Insider buying last 90 days
$65Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | GEORGE WALTER N. director | Purchase | $65K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: FRPT
Freshpet (FRPT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$65.26+1.19 (+1.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's news centers on Freshpet's Q2 2026 results and the analyst response to them. The company reported net sales up 15.5% to $305.6 million and adjusted EBITDA rising 18% to $52.2 million, with the earnings call noting the strongest growth rate in over a year, highest adjusted gross margin since Q1 2020, and raised full-year sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance. Analyst reaction was mixed: Wells Fargo cut its target to $77.00 from $82.00 while keeping an Overweight rating, BofA adjusted its target to $70 from $72 with a Neutral rating, and Piper Sandler reiterated an Overweight rating and $87.00 target, calling Freshpet a top pick in its food coverage.
Shares closed at $65.26, up 1.9%, sitting between the 50-day average of $66.35 and the 200-day average of $63.60. The GekkoIndex reads 52.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $73.44.
Over the next 20 trading days, the main marker is the next earnings date on 2 November 2026, before the open, falling inside that window. Smart money shows one open-market insider purchase in the last 90 days. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 14.2% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 5 of them. The consensus among 11 firms includes 7 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $84.25.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Freshpet price vs fair value
Close $65.26200-day averageGekko Fair Value $73.44
Freshpet quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.21B
- P/E ratio
- 17.2
- Forward P/E
- 29.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.79
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.18B
- Profit margin
- 17.3%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.78
- Volume
- 1.29M avg 1.11M
- 1-year return
- +30.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.2%
- 50-day average
- $66.35
- 200-day average
- $63.60
- Next earnings
- Nov 2 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 48.06M
Freshpet swing-trade checklist
Freshpet scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $65.26 sits between the 50-day ($66.35) and 200-day ($63.60) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
52.4, Neutral
Reading 52.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
11.1% below
Price is 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 21 days
Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+14.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +14.2% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Freshpet stock chart and price history
Freshpet closed at $65.26 on Oct 12, 2026, +30.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $46.45 to $86.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +2.4%
- 3 months
- +20.3%
- 6 months
- −4.4%
- 1 year
- +30.5%
The full FRPT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FRPT in Gekko
Follow Freshpet through every session
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About Freshpet
Freshpet makes fresh, natural food and treats for dogs and cats, prepared to be ready for pets to eat rather than processed into shelf-stable kibble. The company is recognized for its namesake Freshpet line, which forms the core of its pet nutrition offerings.
Alongside the main Freshpet brand, the company also markets products under the Dognation and Dog Joy names. It sells to pet owners across the United States, Canada, and Europe, distributing through grocery stores, mass-market retailers, warehouse clubs, pet specialty shops, natural food stores, and online channels, giving it a broad footprint across both traditional and digital retail.
Freshpet was founded in 2004 and operates out of Secaucus, New Jersey. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker FRPT.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Food: specialty/candy
- Website
- freshpet.com
Freshpet GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Freshpet’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.4, in the Neutral zone, down 11 points over five sessions.
52.4Neutral
Down 11 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 65 | −2.3% | −4.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 203 | +0.1% | +1.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 344 | +0.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 61 | +0.9% | −4.0% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FRPT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FRPT price, zone by zone.Track FRPT in Gekko
Is Freshpet stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Freshpet trades 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $73.44, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Freshpet shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$73.44
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
11.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FRPT in Gekko
Freshpet insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Freshpet worth $65K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in FRPT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for FRPT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FRPT in Gekko
Buybacks
Freshpet has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $54.39M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.70%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds FRPT.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Freshpet earnings: next date and track record
Freshpet reports on Nov 2, 2026, before the open (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 2, 2026
Expected before the open, 21 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.36
- Revenue estimate
- $309.4M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Freshpet reported Q2 2026 results ahead of guidance, delivering their strongest growth rate in over a year and highest adjusted gross margin since Q1 2020. The company operates in 30,000+ stores with 25% having multiple fridges. MVP consumers (spending 5x average) represent 71% of sales. Combination of household penetration and buying rate growth totaled 13% over 52 weeks, with 7% from buying rate growth. Management raised 2026 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges.
