Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SJM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SJM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SJM in Gekko
NYSE: SJM
J.M. Smucker (SJM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$120.63−0.37 (−0.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's news centers on J.M. Smucker's fiscal Q1 2027 results and its updated outlook. The company reported a 5% rise in net sales to $2.2193 billion and a 71% increase in adjusted EPS to $3.24, exceeding estimates, with strong coffee and Uncrustables performance cited as key drivers. Following the report, J.M. Smucker raised its full-year EPS guidance to $10.50-$11.00, even as net sales are still projected to decline. Alongside the results, the company introduced fall-themed products across Hostess, Milk-Bone, and Uncrustables brands, part of a seasonal push across its portfolio.
SJM closed at $120.63, down 0.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $122.30 and 200-day average of $108.29. The stock is off 8.5% over one month but up 26.7% over six months and 11.8% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 63.6, placing SJM in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $112.19.
The next earnings date is set for 24 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality data going back 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -1.5%, with gains in 2 of those years. Analyst coverage stands at 9 buy and 6 hold ratings among 15 firms, with a consensus target of $141.44, representing 17.3% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
J.M. Smucker price vs fair value
Close $120.63200-day averageGekko Fair Value $112.19
J.M. Smucker quick facts
- Market cap
- $12.89B
- P/E ratio
- 57.1
- Forward P/E
- 12
- EPS, TTM
- $2.13
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.16B
- Profit margin
- 2.5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.61%
- Beta
- 0.26
- Volume
- 982,346 avg 1.30M
- 1-year return
- +11.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- 50-day average
- $122.30
- 200-day average
- $108.29
- Next earnings
- Nov 24 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 106.8M
J.M. Smucker swing-trade checklist
J.M. Smucker scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $120.63 sits between the 50-day ($122.30) and 200-day ($108.29) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.6, Accumulation
Reading 63.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
7.5% above
Price is 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 56 days
Next report Nov 24, 2026, 56 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
J.M. Smucker stock chart and price history
J.M. Smucker closed at $120.63 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $88.25 to $135.89.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.5%
- 3 months
- +4.1%
- 6 months
- +26.7%
- 1 year
- +11.8%
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About J.M. Smucker
J.M. Smucker makes and sells packaged food and beverage products that reach households through grocery stores, club and discount chains, online retailers, pharmacies, military commissaries and mass merchandisers, among other outlets. Its offerings span coffee in roast, ground, single-serve and premium forms, peanut butter and fruit spreads, cooking oils and shortening, frozen sandwiches and snacks, and pet food and treats, along with hot beverages, portioned foodservice items and flour supplied to restaurants and institutions. The company is perhaps most associated with household names such as Jif, Smucker's, Folgers, Dunkin', Café Bustelo, Milk-Bone, Meow Mix and Rachael Ray Nutrish.
Internally, the business is split into three U.S. retail segments covering pet foods, coffee, and general consumer foods, each built around its own set of brands. Products reach customers through a mix of direct sales teams and broker relationships, giving Smucker access to a wide range of retail and specialty channels rather than a single type of buyer.
The company traces its founding back to 1897 and runs its operations from Orrville, Ohio. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker SJM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer non-durables
- Industry
- Food: specialty/candy
- Website
- jmsmucker.com
J.M. Smucker GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
J.M. Smucker’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.2 points over five sessions.
63.6Accumulation
Up 0.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 51 | +1.5% | +4.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 220 | 0.0% | −0.2% | ||
| Neutral | 376 | 0.0% | −0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 23 | −2.9% | −3.9% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average SJM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SJM price, zone by zone.Track SJM in Gekko
Is J.M. Smucker stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
J.M. Smucker trades 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $112.19, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what J.M. Smucker shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$112.19
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
7.5% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SJM in Gekko
J.M. Smucker insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for J.M. Smucker, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SJM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SJM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SJM in Gekko
Buybacks
J.M. Smucker has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
- $5.70M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.04%
- Trailing four quarters
- $6.70M
From company filings.
J.M. Smucker earnings: next date and track record
J.M. Smucker reports on Nov 24, 2026, before the open (56 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 24, 2026
Expected before the open, 56 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.50
- Revenue estimate
- $2.26B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jun 9, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- SJM reported a strong fiscal Q4 2026 with positive momentum across its portfolio. Coffee brand Bustelo surpassed $0.5 billion in sales, a significant milestone. The company expects mid-single-digit deflation driven by green coffee costs, partially offset by low single-digit inflation in packaging, ingredients, and transportation. Management expressed confidence in their branded coffee position and overall portfolio cohesion.
