NYSE: MSGS

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$416.34+13.50 (+3.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Madison Square Garden Sports moves this week on a leadership change, with the company appointing Jamaal T. Lesane as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer, effective 21 September 2026. Lesane previously served as the company's Chief Operating Officer, marking an internal promotion into the legal role.

MSGS closed at $416.34, up 3.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $397.01 and its 200-day average of $341.81, with the shorter average above the longer one. The stock's one-month return stands at 5.8%, its six-month return at 33.8%, and its one-year return at 87.6%, close to its 52-week high of $438.93. The GekkoIndex reads 48.6, placing MSGS in the Neutral zone, down 6.1 over the past five readings. Against this, Gekko Fair Value is set at $390.61, putting the current price 6.6% above that level.

Earnings are next due on 30 October 2026, 31 days away, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 8 May 2026 showed an EPS of -0.78 against an estimate of 0.66, with a 3.5% reaction, and MSGS has beaten estimates in 4 of 8 recent quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent window. Seasonality over five years shows a 1% average 20-day return from this point, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage from 5 firms shows 3 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $480.67.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Madison Square Garden Sports price vs fair value

$416.34$390.61Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $416.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $390.61

Madison Square Garden Sports quick facts

Market cap
$10.02B
P/E ratio
1,257.8
Forward P/E
72.5
EPS, TTM
$0.32
Revenue, TTM
$1.15B
Profit margin
0.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.57
Volume
290,281 avg 289,865
1-year return
+87.6%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.2%
50-day average
$397.01
200-day average
$341.81
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
19.55M
52-week range
$207.90$438.93

Madison Square Garden Sports swing-trade checklist

Madison Square Garden Sports scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $416.34 is above the 50-day ($397.01) and 200-day ($341.81) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.6, Neutral

    Reading 48.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    6.6% above

    Price is 6.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Madison Square Garden Sports stock chart and price history

Madison Square Garden Sports closed at $416.34 on Sep 28, 2026, +87.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $207.90 to $438.93.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Madison Square Garden Sports share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$250$300$350$400NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep416.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.8%
3 months
+3.3%
6 months
+33.8%
1 year
+87.6%
The full MSGS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSGS in Gekko

Follow Madison Square Garden Sports through every session

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About Madison Square Garden Sports

Madison Square Garden Sports holds a group of professional sports franchises in the United States. Its best-known holdings are the New York Knickerbockers of the NBA and the New York Rangers of the NHL, giving the company its public identity as the owner behind two of New York's major professional teams.

Beyond these two flagship clubs, the company also owns development-level teams that feed into its main franchises: the Hartford Wolf Pack in the American Hockey League and the Westchester Knicks in the NBA G League. It further runs the Madison Square Garden Training Center in Greenburgh, a facility built for team performance and practice, supporting the athletic operations across its roster of clubs.

The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York. It was previously known as The Madison Square Garden Company. Shares of Madison Square Garden Sports are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MSGS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Movies/Entertainment
Website
msgsports.com

Madison Square Garden Sports GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Madison Square Garden Sports’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.6, in the Neutral zone, down 6.1 points over five sessions.

010048.6Neutral

Down 6.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying18+1.4%+0.2%−2.0%−0.6%
Accumulation165+0.8%+1.1%+2.5%+4.2%
Neutral (current zone)433+0.6%+1.3%+2.4%+7.8%
Distribution54+0.3%+1.3%+3.8%+8.6%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average MSGS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSGS price, zone by zone.Track MSGS in Gekko

Is Madison Square Garden Sports stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Madison Square Garden Sports trades 6.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $390.61, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Madison Square Garden Sports shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$390.61

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

6.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSGS in Gekko

Madison Square Garden Sports insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Madison Square Garden Sports, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MSGS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MSGS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSGS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MSGS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MSGS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSGS in Gekko

Buybacks

Madison Square Garden Sports has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$8.77M
As a share of market cap
0.09%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MSGS.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Madison Square Garden Sports earnings: next date and track record

Madison Square Garden Sports reports on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.5%Aug ’24−3.1%Nov ’24−4.3%Feb ’25−2.1%May ’25−3.9%Aug ’25−3.5%Oct ’25−2.8%Feb ’26+3.5%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 8, 2026−$0.78
est $0.66
−218.2%$432.2M
est $429.7M
+0.6%+3.5%
Feb 5, 2026$0.34
est $0.46
−26.1%$403.4M
est $395.7M
+2.0%−2.8%
Oct 31, 2025−$0.37
est −$0.92
+59.8%$39.45M
est $394.6M
−90.0%−3.5%
Aug 12, 2025−$0.07
est −$0.42
+83.3%$204.0M
est $42.00M
+385.6%−3.9%
May 2, 2025−$0.59
est $1.48
−139.9%$424.2M
est $141.3M
+200.3%−2.1%
Feb 4, 2025$0.05
est $0.30
−83.3%$357.8M
est $437.8M
−18.3%−4.3%
Nov 1, 2024−$0.31
est −$0.78
+60.3%$53.31M
est $352.4M
−84.9%−3.1%
Aug 13, 2024$1.06
est $0.38
+178.9%$227.3M
est $167.6M
+35.6%+0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Madison Square Garden Sports stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Madison Square Garden Sports is $480.67, +15.5% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$480.67consensus 12-month target, +15.5% from the last close
Low $415High $584
Buy3
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 26Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$450+8.1%
Aug 20BTIGHold, maintained——
Aug 17CitiHold, maintained$415−0.3%
Aug 14J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$485+16.5%
Aug 13GuggenheimBuy, maintained$584+40.3%
+2.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Madison Square Garden Sports seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Madison Square Garden Sports averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.8%2021+9.4%2022−6.3%2023+6.7%2024−1.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.6%3 of 5

For scale, MSGS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.2%.

Madison Square Garden Sports market cap and key statistics

Madison Square Garden Sports’s market cap is $10.02B, with a P/E ratio of 1,257.8 and revenue of $1.15B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.02B
P/E ratio
1,257.8
Forward P/E
72.5
EPS, TTM
$0.32
Gekko Fair Value
$390.61

Trading

Volume
290,281
Avg volume, 20 days
289,865
52-week high
$438.93
52-week low
$207.90
Shares outstanding
19.55M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.15B
Profit margin
0.7%
Return on equity
-12.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+645.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.2%

Madison Square Garden Sports stock news this week

1 headline about Madison Square Garden Sports from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Madison Square Garden Sports peers

Madison Square Garden Sports’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DISWalt Disney+0.5%Neutral0.1% below
LYVLive Nation Entertainment+0.6%Accumulation9.7% below
TKOTKO−1.4%Accumulation43.6% below
DKNGDraftKings−2.1%Accumulation50.1% below
CHDNChurchill Downs−4.6%Buying41.2% below
CNKCinemark+1.9%Neutral38.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Madison Square Garden Sports stock FAQ

What is Madison Square Garden Sports’s market cap?

Madison Square Garden Sports’s market cap is $10.02B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $416.34, with 19.55M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 1,257.8.

What is the Madison Square Garden Sports stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Madison Square Garden Sports is $480.67, +15.5% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Madison Square Garden Sports stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Madison Square Garden Sports is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $416.34 is 6.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $390.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Madison Square Garden Sports report earnings next?

Madison Square Garden Sports is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$1.09 per share on revenue of $40.57M. Madison Square Garden Sports beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.

What is Madison Square Garden Sports’s 52-week high and low?

Madison Square Garden Sports’s 52-week high is $438.93 and its 52-week low is $207.90; it closed at $416.34 on Sep 28, 2026, +87.6% over the past year.

Is Madison Square Garden Sports stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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