NYSE: LION

Lionsgate Studios (LION) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.08−0.05 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Lionsgate Studios (LION) closes at $11.08, down 0.4% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $11.53 and its 200-day average of $11.44, a trend picture that is mixed. The stock is down 16.6% over the past three months, though it still shows an 80.8% one-year return. The GekkoIndex reads 61.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $12.97, putting the current price 14.6% below that level.

Lionsgate Studios next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, after the close, 24 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter, reported 6 August 2026, brought an actual EPS of -$0.05 against a -$0.08 estimate, with a -0.1% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of its last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 6.3% around results. No insider or Congress activity appears in the last 90 days, and no unusual options signals appear in the last 30 days. Holdings show two trailblazer holders and no billionaire holders. Among covering analysts, 9 firms give 5 buy, 3 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $15.08 implying 36.1% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Lionsgate Studios price vs fair value

$12.97$11.08Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.08200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.97

Lionsgate Studios quick facts

Market cap
$3.30B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
23.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.17
Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
1.73M avg 3.11M
1-year return
+80.8%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$11.53
200-day average
$11.44
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
12.50M
52-week range
$5.88$16.70

Lionsgate Studios swing-trade checklist

Lionsgate Studios scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $11.08 sits between the 50-day ($11.53) and 200-day ($11.44) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.7, Accumulation

    Reading 61.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.6% below

    Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Lionsgate Studios stock chart and price history

Lionsgate Studios closed at $11.08 on Oct 12, 2026, +80.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.88 to $16.70.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Lionsgate Studios share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$6$8$10$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.08

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.7%
3 months
−16.6%
6 months
+0.1%
1 year
+80.8%
The full LION chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LION in Gekko

Follow Lionsgate Studios through every session

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About Lionsgate Studios

Lionsgate Studios works as an independent, publicly traded company operating within the broader content space. Its activities bring together film and television production and distribution, so the company is involved in creating and delivering both movies and TV shows rather than focusing on just one form of content.

Alongside this production and distribution work, Lionsgate Studios holds a group of recognized brands and franchises, and it maintains a significant role in managing talent and shaping content development. The company also holds an archive of over 20,000 movie and television titles, representing a sizeable catalog built up over time. Together, these pieces, production, distribution, franchise ownership, talent management, and a large content library, form the core of how the company operates, guided by what is described as a bold and forward-leaning corporate approach.

Lionsgate Studios shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker LION.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Movies/Entertainment
Website
lheartcapital.com

Lionsgate Studios GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Lionsgate Studios’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions.

010061.7Accumulation

Up 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41−1.2%−0.3%+2.1%−7.3%
Accumulation (current zone)227+0.7%+0.7%+0.2%+3.2%
Neutral291+0.2%+0.6%+2.3%+6.9%
Distribution42+0.1%+0.8%+1.0%+4.8%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average LION share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LION price, zone by zone.Track LION in Gekko

Is Lionsgate Studios stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Lionsgate Studios trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.97, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Lionsgate Studios shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$12.97

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

14.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$13$11Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LION in Gekko

Lionsgate Studios insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lionsgate Studios, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for LION in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every LION insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LION in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LION were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LION, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LION in Gekko

Buybacks

Lionsgate Studios has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2018
$4.47M
As a share of market cap
0.14%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold LION.

1added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Lionsgate Studios earnings: next date and track record

