NYSE: ACEL

Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.17+0.17 (+1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Accel Entertainment confirmed it will report third quarter 2026 results and host a conference call on 3 November, concerning the company's upcoming earnings release rather than any new operating or regulatory development this week.

Shares of ACEL closed at $11.17, up 1.5%, though the stock sits below both its 50-day average of $11.60 and its 200-day average of $11.74, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 60.3, placing ACEL in the Accumulation zone, down from a five-day change of -10.6. Gekko Fair Value stands at $13.12, putting the current price 14.9% below that level.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November, 21 days out, landing inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last reported quarter saw EPS of $0.27 against an estimate of $0.19, with a -1.4% reaction, and ACEL has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +4%, positive in 3 of those years. Consensus among 4 analysts stands at 2 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $15.57.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Accel Entertainment price vs fair value

$13.12$11.17Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.17200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.12

Accel Entertainment quick facts

Market cap
$909.2M
P/E ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
16.1
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Revenue, TTM
$1.39B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.07
Volume
315,175 avg 386,281
1-year return
+7.5%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$11.60
200-day average
$11.74
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
81.39M
52-week range
$9.55$14.00

Accel Entertainment swing-trade checklist

Accel Entertainment scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.17 is below the 50-day ($11.60) and 200-day ($11.74) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.3, Accumulation

    Reading 60.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.9% below

    Price is 14.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Accel Entertainment stock chart and price history

Accel Entertainment closed at $11.17 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.55 to $14.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Accel Entertainment share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$13NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.17

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.7%
3 months
−10.6%
6 months
−4.3%
1 year
+7.5%
The full ACEL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ACEL in Gekko

Follow Accel Entertainment through every session

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Accel Entertainment GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Accel Entertainment’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 10.6 points over five sessions.

010060.3Accumulation

Down 10.6 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32−0.2%−0.4%+2.5%+7.9%
Accumulation (current zone)208+1.2%+1.0%+1.8%+3.5%
Neutral4070.0%+0.3%+0.2%0.0%
Distribution29−3.5%−4.7%−5.3%−6.2%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average ACEL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ACEL price, zone by zone.Track ACEL in Gekko

Is Accel Entertainment stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Accel Entertainment trades 14.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.12, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Accel Entertainment shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$13.12

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

14.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$13$11Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ACEL in Gekko

Accel Entertainment insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Accel Entertainment, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ACEL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ACEL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ACEL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ACEL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ACEL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ACEL in Gekko

Buybacks

Accel Entertainment has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$5.58M
As a share of market cap
0.61%
Trailing four quarters
$41.10M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ACEL.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Accel Entertainment earnings: next date and track record

Accel Entertainment reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.3%Jul ’24−3.7%Oct ’24−0.8%Feb ’25+7.6%May ’25+1.9%Jul ’25+1.5%Nov ’25+10.1%Mar ’26−1.4%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 11, 2026$0.27
est $0.19
+43.5%——−1.4%
Mar 4, 2026$0.29
est $0.17
+71.3%$341.4M
est $335.7M
+1.7%+10.1%
Nov 4, 2025$0.24
est $0.20
+20.0%$329.7M
est $335.7M
−1.8%+1.5%
Jul 28, 2025$0.26
est $0.22
+18.2%$335.9M
est $326.1M
+3.0%+1.9%
May 6, 2025$0.17
est $0.21
−20.1%$323.9M
est $327.4M
−1.1%+7.6%
Feb 26, 2025$0.21
est $0.20
+5.0%$317.5M
est $306.1M
+3.7%−0.8%
Oct 30, 2024$0.22
est $0.20
+10.0%$302.2M
est $304.1M
−0.6%−3.7%
Jul 30, 2024$0.25
est $0.21
+19.0%$309.4M
est $297.0M
+4.2%+11.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Accel Entertainment stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Accel Entertainment is $15.57, +39.4% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$15.57consensus 12-month target, +39.4% from the last close
Low $14High $16
Buy2
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Northland SecuritiesBuy, maintained$16+43.2%
Aug 21Wells FargoHold, initiated$14+25.3%
Aug 19Truist FinancialHold, maintained——
Aug 5Truist FinancialHold, maintained$14+25.3%
Aug 5Northland SecuritiesBuy, maintained$16+43.2%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Accel Entertainment seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Accel Entertainment averaged +4.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.5%2021+18.3%2022−5.7%2023+1.5%20240.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.7%2 of 5

For scale, ACEL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Accel Entertainment market cap and key statistics

Accel Entertainment’s market cap is $909.2M, with a P/E ratio of 16.6 and revenue of $1.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$909.2M
P/E ratio
16.6
Forward P/E
16.1
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Gekko Fair Value
$13.12

Trading

Volume
315,175
Avg volume, 20 days
386,281
52-week high
$14.00
52-week low
$9.55
Shares outstanding
81.39M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.39B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
20.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+87.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.07
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%

Accel Entertainment stock news this week

1 headline about Accel Entertainment from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Accel Entertainment peers

Accel Entertainment’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DISWalt Disney+0.6%Neutral2.5% above
LYVLive Nation Entertainment−0.4%Accumulation9.2% below
TKOTKO−2.9%Accumulation46.1% below
DKNGDraftKings+0.9%Accumulation50.5% below
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports−0.2%Neutral3.0% above
CHDNChurchill Downs+0.7%Neutral36.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Accel Entertainment stock FAQ

What is Accel Entertainment’s market cap?

Accel Entertainment’s market cap is $909.2M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.17, with 81.39M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.6.

What is the Accel Entertainment stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Accel Entertainment is $15.57, +39.4% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Accel Entertainment stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Accel Entertainment is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.17 is 14.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.12. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Accel Entertainment report earnings next?

Accel Entertainment is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.17 per share on revenue of $357.4M. Accel Entertainment beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.

What is Accel Entertainment’s 52-week high and low?

Accel Entertainment’s 52-week high is $14.00 and its 52-week low is $9.55; it closed at $11.17 on Oct 12, 2026, +7.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $14.10 on Nov 8, 2021.

Is Accel Entertainment stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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