NYSE: MKC

McCormick (MKC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$48.46+0.52 (+1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

McCormick's week is dominated by the approach of fiscal Q3 results, due 1 October, with UBS anticipating the company will maintain its fiscal 2026 guidance when it reports. Analyst commentary also circulated on Q3 outlook estimates and an average target price of $59.80, alongside a separate report citing a consensus target of $60.08. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share, payable 26 October, marking its 102nd consecutive year of dividend payments. Its last quarterly report showed EPS of $0.80 against a $0.69 estimate, with a 7.2% reaction.

The stock closed at $48.46, up 1.1%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $52.15 and 200-day average of $55.92, with the 50-day also under the 200-day. Over the past year the shares are down 25%, with three-month and six-month returns of -6.9% and -8.7% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 68.8, placing MKC in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.29.

Earnings arrive 1 October, before the open, just 2 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window, with an average absolute reaction of 4.5% historically. Smart-money activity includes one insider purchase in the last 90 days and one unusual options signal in the last 30 days, with call premium of $278,180 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -4.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

McCormick price vs fair value

$57.29$48.46Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $48.46200-day averageGekko Fair Value $57.29

McCormick quick facts

Market cap
$13.03B
P/E ratio
8.2
Forward P/E
14.3
EPS, TTM
$5.85
Revenue, TTM
$7.39B
Profit margin
21.9%
Dividend yield
3.79%
Beta
0.63
Volume
3.17M avg 3.18M
1-year return
−25.0%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$52.15
200-day average
$55.92
Next earnings
Oct 1 before open
Shares outstanding
254.1M
52-week range
$44.82$72.41

McCormick swing-trade checklist

McCormick scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $48.46 is below the 50-day ($52.15) and 200-day ($55.92) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.8, Accumulation

    Reading 68.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.4% below

    Price is 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 2 days

    Reports on Oct 1, 2026, 2 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

McCormick stock chart and price history

McCormick closed at $48.46 on Sep 28, 2026, −25.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $44.82 to $72.41.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
McCormick share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep48.46

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.1%
3 months
−6.9%
6 months
−8.7%
1 year
−25.0%
The full MKC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MKC in Gekko

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About McCormick

McCormick produces and markets spices, seasonings, sauces, and condiments used throughout the food business, supplying both home cooks and commercial buyers. The company has built its reputation on flavoring products, particularly its namesake spice line and a set of familiar branded seasonings and sauces.

Its business splits into two divisions. The Consumer division covers herbs, spices, seasoning mixes, sauces, and desserts marketed under labels such as French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's, Cholula, Club House, and OLD BAY in the Americas, Ducros and Schwartz across Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, DaQiao in China, and Aeroplane in Australia, plus ethnic and regional lines and goods made for store brands. These products reach shoppers through grocery chains, mass retailers, warehouse clubs, drugstores, discounters, and online sellers, moving either straight to those outlets or through distributors. The Flavor Solutions division works with major food producers and foodservice operators, providing seasoning blends, coatings, and custom flavor mixes delivered directly or through distribution partners.

The company traces its founding to 1889 and runs its operations from Hunt Valley, Maryland. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker MKC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Food: specialty/candy
Website
mccormickcorporation.com

McCormick GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

McCormick’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.9 points over five sessions.

010068.8Accumulation

Down 5.9 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying40+0.1%+1.2%+2.1%−0.1%
Accumulation (current zone)261+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%+0.5%
Neutral351−0.3%−0.6%−1.2%−3.1%
Distribution19−0.8%−2.7%−1.4%−4.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MKC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MKC price, zone by zone.Track MKC in Gekko

Is McCormick stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

McCormick trades 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.29, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what McCormick shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$57.29

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

15.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MKC in Gekko

McCormick insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in McCormick worth $55K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$55Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 27Michael Aaron Conway
Director
Purchase1,100$55K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MKC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MKC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MKC in Gekko

Buybacks

McCormick has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
$8.40M
As a share of market cap
0.06%
Trailing four quarters
$51.40M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $278K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold MKC.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

