0%+4.9%
May 1, 2026−$0.06
est −$0.06
0.0%$643.1M
est $632.7M
+1.6%−7.7%
Feb 18, 2026$0.16
est $0.24
−33.3%$776.3M
est $774.4M
+0.2%+3.9%
Nov 5, 2025$0.40
est $0.44
−9.1%$857.5M
est $778.4M
+10.2%+8.4%
Aug 1, 2025$0.63
est $0.78
−19.2%$940.5M
est $877.4M
+7.2%−4.4%
May 2, 2025−$0.32
est −$0.32
0.0%$540.7M
est $922.5M
−41.4%−0.3%
Feb 19, 2025$0.33
est $0.39
−15.4%$814.3M
est $611.3M
+33.2%−15.9%
Oct 31, 2024$1.19
est $0.56
+112.5%$921.8M
est $785.0M
+17.4%−2.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Cinemark stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Cinemark is $39.82, +3.8% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$39.82consensus 12-month target, +3.8% from the last close
Low $33High $43
Buy6
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 24Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$40+4.2%
Sep 12Roth MKMBuy, maintained——
Aug 14J.P. MorganHold, downgraded$39+1.6%
Aug 3Goldman SachsHold, upgraded$33−14.0%
Aug 3Goldman SachsHold, maintained$33−14.0%
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−6.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Cinemark seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Cinemark averaged −6.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.7%2021−17.5%2022−15.5%2023+5.5%2024−1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−7.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−6.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.5%3 of 5

For scale, CNK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.1%.

Cinemark market cap and key statistics

Cinemark’s market cap is $4.45B, with a P/E ratio of 20 and revenue of $3.36B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.45B
P/E ratio
20
Forward P/E
13.6
EPS, TTM
$1.85
Gekko Fair Value
$62.61

Trading

Volume
2.72M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.14M
52-week high
$39.07
52-week low
$21.60
Shares outstanding
115.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.36B
Profit margin
6.4%
Return on equity
45.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+88.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.98
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±9.1%
Dividend yield
0.98%

Cinemark peers

Cinemark’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DISWalt Disney+0.5%Neutral0.1% below
LYVLive Nation Entertainment+0.6%Accumulation9.7% below
TKOTKO−1.4%Accumulation43.6% below
DKNGDraftKings−2.1%Accumulation50.1% below
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports+3.3%Neutral6.6% above
CHDNChurchill Downs−4.6%Buying41.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Cinemark stock FAQ

What is Cinemark’s market cap?

Cinemark’s market cap is $4.45B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $38.38, with 115.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.

What is the Cinemark stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Cinemark is $39.82, +3.8% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Cinemark stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Cinemark is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $38.38 is 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Cinemark report earnings next?

Cinemark is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.79 per share on revenue of $955.8M. Cinemark beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is Cinemark’s 52-week high and low?

Cinemark’s 52-week high is $39.07 and its 52-week low is $21.60; it closed at $38.38 on Sep 28, 2026, +35.2% over the past year.

Is Cinemark stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Cinemark the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.