Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LW in Gekko
NYSE: LW
Lamb Weston (LW) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$43.18−0.40 (−0.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryLamb Weston draws fresh analyst attention this week as Stephens & Co. cuts its price target on the stock to $50.00 from $55.00 while maintaining an "Equal-Weight" rating, citing concerns over a deteriorating European potato crop tied to extreme heat affecting yields and potato sizing. This follows separate coverage noting sell-side brokerages hold a "Hold" consensus on the name, with commentary pointing back to results that exceeded Q2 expectations, including EPS of $0.87 against a $0.62 estimate, revenue of $1.77 billion, and fiscal 2027 guidance. A comparison piece also weighs Lamb Weston against Celsius Holdings on valuation grounds.
The stock closes at $43.18, down 0.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $50.71 and 200-day average of $46.20, reflecting a mixed trend. One-month performance shows a 21.2% decline, though the 6-month return is positive at 3.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 73.2, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 5.6 over five days. Price sits just 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.29, a narrow gap.
Earnings arrive 6 October 2026, just 7 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's report triggered an 8% reaction, with an average absolute reaction of 13.2% across recent quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar averaged a 7.3% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus target stands at $55.25, implying 28% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Lamb Weston price vs fair value
Close $43.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $43.29
Lamb Weston quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.94B
- P/E ratio
- 21.3
- Forward P/E
- 14.7
- EPS, TTM
- $2.08
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.61B
- Profit margin
- 4.4%
- Dividend yield
- 3.33%
- Beta
- 0.46
- Volume
- 2.22M avg 1.49M
- 1-year return
- −18.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- 50-day average
- $50.71
- 200-day average
- $46.20
- Next earnings
- Oct 6
- Shares outstanding
- 137.5M
Lamb Weston swing-trade checklist
Lamb Weston scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $43.18 sits between the 50-day ($50.71) and 200-day ($46.20) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
73.2, Buying
Reading 73.2 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
0.3% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.3% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 7 days
Reports on Oct 6, 2026, 7 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+7.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Lamb Weston stock chart and price history
Lamb Weston closed at $43.18 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $37.62 to $67.07.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −21.2%
- 3 months
- −2.1%
- 6 months
- +3.8%
- 1 year
- −18.3%
The full LW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LW in Gekko
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About Lamb Weston
Lamb Weston makes and sells frozen potato products, including fries, ingredients used by other food companies, and appetizers, on a global scale. It sells these under its own Lamb Weston name as well as through customer-specific labels, and it is also known for brands such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia. Alongside its potato business, the company has some involvement in vegetables and dairy.
The business is divided into four segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other. Its buyers span both retail and foodservice settings, including grocery chains, mass merchandisers, club and specialty stores, and also restaurants, convenience stores, schools, and other institutional or commercial customers.
Lamb Weston was founded in 1950 and runs its main offices out of Eagle, Idaho. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker LW.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Food: specialty/candy
- Website
- lambweston.com
Lamb Weston GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Lamb Weston’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.2, in the Buying zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.
73.2Buying
Up 5.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 76 | +1.1% | +3.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 243 | −0.6% | −1.3% | ||
| Neutral | 319 | −0.6% | −3.1% | ||
| Distribution | 30 | −0.8% | +0.3% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average LW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LW price, zone by zone.Track LW in Gekko
Is Lamb Weston stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Lamb Weston trades 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.29, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Lamb Weston shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$43.29
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
0.3% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LW in Gekko
Lamb Weston insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lamb Weston, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LW in Gekko
Buybacks
Lamb Weston has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Feb 22, 2026
- $100K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
- Trailing four quarters
- $159.8M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold LW.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Lamb Weston earnings: next date and track record
Lamb Weston reports on Oct 6, 2026 (7 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 6, 2026
7 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.59
- Revenue estimate
- $1.65B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 24, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Lamb Weston held its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2026 earnings call featuring new Executive Chair Jan Eli Craps, who joined in early February with 20+ years at ABI. Craps highlighted the company's Focus 2 Win strategy, emphasizing North American volume recovery, cost discipline, and supply chain efficiency. He conducted a 100-day onboarding sprint visiting 15+ plants globally and made a personal investment in LW shares, signaling confidence in the turnaround.