McCormick earnings: next date and track record

McCormick reports on Oct 1, 2026, before the open (2 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.3%Oct ’24+2.3%Jan ’25+0.7%Mar ’25+3.6%Jun ’25−3.6%Oct ’25−8.7%Jan ’26−9.9%Mar ’26+7.2%Jun ’26

Last earnings call, Jun 25, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MKC reported Q2 total sales growth of 14% in constant currency, with 12% from McCormick Mexico acquisition and 2% organic growth driven by pricing. Flavor Solutions exceeded expectations with volume growth across large CPG, private label, and branded foodservice. Consumer segment faced headwinds from price gaps and shifting demand in the Americas, while EMEA and Asia Pacific delivered sustained volume growth. Share gains were achieved in spices, hot sauce, mustard, and recipe mixes across multiple markets.
Guidance
Management expects sequential Consumer volume improvement in Q3 and volume growth in Q4, supported by revenue growth management initiatives and expanded distribution. Company expressed confidence in delivering on its 2026 outlook, with plans to sustain Flavor Solutions momentum and increase reinvestment in Consumer.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jun 25, 2026$0.80
est $0.69
+15.9%$1.94B
est $1.91B
+1.2%+7.2%
Mar 31, 2026$0.66
est $0.62
+6.6%$1.87B
est $1.79B
+4.9%−9.9%
Jan 22, 2026$0.86
est $0.87
−1.1%$1.85B
est $1.84B
+0.3%−8.7%
Oct 7, 2025$0.85
est $0.83
+2.5%$1.72B
est $1.72B
+0.6%−3.6%
Jun 26, 2025$0.69
est $0.65
+6.2%$1.66B
est $1.66B
+0.1%+3.6%
Mar 25, 2025$0.60
est $0.64
−6.7%$1.61B
est $1.61B
−0.4%+0.7%
Jan 23, 2025$0.80
est $0.77
+3.9%$1.80B
est $1.77B
+1.4%+2.3%
Oct 1, 2024$0.83
est $0.68
+22.1%$1.68B
est $1.67B
+0.7%−0.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

McCormick stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for McCormick is $60.08, +24.0% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$60.08consensus 12-month target, +24.0% from the last close
Low $55High $68
Buy4
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$62+27.9%
Sep 18Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$65+34.1%
Sep 18J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$62+27.9%
Sep 17JefferiesBuy, reiterated$62+27.9%
Sep 14TD CowenHold, downgraded$55+13.5%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

McCormick seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, McCormick averaged −4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.8%2021+5.6%2022−16.7%2023−4.8%2024+0.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−4.2%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.6%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.0%1 of 5

For scale, MKC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

McCormick market cap and key statistics

McCormick’s market cap is $13.03B, with a P/E ratio of 8.2 and revenue of $7.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$13.03B
P/E ratio
8.2
Forward P/E
14.3
EPS, TTM
$5.85
Gekko Fair Value
$57.29

Trading

Volume
3.17M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.18M
52-week high
$72.41
52-week low
$44.82
Shares outstanding
254.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.39B
Profit margin
21.9%
Return on equity
24.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−14.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.63
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
3.79%

McCormick stock news this week

Coverage of McCormick this week reads positive: 5 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

McCormick peers

McCormick’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PEPPepsiCo+0.8%Buying17.5% below
MDLZMondelez International0.0%Accumulation19.9% below
HSYHershey−1.0%Buying30.4% below
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances+1.4%Neutral2.9% below
SJMJ.M. Smucker−0.1%Accumulation7.5% above
DARDarling Ingredients−2.1%Accumulation20.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

McCormick stock FAQ

What is McCormick’s market cap?

McCormick’s market cap is $13.03B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $48.46, with 254.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.2.

What is the McCormick stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for McCormick is $60.08, +24.0% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is McCormick stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate McCormick is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $48.46 is 15.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does McCormick report earnings next?

McCormick is expected to report on Oct 1, 2026, before the market opens (2 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.76 per share on revenue of $1.98B. McCormick beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is McCormick’s 52-week high and low?

McCormick’s 52-week high is $72.41 and its 52-week low is $44.82; it closed at $48.46 on Sep 28, 2026, −25.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $107.35 on Mar 7, 2022.

Is McCormick stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in McCormick?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in McCormick over the last 30 days, with $278K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $278K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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