NASDAQ: MDLZ

Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Mondelez International, Inc. Consumer non-durables sector, food: specialty/candy industry. Market cap $77.66B.

$60.85−1.19 (−1.9%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Mondelez (MDLZ) closes at $60.85, down 1.9%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $61.98 and 200-day average of $59.35. The GekkoIndex reads 65.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value of $78.08 stands at -22.1%. Over the past month the shares are down 5.2%, though the six-month return remains positive at 7.7%.

Recent coverage centers on ownership and valuation comparisons alongside cost pressure questions. NewEdge Advisors LLC disclosed an $8.18 million position after raising its stake by 58.6% in the second quarter, per a Form 13F filing. Separate coverage weighed MDLZ against Danone (DANOY) on relative value, while another piece examined whether productivity and pricing gains can offset elevated cocoa cost pressure that has weighed on year-to-date profit and EPS despite a lift to Q2 gross margin.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 27 October 2026, after the close, which is 37 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 28 July 2026 beat estimates, with EPS of $0.73 against a $0.67 estimate, producing a 7.1% reaction; the company has beaten in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4%. Analyst coverage from 15 firms shows 12 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $69.13. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -4.7% across 5 years, with no positive occurrences in that span, a pattern worth noting alongside the current trend.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $60.85200-day averageGekko Fair Value $78.08

Key stats

Market cap
$77.66B
P/E ratio
22.8
Forward P/E
18.6
EPS, TTM
$2.72
Revenue, TTM
$39.67B
Profit margin
8.9%
Dividend yield
3.21%
Beta
0.40
Volume
16.79M avg 7.42M
1-year return
−3.2%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
50-day average
$61.98
200-day average
$59.35
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
1.28B
52-week range
$51.20$66.65

Mondelez International swing-trade checklist

Mondelez International scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $60.85 sits between the 50-day ($61.98) and 200-day ($59.35) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.5, Accumulation

    Reading 65.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.1% below

    Price is 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.7% over 5 years, rising in 0 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Mondelez International stock chart and price history

Mondelez International closed at $60.85 on Sep 18, 2026, −3.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $51.20 to $66.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.2%
3 months
+1.2%
6 months
+7.7%
1 year
−3.2%
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About Mondelez International

Mondelez International makes and sells packaged food and drink items, with a focus on snacking. Its lineup includes biscuits, cookies, crackers, and savory snacks, alongside chocolate, chewing gum, candy, cheese, grocery staples, and powdered drink mixes. The company is known for brands such as Cadbury, Milka, and Toblerone chocolates, Oreo, belVita, and LU biscuits, Halls candies, Trident gum, and Tang beverages, and it sells across North America, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.

Products reach customers through supermarkets, wholesalers, supercenters, club and discount stores, mass merchandisers, convenience shops, petrol stations, and pharmacies. Mondelez moves goods to these outlets using direct store delivery, its own and outside warehouses, third-party distributors, independent sales agents, and online retail channels.

The company traces back to 2000 under the name Kraft Foods Inc., adopting the Mondelez International name in October 2012. It is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MDLZ.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Food: specialty/candy
Website
mondelezinternational.com

Mondelez International GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Mondelez International’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.

010065.5Accumulation

Up 5.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+0.5%+0.6%0.0%+3.4%
Accumulation (current zone)257−0.3%−0.3%−0.2%+0.5%
Neutral342+0.1%−0.1%−0.3%−2.3%
Distribution21−1.3%−1.8%−4.0%−7.6%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average MDLZ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MDLZ price, zone by zone.Track MDLZ in Gekko

Is Mondelez International stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Mondelez International trades 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.08, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Mondelez International shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$78.08

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

22.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MDLZ in Gekko

Mondelez International insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mondelez International, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MDLZ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MDLZ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MDLZ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MDLZ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MDLZ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MDLZ in Gekko

Buybacks

Mondelez International has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$212.0M
As a share of market cap
0.27%

From company filings.

