Oct 12 close
Nomad Foods holds an Analyst and Investor Day this week, unveiling a three-year Growth Reset Plan, also called a Value Creation Plan, targeting 2-3% organic revenue growth by 2028-2029 and adjusted EBITDA keeping pace, alongside adjusted free cash flow generation, reduced leverage and a maintained dividend. This follows last quarter's results, where EPS of $0.45 beat the $0.37 estimate even as revenue fell 3.1% year-over-year. Analyst reaction has been mixed-to-positive: Deutsche Bank maintains a Hold with a target raised to $12, BTIG reaffirms a Buy with a $15.00 target, and consensus sits at a Hold with an average target near $13.50.
The stock closed at $11.35, up 2.4%, sitting above both its 50-day ($11.30) and 200-day ($11.01) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 53.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 10.4 over five days. Price remains 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.03, with a 52-week range of $8.99 to $13.08.
Nomad Foods next reports earnings on 5 November 2026, before the open, falling within the next 20 trading days; its last reaction to earnings was -1.1%, against an average absolute move of 5.1%. Over the past 90 days, insiders made 2 open-market purchases totaling $954,231. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.4% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings date.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Nomad Foods scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $11.35 is above the 50-day ($11.30) and 200-day ($11.01) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart53.1, Neutral
Reading 53.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex40.4% below
Price is 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.
See smart moneyReports in 24 days
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings−0.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Nomad Foods closed at $11.35 on Oct 12, 2026, −9.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.99 to $13.08.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put NOMD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Nomad Foods makes and distributes frozen food across much of Europe, selling into countries such as the United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, France, Sweden, Austria, Norway and Spain. Its range spans frozen seafood like fish fingers and breaded or battered fillets, vegetables such as peas and spinach, poultry and meat items including nuggets and burgers, and convenience meals like noodles, pasta, lasagna and pancakes. The company also makes ice cream, soups, pizzas, baked goods and plant-based meat substitutes.
Products reach shoppers through large supermarkets and food retailers, either sold directly or through partnership arrangements. Nomad Foods markets its goods under a set of established names, among them Birds Eye, Iglo, Findus, Goodfella's, La Cocinera, Ledo, Frikom, San Marco and Aunt Bessie's, which carry its offerings into households across the region.
The company's main office sits in Feltham, in the United Kingdom. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker NOMD.
Nomad Foods’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.1, in the Neutral zone, down 10.4 points over five sessions.
Down 10.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 60 | −0.1% | −0.3% | ||
| Accumulation | 277 | −0.2% | −0.3% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 312 | −0.4% | −2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | +0.6% | +0.1% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NOMD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
Nomad Foods trades 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.03, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Nomad Foods shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$19.03
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
40.4% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 10.0% below the estimate.
Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Nomad Foods worth $954K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$954Kin 2 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | BRISBY DOMINIC director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | $619K |
| Aug 21 | BALDEW RUBEN director, officer: Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | $335K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in NOMD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NOMD.
Nomad Foods reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, 24 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.45 est $0.37 | — | −1.1% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.23 est $0.19 | $826.3M est $804.0M | −6.7% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.43 est $0.44 | $908.0M est $912.3M | −11.0% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.47 | $881.2M est $760.7M | +6.8% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.37 est $0.38 | $879.4M est $762.1M | −5.6% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.36 | $833.3M est $762.8M | −0.9% |
| Mar 3, 2025 | $0.42 est $0.38 | $821.6M est $769.4M | +7.4% |
| Nov 14, 2024 | $0.55 est $0.51 | $844.0M est $869.8M | +1.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Nomad Foods is $13.59, +19.7% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Deutsche Bank | $12 | +5.7% |
| Aug 14 | BTIG | $15 | +32.2% |
| Aug 13 | BTIG | $15 | +32.2% |
| Aug 13 | Barclays | $14 | +23.3% |
| Jul 21 | Deutsche Bank | $11 | −3.1% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Nomad Foods averaged −0.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.8% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.8% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, NOMD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.
Nomad Foods’s market cap is $1.59B, with a P/E ratio of 10.7 and revenue of $2.96B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Nomad Foods this week reads positive: 8 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
Nomad Foods’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PEPPepsiCo | Accumulation | 17.9% below |
| MDLZMondelez International | Neutral | 18.6% below |
| HSYHershey | Accumulation | 30.0% below |
| IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances | Neutral | 4.8% below |
| SJMJ.M. Smucker | Neutral | 6.4% above |
| MKCMcCormick | Accumulation | 17.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Nomad Foods’s market cap is $1.59B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.35, with 139.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.7.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Nomad Foods is $13.59, +19.7% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Nomad Foods is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.35 is 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.03. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Nomad Foods is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.53 per share on revenue of $863.2M. Nomad Foods beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.
Nomad Foods’s 52-week high is $13.08 and its 52-week low is $8.99; it closed at $11.35 on Oct 12, 2026, −9.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $28.28 on Oct 21, 2021.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and smart money), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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