Lionsgate Studios reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.7%Nov ’24+16.1%Feb ’25−1.9%May ’25+7.8%Aug ’25+1.9%Nov ’25+1.8%Feb ’26+18.7%May ’26−0.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Lionsgate reported a strong fiscal Q1 2027 with revenue up 48% year-over-year to $777 million, adjusted OIBDA of $79 million, operating income of $26 million, adjusted diluted EPS of $0.06, and free cash flow of $129 million. The Motion Picture Group delivered its best-ever first quarter driven by theatrical hits Michael and The Housemaid, with Motion Picture revenue more than doubling to $587 million and segment profit of $105 million. The company highlighted the value of its library (trailing 12-month library revenue ~$987 million) and a growing backlog of $1.5 billion (up 21% YoY). Management emphasized a content-first strategy, a pipeline of branded franchises (including Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, Resurrection, and a new Rambo), momentum in TV licensing (notably a strategic Netflix deal for the Power universe), and company-wide AI adoption. The balance sheet strengthened faster than expected, achieving mid-4x leverage earlier than planned and targeting further deleveraging toward 3–3.5x in fiscal '28 and below 3x thereafter. Management expressed confidence in FY27 and prospects for FY28 while noting timing-driven softness in TV revenues.
Guidance
Management reiterated a guide to a strong earnings year for fiscal 2027 and expects momentum into fiscal 2028 with growth. CFO Jimmy Barge expects continued deleveraging: maintaining low- to mid-4x leverage in the near term, approximately 3–3.5x in fiscal 2028, and below 3x thereafter (with a potential ~0.5x temporary increase if the 3 Arts transaction occurs in Q4). No detailed numeric revenue or EPS guidance was provided on the call beyond these leverage and qualitative growth expectations.
Risks flagged
Management flagged general uncertainty around M&A speculation and deal timing (e.g., the paused Paramount-Warner Bros transaction), the inherent variability of content performance (earnings depending on the performance of a few pieces of content), timing-related volatility in TV revenues due to episodic delivery schedules, and the need to deploy AI responsibly in partnership with creative talent. The company also noted forward-looking statements are subject to the risks listed in its public filings.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$0.05
est −$0.08
+37.5%$776.6M
est $693.1M
+12.0%−0.1%
May 21, 2026$0.37
est $0.24
+56.8%$906.5M
est $811.7M
+11.7%+18.7%
Feb 5, 2026$0.01
est $0.02
−45.9%$724.3M
est $811.8M
−10.8%+1.8%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.20
est −$0.18
−11.1%$475.1M
est $541.0M
−12.2%+1.9%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.32
est −$0.12
−166.7%$525.9M
est $725.1M
−27.5%+7.8%
May 22, 2025$0.21
est $0.62
−66.1%$1.07B
est $575.7M
+85.8%−1.9%
Feb 6, 2025$0.25
est $0.07
+257.1%$713.8M
est $948.0M
−24.7%+16.1%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.38
est −$0.42
+9.5%$823.7M
est $753.0M
+9.4%+1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Lionsgate Studios stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lionsgate Studios is $15.08, +36.1% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$15.08consensus 12-month target, +36.1% from the last close
Low $7High $18
Buy5
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25J.P. MorganSell, initiated$9−18.8%
Sep 18Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$15+35.4%
Sep 14Citizens JMPBuy, initiated$18+62.5%
Aug 11BarringtonBuy, reiterated$17+53.4%
Aug 10B. Riley SecuritiesHold, maintained$16+44.4%
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Lionsgate Studios market cap and key statistics

Lionsgate Studios’s market cap is $3.30B and revenue of $0 over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.30B
Forward P/E
23.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.17
Gekko Fair Value
$12.97

Trading

Volume
1.73M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.11M
52-week high
$16.70
52-week low
$5.88
Shares outstanding
12.50M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$0
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%

Lionsgate Studios peers

Lionsgate Studios’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DISWalt Disney+0.6%Neutral2.5% above
LYVLive Nation Entertainment−0.4%Accumulation9.2% below
TKOTKO−2.9%Accumulation46.1% below
DKNGDraftKings+0.9%Accumulation50.5% below
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports−0.2%Neutral3.0% above
CHDNChurchill Downs+0.7%Neutral36.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Lionsgate Studios stock FAQ

What is Lionsgate Studios’s market cap?

Lionsgate Studios’s market cap is $3.30B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.08, with 12.50M shares outstanding.

What is the Lionsgate Studios stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lionsgate Studios is $15.08, +36.1% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Lionsgate Studios stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Lionsgate Studios is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.08 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.97. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Lionsgate Studios report earnings next?

Lionsgate Studios is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.03 per share on revenue of $628.8M. Lionsgate Studios beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Lionsgate Studios’s 52-week high and low?

Lionsgate Studios’s 52-week high is $16.70 and its 52-week low is $5.88; it closed at $11.08 on Oct 12, 2026, +80.8% over the past year.

Is Lionsgate Studios stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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