- Guidance
- Management outlined an Investor Day in early calendar 2027 to detail broader Focus 2 Win strategy phases. No specific revenue or earnings targets were provided in this excerpt; focus remains on operational execution, cost culture, and capital returns improvement.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | $0.87 est $0.62 | $1.77B est $1.70B | +8.0% |
| Apr 1, 2026 | $0.72 est $0.63 | $1.56B est $1.50B | −6.9% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | $0.69 est $0.64 | $1.62B est $1.59B | −27.9% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $0.74 est $0.55 | $1.66B est $1.62B | +11.4% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.87 est $0.63 | $1.68B est $1.59B | +19.2% |
| Apr 3, 2025 | $1.10 est $0.87 | $1.52B est $1.49B | +9.0% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | $0.66 est $1.05 | $1.60B est $1.67B | −20.6% |
| Oct 1, 2024 | $0.73 est $0.72 | $1.65B est $1.55B | +2.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Lamb Weston stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lamb Weston is $55.25, +28.0% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$55.25consensus 12-month target, +28.0% from the last close
Now $43.18Avg $55.25
Low $50High $58
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Stephens | $50 | +15.8% |
| Sep 18 | Bank of America Securities | $55 | +27.4% |
| Sep 11 | Jefferies | $58 | +34.3% |
| Sep 9 | Barclays | $56 | +29.7% |
| Aug 13 | Bernstein | — | — |
+3.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+7.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Lamb Weston seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Lamb Weston averaged +7.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +5.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.3% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, LW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.
Lamb Weston market cap and key statistics
Lamb Weston’s market cap is $5.94B, with a P/E ratio of 21.3 and revenue of $6.61B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.94B
- P/E ratio
- 21.3
- Forward P/E
- 14.7
- EPS, TTM
- $2.08
- Gekko Fair Value
- $43.29
Trading
- Volume
- 2.22M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.49M
- 52-week high
- $67.07
- 52-week low
- $37.62
- Shares outstanding
- 137.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.61B
- Profit margin
- 4.4%
- Return on equity
- 16.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −6.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.46
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- Dividend yield
- 3.33%
Lamb Weston stock news this week
Coverage of Lamb Weston this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 3 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- Did Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?PRNewsWire, Sep 28
- LW vs. CELH: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Stephens Cuts Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) Price Target to $50.00MarketBeat, Sep 28
- Stephens cuts Lamb Weston stock price target on Europe concerns By Investing.comInvesting.com Canada, Sep 28
- LW Maintained by Stephens & Co. -- Price Target Lowered to $50GuruFocus, Sep 28
- Stephens & Co. maintains Equal-Weight rating on Lamb Weston Holdings, $50 price targetTradingView, Sep 28
Lamb Weston peers
Lamb Weston’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PEPPepsiCo | Buying | 17.5% below |
| MDLZMondelez International | Accumulation | 19.9% below |
| HSYHershey | Buying | 30.4% below |
| IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances | Neutral | 2.9% below |
| MKCMcCormick | Accumulation | 15.4% below |
| SJMJ.M. Smucker | Accumulation | 7.5% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Lamb Weston stock FAQ
What is Lamb Weston’s market cap?
Lamb Weston’s market cap is $5.94B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.18, with 137.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.3.
What is the Lamb Weston stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lamb Weston is $55.25, +28.0% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Lamb Weston stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Lamb Weston is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.18 is 0.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $43.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Lamb Weston report earnings next?
Lamb Weston is expected to report on Oct 6, 2026 (7 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.59 per share on revenue of $1.65B. Lamb Weston beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.2% on average across the report.
What is Lamb Weston’s 52-week high and low?
Lamb Weston’s 52-week high is $67.07 and its 52-week low is $37.62; it closed at $43.18 on Sep 28, 2026, −18.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $117.38 on Jul 25, 2023.
Is Lamb Weston stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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