Mondelez International earnings: next date and track record

Mondelez International reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.4%Oct ’240.0%Feb ’25+4.7%Apr ’25−6.4%Jul ’25−6.2%Oct ’25+1.2%Feb ’26+6.3%Apr ’26+7.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
The transcript is from Mondelez International's Q2 2026 earnings Q&A. Management presents strong top-line growth (4.4% in Q2), driven by emerging markets (India, Mexico, Brazil), distribution expansion, and product innovation. North America showed improving execution with positive volume mix and share gains across categories; investments in A&C and innovation (Ritz, Oreo relaunch, Biscoff) are key growth levers. Europe showed signs of improvement with positive volume trajectory expected in H2 despite heat wave impacts on chocolate and some price lapping effects. Gross profit dollars increased (+3% in gross profit dollars) and EBIT is expected to grow in Q3 and Q4; EPS guidance maintained for the full year with Q3 somewhat below due to cocoa phasing and tax/interest timing, reversing in Q4. Management highlighted productivity initiatives, supply chain efficiencies, and AI use to drive overhead savings and reinvestment. They expect strong 2027 EPS growth, insulated somewhat from commodity volatility due to productivities and volume mix improvements. Risks noted include cocoa price volatility (El Nino concerns), Middle East conflict costs, heat wave impacts on European chocolate demand, and macro consumer affordability and inflation concerns in North America. Overall tone is confident and constructive, with management reiterating reinvestment strategy and long-term structural opportunities in emerging markets and underpenetrated channels in developed markets.
Guidance
Maintaining full-year EPS outlook; top-line at least +2% for full year. Management expects similar levels of growth across H2 quarters, with top-line at least +2% and positive volume mix; gross profit dollars to accelerate in Q3 and Q4; EBIT in dollars to be up in Q3 and Q4 (more in Q4); EPS expected to be back-weighted into Q4 due to cocoa phasing and tax/interest items in Q3. Strong 2027 EPS growth expected (no numeric guidance).
Risks flagged
Cocoa price volatility (El Nino, pod counts, spec positioning); Middle East conflict incremental cost and revenue impact; European heat wave reducing chocolate consumption in Q2/Q3; subdued consumer confidence and inflation/affordability pressures in North America; macroeconomic uncertainty possible deceleration.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.73
est $0.67
+9.0%$9.36B
est $9.21B
+1.6%+7.1%
Apr 28, 2026$0.67
est $0.61
+9.8%$10.08B
est $9.75B
+3.4%+6.3%
Feb 3, 2026$0.72
est $0.70
+2.9%$10.49B
est $10.31B
+1.8%+1.2%
Oct 28, 2025$0.73
est $0.71
+2.8%$9.74B
est $9.74B
0.0%−6.2%
Jul 29, 2025$0.73
est $0.68
+7.4%$8.98B
est $8.86B
+1.4%−6.4%
Apr 29, 2025$0.74
est $0.66
+12.1%$9.31B
est $9.31B
0.0%+4.7%
Feb 4, 2025$0.65
est $0.65
0.0%$9.60B
est $9.64B
−0.4%0.0%
Oct 29, 2024$0.99
est $0.85
+16.5%$9.20B
est $9.11B
+1.0%+0.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Mondelez International stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mondelez International is $69.13, +13.6% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$69.13consensus 12-month target, +13.6% from the last close
Low $66High $74
Buy12
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 10BarclaysBuy, maintained$70+15.0%
Aug 21Piper SandlerHold, maintained$66+8.5%
Aug 20BernsteinBuy, maintained$74+21.6%
Jul 31DBSBuy, maintained$74+21.6%
Jul 29Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$70+15.0%
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Mondelez International seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Mondelez International averaged −4.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 0 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.1%2021−4.9%2022−11.1%2023−4.9%2024−2.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.6%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.3%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.9%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.7%0 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.3%2 of 5

For scale, MDLZ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.

Mondelez International market cap and key statistics

Mondelez International’s market cap is $77.66B, with a P/E ratio of 22.8 and revenue of $39.67B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$77.66B
P/E ratio
22.8
Forward P/E
18.6
EPS, TTM
$2.72
Gekko Fair Value
$78.08

Trading

Volume
16.79M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.42M
52-week high
$66.65
52-week low
$51.20
Shares outstanding
1.28B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$39.67B
Profit margin
8.9%
Return on equity
13.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+144.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.40
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
Dividend yield
3.21%

Mondelez International stock news this week

3 headlines about Mondelez International from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Mondelez International peers

Mondelez International’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PEPPepsiCo−1.9%Buying20.2% below
HSYHershey+1.0%Buying30.6% below
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances−1.3%Neutral3.4% above
SJMJ.M. Smucker+0.1%Neutral7.4% above
MKCMcCormick−0.7%Buying17.2% below
DARDarling Ingredients−1.4%Neutral14.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Mondelez International stock FAQ

What is Mondelez International’s market cap?

Mondelez International’s market cap is $77.66B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $60.85, with 1.28B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.8.

What is the Mondelez International stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mondelez International is $69.13, +13.6% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Mondelez International stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Mondelez International is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $60.85 is 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $78.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Mondelez International report earnings next?

Mondelez International is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.72 per share on revenue of $9.99B. Mondelez International beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Mondelez International’s 52-week high and low?

Mondelez International’s 52-week high is $66.65 and its 52-week low is $51.20; it closed at $60.85 on Sep 18, 2026, −3.2% over the past year.

Is Mondelez International stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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