Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MZTI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MZTI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MZTI in Gekko
NASDAQ: MZTI
Marzetti (MZTI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$101.22+1.92 (+1.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's news centers on Marzetti's Retail Division leadership change, with Tanya Berman no longer serving as President effective 6 October, and on the expansion of the New York Bakery line into frozen snacks with Baked Bites, Cheesy Focaccia, and Garlic Bread loaves. StoneX maintained a Buy rating and $160 price target, citing potential growth from the Bachan's acquisition and improved fiscal year 2028 estimates. Several pieces also revisited the recent product push alongside questions about valuation following a stock price decline.
MZTI closed at $101.22, up 1.9%, though the stock sits below both its 50-day average of $107.17 and 200-day average of $128.86, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Returns over the past six months stand at -29.4% and over one year at -38%. The GekkoIndex reads 62.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 3.2 over five days. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $156.12 stands at -35.2%.
MZTI reports earnings on 29 October 2026, 17 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS miss of $1.33 against a $1.58 estimate and a -4.6% reaction, with 2 beats across 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 9.3%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar shows the next 20 trading days averaging +7.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. The current consensus among 3 firms is hold, with a consensus target of $146.6 and consensus upside of 44.8%.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Marzetti price vs fair value
Close $101.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $156.12
Marzetti quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.78B
- P/E ratio
- 14.6
- Forward P/E
- 36.1
- EPS, TTM
- $6.98
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.93B
- Profit margin
- 9.9%
- Dividend yield
- 3.93%
- Beta
- 0.36
- Volume
- 418,379 avg 449,934
- 1-year return
- −38.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- 50-day average
- $107.17
- 200-day average
- $128.86
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 27.29M
Marzetti swing-trade checklist
Marzetti scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $101.22 is below the 50-day ($107.17) and 200-day ($128.86) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.5, Accumulation
Reading 62.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
35.2% below
Price is 35.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+7.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Marzetti stock chart and price history
Marzetti closed at $101.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −38.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $97.00 to $176.26.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.7%
- 3 months
- −5.4%
- 6 months
- −29.4%
- 1 year
- −38.0%
The full MZTI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MZTI in Gekko
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Marzetti GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Marzetti’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.2 points over five sessions.
62.5Accumulation
Down 3.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 92 | +1.2% | +0.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 243 | −0.1% | −0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 312 | −0.9% | −3.4% | ||
| Distribution | 31 | −0.2% | −0.1% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MZTI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MZTI price, zone by zone.Track MZTI in Gekko
Is Marzetti stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Marzetti trades 35.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $156.12, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Marzetti shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$156.12
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
35.2% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 25.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MZTI in Gekko
Marzetti insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Marzetti, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MZTI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MZTI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MZTI in Gekko
Buybacks
Marzetti has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $15.06M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.54%
- Trailing four quarters
- $36.27M
From company filings.
Marzetti earnings: next date and track record
Marzetti reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.38
- Revenue estimate
- $484.2M
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- MZTI reported Q3 FY2026 consolidated net sales of $453M, down 1% year-over-year. Record third quarter gross profit reached $107.2M, up 1.2%, driven by cost savings programs. Retail segment net sales declined 3.2% with volume down 5.6%, partially offset by gains in frozen bread brands. The company completed acquisition of Bachan's Japanese American barbecue sauce brand on May 1, which showed 25%+ sales growth and 50%+ TDP growth per Circana data.
- Guidance
- Management expects the Bachan's acquisition to strengthen their sauce portfolio, which represents ~40% of consolidated net sales. Light-touch integration approach anticipated to maintain Bachan's growth trajectory while realizing cost synergies through supply chain and procurement leverage.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | $1.33 est $1.58 | $453.4M est $463.9M | −4.6% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $2.15 est $2.21 | $518.0M est $519.7M | −10.6% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $1.74 est $1.70 | $493.5M est $474.3M | +9.8% |
| Aug 21, 2025 | $1.33 est $1.35 | $475.4M est $474.0M | +6.1% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $1.54 est $1.61 | $457.8M est $453.4M | −16.7% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $2.22 est $1.94 | $509.3M est $482.5M | +11.8% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.62 est $1.66 | $466.6M est $468.5M | −2.4% |
| Aug 22, 2024 | $1.26 est $1.40 | $452.8M est $463.1M | −12.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Marzetti stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Marzetti is $146.60, +44.8% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$146.60consensus 12-month target, +44.8% from the last close
Now $101.22Avg $146.60
Low $118High $140
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | Stephens | $140 | +38.3% |
| Aug 26 | D.A. Davidson | $130 | +28.4% |
| Aug 25 | Jefferies | $118 | +16.6% |
| Aug 25 | D.A. Davidson | $130 | +28.4% |
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Marzetti seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Marzetti averaged +7.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, MZTI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.
Marzetti market cap and key statistics
Marzetti’s market cap is $2.78B, with a P/E ratio of 14.6 and revenue of $1.93B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.78B
- P/E ratio
- 14.6
- Forward P/E
- 36.1
- EPS, TTM
- $6.98
- Gekko Fair Value
- $156.12
Trading
- Volume
- 418,379
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 449,934
- 52-week high
- $176.26
- 52-week low
- $97.00
- Shares outstanding
- 27.29M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.93B
- Profit margin
- 9.9%
- Return on equity
- 18.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +49.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.36
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.5%
- Dividend yield
- 3.93%
Marzetti stock news this week
Coverage of Marzetti this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Marzetti Company Announces Leadership Change in Retail DivisionThe Globe and Mail, Oct 11
- Marzetti (MZTI) Expands New York Bakery, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?Simply Wall Street, Oct 10
- The Marzetti Company expands New York bakery portfolioMilling Middle East & Africa, Oct 9
- Did Frozen Snack Launches Just Shift Marzetti's (MZTI) Investment Narrative?Simply Wall Street, Oct 8
- Marzetti stock price target maintained at $160 by StoneXInvesting.com, Oct 8
Marzetti peers
Marzetti’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PEPPepsiCo | Accumulation | 17.9% below |
| MDLZMondelez International | Neutral | 18.6% below |
| HSYHershey | Accumulation | 30.0% below |
| IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances | Neutral | 4.8% below |
| SJMJ.M. Smucker | Neutral | 6.4% above |
| MKCMcCormick | Accumulation | 17.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Marzetti stock FAQ
What is Marzetti’s market cap?
Marzetti’s market cap is $2.78B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $101.22, with 27.29M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.6.
What is the Marzetti stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Marzetti is $146.60, +44.8% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Marzetti stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Marzetti is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $101.22 is 35.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $156.12. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Marzetti report earnings next?
Marzetti is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.38 per share on revenue of $484.2M. Marzetti beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.
What is Marzetti’s 52-week high and low?
Marzetti’s 52-week high is $176.26 and its 52-week low is $97.00; it closed at $101.22 on Oct 12, 2026, −38.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $220.65 on May 5, 2023.
Is Marzetti stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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