NYSE: DIS

Walt Disney (DIS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$118.95+4.77 (+4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's move centers on planned cost cuts, with multiple reports indicating Walt Disney is considering thousands of layoffs companywide, including TV, film and parks divisions, as managers target 20% in annual cost savings. Alongside this, Disney expanded its partnership with WWE for a two-day event in December, launched the Korean series "The Remarried Empress" a day early on Disney+ and Hulu, and hosted its Accelerator Demo Day featuring collaborations on robotics and guest-experience technology.

DIS closed at $118.95, up 4.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $107.69 and 200-day average of $103.51, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock trades near its 52-week high of $119.96, and the one-month return stands at 14.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 42.7, placing it in the Distribution zone, down 13 points over the past five sessions. Price sits 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $107.45.

Earnings are scheduled for 17 November 2026, before the open, 12 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 August showed EPS of $2.06 against an estimate of $1.88, with a 6.6% reaction, part of a streak of 8 beats in 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 1.4% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. All 19 covering analysts rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $126.58. One billionaire holder is noted, with no insider, Congress, or options signals recorded in their respective windows.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Walt Disney price vs fair value

$118.95$107.45Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $118.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $107.45

Walt Disney quick facts

Market cap
$205.4B
P/E ratio
23.3
Forward P/E
14.8
EPS, TTM
$4.85
Revenue, TTM
$98.86B
Profit margin
8.7%
Dividend yield
1.35%
Beta
1.43
Volume
13.39M avg 8.18M
1-year return
+6.1%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
50-day average
$107.69
200-day average
$103.51
Next earnings
Nov 17 before open
Shares outstanding
1.73B
52-week range
$92.19$119.96

Walt Disney swing-trade checklist

Walt Disney scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $118.95 is above the 50-day ($107.69) and 200-day ($103.51) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    42.7, Distribution

    Reading 42.7 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    10.7% above

    Price is 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 12 days

    Reports on Nov 17, 2026, 12 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Walt Disney stock chart and price history

Walt Disney closed at $118.95 on Nov 4, 2026, +6.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $92.19 to $119.96.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Walt Disney share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$95$100$105$110$115DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct118.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.3%
3 months
+13.6%
6 months
+10.1%
1 year
+6.1%
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Follow Walt Disney through every session

Put DIS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Walt Disney

Walt Disney is a global entertainment company that produces and distributes films and television programming while also operating theme parks, resorts and consumer products. It is widely recognized for its film studios and broadcast networks, as well as its streaming services that bring shows and movies directly to viewers.

The business is arranged into two main areas. One focuses on media and entertainment, covering television networks like ABC and ESPN, film labels such as Pixar and Marvel, streaming services including Disney+ and Hulu, and related work in licensing, home entertainment, music and post-production effects. The other area, Parks, Experiences and Products, runs theme parks and resorts around the world, a cruise line, and vacation and travel offerings, along with the licensing and direct sale of merchandise, books and other branded goods tied to its characters and stories.

Walt Disney was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DIS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Movies/Entertainment
Website
thewaltdisneycompany.com

Walt Disney GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Walt Disney’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 42.7, in the Distribution zone, down 13 points over five sessions.

010042.7Distribution

Down 13 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying46+0.9%+1.0%+1.1%+5.4%
Accumulation252−0.3%−0.2%0.0%+1.8%
Neutral360+0.3%+0.5%+0.8%−0.6%
Distribution (current zone)35+1.7%+2.1%+2.8%+2.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average DIS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DIS price, zone by zone.Track DIS in Gekko

Is Walt Disney stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Walt Disney trades 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $107.45, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Walt Disney shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$107.45

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

10.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$107$114Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DIS in Gekko

Walt Disney insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Walt Disney, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DIS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DIS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DIS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DIS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DIS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DIS in Gekko

Buybacks

Walt Disney has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$1.75B
As a share of market cap
0.85%
Trailing four quarters
$8.25B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds DIS.

1added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Walt Disney earnings: next date and track record