- Guidance
- Full year outlook includes mid-single-digit deflation primarily from green coffee, with low single-digit inflation elsewhere. Revenue guidance points to flat Q1 sales followed by a full-year decline of 3-4%. Management is taking a prudent approach to modeling volume elasticities amid cautious consumer sentiment.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | $2.77 est $2.64 | $2.27B est $2.26B | +15.0% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $2.38 est $2.27 | $2.34B est $2.32B | +8.8% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | $2.10 est $2.10 | $2.33B est $2.32B | −1.0% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | $1.90 est $1.93 | $2.11B est $2.12B | −3.5% |
| Jun 10, 2025 | $2.31 est $2.24 | $2.14B est $2.18B | −14.3% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $2.61 est $2.37 | $2.19B est $2.23B | +1.3% |
| Nov 26, 2024 | $2.76 est $2.51 | $2.27B est $2.27B | +3.9% |
| Aug 28, 2024 | $2.44 est $2.17 | $2.13B est $2.13B | −5.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
J.M. Smucker stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for J.M. Smucker is $141.44, +17.3% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$141.44consensus 12-month target, +17.3% from the last close
Now $120.63Avg $141.44
Low $125High $157
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | Argus Research | — | — |
| Sep 9 | Barclays | $145 | +20.2% |
| Sep 1 | J.P. Morgan | $149 | +23.5% |
| Aug 28 | Barclays | $145 | +20.2% |
| Aug 27 | William Blair | — | — |
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
J.M. Smucker seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, J.M. Smucker averaged −1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.4% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, SJM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.
J.M. Smucker market cap and key statistics
J.M. Smucker’s market cap is $12.89B, with a P/E ratio of 57.1 and revenue of $9.16B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $12.89B
- P/E ratio
- 57.1
- Forward P/E
- 12
- EPS, TTM
- $2.13
- Gekko Fair Value
- $112.19
Trading
- Volume
- 982,346
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.30M
- 52-week high
- $135.89
- 52-week low
- $88.25
- Shares outstanding
- 106.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.16B
- Profit margin
- 2.5%
- Return on equity
- 3.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −2.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.26
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- Dividend yield
- 3.61%
J.M. Smucker stock news this week
Coverage of J.M. Smucker this week reads positive: 11 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- J.M. Smucker brands elicit seasonal flairCommercial Baking, Sep 28
- J.M. Smucker stock trades at USD 122.20 after outlook liftAD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- Why Is Smucker (SJM) Down 7.7% Since Last Earnings Report?Yahoo Finance Singapore, Sep 25
- J.M. Smucker launches new fall-themed products across Hostess, Milk-Bone, and Uncrustables brands.Pluang, Sep 25
- The J.M. Smucker Co. Portfolio Helps Consumers Get into the Fall SpiritPR Newswire, Sep 25
- J.M. Smucker stock heads into the open after a 0.8 percent riseAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
J.M. Smucker peers
J.M. Smucker’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PEPPepsiCo | Buying | 17.5% below |
| MDLZMondelez International | Accumulation | 19.9% below |
| HSYHershey | Buying | 30.4% below |
| IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances | Neutral | 2.9% below |
| MKCMcCormick | Accumulation | 15.4% below |
| DARDarling Ingredients | Accumulation | 20.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
J.M. Smucker stock FAQ
What is J.M. Smucker’s market cap?
J.M. Smucker’s market cap is $12.89B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $120.63, with 106.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 57.1.
What is the J.M. Smucker stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for J.M. Smucker is $141.44, +17.3% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is J.M. Smucker stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate J.M. Smucker is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $120.63 is 7.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $112.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does J.M. Smucker report earnings next?
J.M. Smucker is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, before the market opens (56 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.50 per share on revenue of $2.26B. J.M. Smucker beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.7% on average across the report.
What is J.M. Smucker’s 52-week high and low?
J.M. Smucker’s 52-week high is $135.89 and its 52-week low is $88.25; it closed at $120.63 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $163.07 on Jan 6, 2023.
Is J.M. Smucker stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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