- Guidance
- Management raised both 2026 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges following Q2 outperformance. Long-term target remains capturing meaningful share of a potential $10 billion category. Guidance does not rely on sustained improvement in volatile macroeconomic conditions.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.42 est $0.24 | $305.6M est $292.3M | +7.0% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.17 est $0.17 | $297.6M est $291.9M | −7.1% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.62 est $0.41 | $285.2M est $285.6M | +8.6% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.46 est $0.43 | $288.8M est $285.7M | +13.9% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $0.33 est $0.12 | $264.7M est $269.7M | +2.4% |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.09 est $0.13 | $263.2M est $273.9M | +6.0% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.36 est $0.44 | $262.7M est $275.5M | −23.2% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $0.24 est $0.11 | $253.4M est $263.7M | +13.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Freshpet stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Freshpet is $84.25, +29.1% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$84.25consensus 12-month target, +29.1% from the last close
Now $65.26Avg $84.25
Low $70High $95
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Bank of America Securities | $70 | +7.3% |
| Oct 9 | Bank of America Securities | $70 | +7.3% |
| Oct 5 | Wells Fargo | $77 | +18.0% |
| Oct 1 | Needham | — | — |
| Sep 17 | Wells Fargo | $82 | +25.7% |
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+14.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Freshpet seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Freshpet averaged +14.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +14.2% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.2% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, FRPT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.
Freshpet market cap and key statistics
Freshpet’s market cap is $3.21B, with a P/E ratio of 17.2 and revenue of $1.18B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.21B
- P/E ratio
- 17.2
- Forward P/E
- 29.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.79
- Gekko Fair Value
- $73.44
Trading
- Volume
- 1.29M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.11M
- 52-week high
- $86.00
- 52-week low
- $46.45
- Shares outstanding
- 48.06M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.18B
- Profit margin
- 17.3%
- Return on equity
- 17.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +17.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.78
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.2%
Freshpet stock news this week
Coverage of Freshpet this week reads positive: 6 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Understanding Momentum Shifts in (FRPT)Stock Traders Daily, Oct 12
- Total liabilities of Freshpet Inc – HAN:7FPTradingView, Oct 10
- BofA Adjusts Price Target on Freshpet to $70 From $72, Keeps Neutral Ratingwww.marketscreener.com, Oct 9
- Wells Fargo cuts target for Freshpet stock from USD 82.00 to USD 77.00AD HOC NEWS, Oct 8
- Freshpet Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete TranscriptBenzinga, Oct 8
- Wells Fargo cuts target for Freshpet stock to USD 77.00AD HOC NEWS, Oct 6
Freshpet peers
Freshpet’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PEPPepsiCo | Accumulation | 17.9% below |
| MDLZMondelez International | Neutral | 18.6% below |
| HSYHershey | Accumulation | 30.0% below |
| IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances | Neutral | 4.8% below |
| SJMJ.M. Smucker | Neutral | 6.4% above |
| MKCMcCormick | Accumulation | 17.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Freshpet stock FAQ
What is Freshpet’s market cap?
Freshpet’s market cap is $3.21B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $65.26, with 48.06M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.2.
What is the Freshpet stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Freshpet is $84.25, +29.1% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Freshpet stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Freshpet is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $65.26 is 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $73.44. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Freshpet report earnings next?
Freshpet is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, before the market opens (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.36 per share on revenue of $309.4M. Freshpet beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.2% on average across the report.
What is Freshpet’s 52-week high and low?
Freshpet’s 52-week high is $86.00 and its 52-week low is $46.45; it closed at $65.26 on Oct 12, 2026, +30.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $164.07 on Jan 30, 2025.
Is Freshpet stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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