Walt Disney reports on Nov 17, 2026, before the open (12 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+12.0%Nov ’24−1.1%Feb ’25+14.1%May ’25−4.6%Aug ’25−9.3%Nov ’25−7.6%Feb ’26+8.1%May ’26+6.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Disney reported an excellent fiscal Q3 with total company revenue growth of 7% and total segment operating income up 21% year-over-year. The Experiences segment delivered record Q3 revenue ($10B) and record segment operating income, with global guest growth of 4%, domestic parks attendance up 3%, and per-cap spending up 4%. Management emphasized execution of the One Disney strategy, investments in creative IP, technology, data unification, and the direct-to-consumer (DTC) flywheel across Disney+, Hulu and ESPN. Management reiterated full-year outlooks, reaffirmed double-digit adjusted EPS growth for fiscal 2026 and 2027, and noted Experiences OI now expected at the high end of prior high-single-digit growth guidance (ex-53rd week). Capital allocation updates include at least $9B of share repurchases for fiscal 2026 (up from ~$7B), a $24B content spend plan for the year, and ~$9B parks CapEx for fiscal 2026. Management discussed strategic initiatives such as Disney+/Hulu integration, potential free/FAST offerings, a TikTok content partnership to bring creator content into Disney+, and use of AI across studios and enterprise. They also noted favorable advertising demand tied to a strong live events calendar and sold-out Super Bowl inventory. Risks discussed include macroeconomic uncertainty, regional softness in Asia (Shanghai and Hong Kong parks), supply-driven pricing pressure in streaming advertising, fuel and geopolitical risks (with limited cruise fuel impact due to hedging), and content performance variability.
Guidance
- Reaffirmed double-digit adjusted EPS growth for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027. - Experiences segment OI expected at the high end of previously provided high-single-digit growth guidance for the fiscal year (excluding the 53rd week). - Capital allocation: at least $9 billion of share repurchases in fiscal 2026 (up from prior guidance ~ $7B); semiannual dividend increases continue; content spend ~ $24 billion for fiscal 2026; Parks CapEx ~ $9 billion for fiscal 2026. - No numeric revenue or EPS guidance beyond reaffirmations was provided on the call.
Risks flagged
- Continued macroeconomic uncertainty affecting consumer spending. - Weaker consumer demand in Asia impacting Shanghai and Hong Kong parks. - Competitive pricing pressure in streaming advertising due to growing supply/FAST channels. - Volatility in fuel prices and geopolitical conflict (noted but largely mitigated via hedging for cruises). - Variability in theatrical/content performance; some titles underperformed. - Tariff impacts and refunds (not material for full year).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$2.06
est $1.88
+9.6%$25.25B
est $25.39B
−0.6%+6.6%
May 6, 2026$1.57
est $1.50
+4.7%$25.17B
est $24.87B
+1.2%+8.1%
Feb 2, 2026$1.63
est $1.57
+3.8%$25.98B
est $25.70B
+1.1%−7.6%
Nov 13, 2025$1.11
est $1.02
+8.8%$22.46B
est $22.76B
−1.3%−9.3%
Aug 6, 2025$1.61
est $1.45
+11.0%$23.58B
est $23.69B
−0.5%−4.6%
May 7, 2025$1.45
est $1.19
+21.8%$23.62B
est $23.09B
+2.3%+14.1%
Feb 5, 2025$1.76
est $1.43
+23.1%$24.69B
est $24.67B
+0.1%−1.1%
Nov 14, 2024$1.14
est $1.11
+2.7%$22.57B
est $22.49B
+0.4%+12.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Walt Disney stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Walt Disney is $126.58, +6.4% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$126.58consensus 12-month target, +6.4% from the last close
Low $115High $144
Buy19
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$133+11.8%
Oct 30UBSBuy, maintained$133+11.8%
Oct 16Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$132+11.0%
Oct 16CitiBuy, maintained$140+17.7%
Oct 15Wells FargoBuy, maintained$132+11.0%
+2.8%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+1.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Walt Disney seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Walt Disney averaged +1.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−14.1%2021−3.7%2022+8.1%2023+21.6%2024−5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.6%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days0.0%2 of 5

For scale, DIS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.

Walt Disney market cap and key statistics

Walt Disney’s market cap is $205.4B, with a P/E ratio of 23.3 and revenue of $98.86B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$205.4B
P/E ratio
23.3
Forward P/E
14.8
EPS, TTM
$4.85
Gekko Fair Value
$107.45

Trading

Volume
13.39M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.18M
52-week high
$119.96
52-week low
$92.19
Shares outstanding
1.73B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$98.86B
Profit margin
8.7%
Return on equity
8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−48.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.43
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.2%
Dividend yield
1.35%

Walt Disney peers

Walt Disney’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LYVLive Nation Entertainment+0.4%Distribution4.0% below
TKOTKO+1.3%Neutral41.4% below
DKNGDraftKings+4.1%Neutral44.7% below
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports+1.5%Buying18.8% below
CHDNChurchill Downs−1.0%Distribution23.5% below
CNKCinemark+2.3%Neutral37.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Movies/Entertainment

Walt Disney stock FAQ

What is Walt Disney’s market cap?

Walt Disney’s market cap is $205.4B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $118.95, with 1.73B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.3.

What is the Walt Disney stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Walt Disney is $126.58, +6.4% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 19 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Walt Disney stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Walt Disney is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $118.95 is 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $107.45. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Walt Disney report earnings next?

Walt Disney is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026, before the market opens (12 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.69 per share on revenue of $25.19B. Walt Disney beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.9% on average across the report.

What is Walt Disney’s 52-week high and low?

Walt Disney’s 52-week high is $119.96 and its 52-week low is $92.19; it closed at $118.95 on Nov 4, 2026, +6.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $179.25 on Nov 8, 2021.

Is Walt Disney stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 3 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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