NYSE: INGR

Ingredion (INGR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$96.45−0.27 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ingredion's week centers on continued margin pressure, with higher input costs, particularly tapioca, and unfavorable price mix weighing on second-quarter 2026 results. A separate filing shows Bank of America Corp DE investing $50.02 million in the company, adding to institutional ownership.

INGR closes at $96.45, down 0.3%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $101.92 and 200-day average of $107.53, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -6.8% and its one-year return at -20.3%, near its 52-week low of $94.44. The GekkoIndex reads 67.7, placing it in the Accumulation zone, down 2.5 over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $166.58, putting the current price 42.1% below that level.

Ingredion's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 November 2026, before the open, 35 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Its last report showed EPS of $2.34 against an estimate of $2.47, with an average absolute reaction of 4.5% across recent quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.1% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window, and analyst consensus holds a target of $121.50 among 4 firms, with 1 buy and 3 hold ratings.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Ingredion price vs fair value

▲$166.58$96.45Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $96.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $166.58

Ingredion quick facts

Market cap
$6.08B
P/E ratio
10.5
Forward P/E
8.4
EPS, TTM
$9.20
Revenue, TTM
$7.22B
Profit margin
8.2%
Dividend yield
3.40%
Beta
0.61
Volume
750,533 avg 641,975
1-year return
−20.3%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
50-day average
$101.92
200-day average
$107.53
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
63.06M
52-week range
$94.44$123.49

Ingredion swing-trade checklist

Ingredion scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $96.45 is below the 50-day ($101.92) and 200-day ($107.53) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.7, Accumulation

    Reading 67.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    42.1% below

    Price is 42.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ingredion stock chart and price history

Ingredion closed at $96.45 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $94.44 to $123.49.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ingredion share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$110$120$130NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep96.45

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.8%
3 months
+1.1%
6 months
−14.0%
1 year
−20.3%
The full INGR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open INGR in Gekko

Follow Ingredion through every session

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Ingredion GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ingredion’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.5 points over five sessions.

010067.7Accumulation

Down 2.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying51−0.5%−0.6%−0.7%−1.8%
Accumulation (current zone)246−0.1%−0.5%−0.2%−0.2%
Neutral356+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%−0.4%
Distribution16−1.9%−1.9%−2.2%−4.4%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average INGR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the INGR price, zone by zone.Track INGR in Gekko

Is Ingredion stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ingredion trades 42.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.58, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ingredion shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$166.58

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

42.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open INGR in Gekko

Ingredion insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ingredion, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for INGR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every INGR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open INGR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in INGR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for INGR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open INGR in Gekko

Buybacks

Ingredion has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$14.00M
As a share of market cap
0.23%
Trailing four quarters
$207.0M

From company filings.

Ingredion earnings: next date and track record

Ingredion reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.3%Aug ’24+12.3%Nov ’24−6.3%Feb ’25+1.5%May ’25−3.8%Aug ’25−5.6%Nov ’25+0.5%Feb ’26−0.5%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ingredion reported Q1 2026 net sales down 1% and adjusted operating income down 22% YoY, significantly impacted by operational challenges at its Argo facility, which cost $40M versus the expected $10-15M. Texture and Healthful Solutions delivered its eighth consecutive quarter of volume growth, up 2%. An April 10 thermal event at Argo's corn germ processing unit added further complications, though refinery operations returned to normal by quarter-end.
Guidance
Full-year outlook assumes Argo germ processing recovery within Q2 and sustained refinery production levels. Brazil operational and commercial actions expected to deliver benefits throughout the year. Management flagged an increasingly uncertain macroeconomic environment as an ongoing risk.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$2.34
est $2.47
−5.3%$1.79B
est $1.79B
+0.2%−0.5%
Feb 10, 2026$2.53
est $2.65
−4.5%$1.76B
est $1.79B
−1.6%+0.5%
Nov 4, 2025$2.75
est $2.73
+0.7%$1.82B
est $1.83B
−0.6%−5.6%
Aug 1, 2025$2.87
est $2.78
+3.2%$1.83B
est $1.91B
−3.8%−3.8%
May 6, 2025$2.97
est $2.44
+21.7%$1.81B
est $1.88B
−3.8%+1.5%
Feb 4, 2025$2.63
est $2.56
+2.7%$1.80B
est $1.86B
−3.2%−6.3%
Nov 5, 2024$3.05
est $2.58
+18.2%$1.87B
est $1.94B
−3.8%+12.3%
Aug 6, 2024$2.87
est $2.49
+15.3%$1.88B
est $1.98B
−5.1%+5.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ingredion stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ingredion is $121.50, +26.0% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$121.50consensus 12-month target, +26.0% from the last close
Low $108High $130
Buy1
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 9BarclaysHold, maintained$118+22.3%
Aug 5UBSHold, maintained$108+12.0%
Aug 5BMO CapitalHold, maintained$113+17.2%
Aug 5Benchmark Co.Buy, reiterated$130+34.8%
Aug 5BarclaysHold, maintained$118+22.3%
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ingredion seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Ingredion averaged −0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.6%2021+6.5%2022−5.8%2023−1.9%2024−3.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.8%4 of 5

For scale, INGR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.

Ingredion market cap and key statistics

Ingredion’s market cap is $6.08B, with a P/E ratio of 10.5 and revenue of $7.22B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.08B
P/E ratio
10.5
Forward P/E
8.4
EPS, TTM
$9.20
Gekko Fair Value
$166.58

Trading

Volume
750,533
Avg volume, 20 days
641,975
52-week high
$123.49
52-week low
$94.44
Shares outstanding
63.06M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.22B
Profit margin
8.2%
Return on equity
13.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−40.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.61
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
Dividend yield
3.40%

Ingredion stock news this week

Coverage of Ingredion this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Ingredion peers

Ingredion’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PEPPepsiCo+0.8%Buying17.5% below
MDLZMondelez International0.0%Accumulation19.9% below
HSYHershey−1.0%Buying30.4% below
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances+1.4%Neutral2.9% below
MKCMcCormick+1.3%Accumulation15.4% below
SJMJ.M. Smucker−0.1%Accumulation7.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ingredion stock FAQ

What is Ingredion’s market cap?

Ingredion’s market cap is $6.08B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.45, with 63.06M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.5.

What is the Ingredion stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ingredion is $121.50, +26.0% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ingredion stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ingredion is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.45 is 42.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $166.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ingredion report earnings next?

Ingredion is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.66 per share on revenue of $1.80B. Ingredion beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Ingredion’s 52-week high and low?

Ingredion’s 52-week high is $123.49 and its 52-week low is $94.44; it closed at $96.45 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $155.44 on Nov 6, 2024.

Is Ingredion stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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