NYSE: KSS

Kohl's (KSS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$21.17+0.82 (+4.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Kohl's has drawn attention this week around leadership and portfolio moves rather than a single catalyst. The company named a new head of merchandising as C-suite turnover continues, while separately confirming the sale of a shuttered Monroe, Ohio fulfillment center for $56 million after 23 years of ownership. Kohl's also continued its philanthropic partnership with Boys & Girls Clubs of America with a $1.5 million donation. A Schedule 13G filing showed Dimensional Fund Advisors LP holding a 6.1% passive stake, a background disclosure rather than a market-moving event.

Shares closed at $21.17, up 4% on the session, sitting above both the 50-day average of $18.46 and the 200-day average of $16.83, with the shorter-term average above the longer-term one. The GekkoIndex reads 43.4, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 7.1 points over the past five sessions. Gekko Fair Value stands at $32.48, leaving price 34.8% below that level.

The next earnings report is set for 24 November 2026, 42 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $1.28 against a $0.55 estimate with a 2.7% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 14.8% move over five years, rising in three of them. Analyst views are split, with ten firms covering the stock and a consensus target of $18.73.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Kohl's price vs fair value

▲$32.48$21.17Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $21.17200-day averageGekko Fair Value $32.48

Kohl's quick facts

Market cap
$2.40B
P/E ratio
8.6
Forward P/E
8.5
EPS, TTM
$2.36
Revenue, TTM
$15.43B
Profit margin
1.8%
Dividend yield
2.49%
Beta
1.35
Volume
5.44M avg 4.10M
1-year return
+38.6%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%
50-day average
$18.46
200-day average
$16.83
Next earnings
Nov 24 before open
Shares outstanding
113.4M
52-week range
$11.38$25.22

Kohl's swing-trade checklist

Kohl's scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $21.17 is above the 50-day ($18.46) and 200-day ($16.83) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    43.4, Distribution

    Reading 43.4 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    34.8% below

    Price is 34.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 24, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +14.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +14.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Kohl's stock chart and price history

Kohl's closed at $21.17 on Oct 12, 2026, +38.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.38 to $25.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Kohl's share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct21.17

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+22.9%
3 months
+28.8%
6 months
+57.3%
1 year
+38.6%
The full KSS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KSS in Gekko

Follow Kohl's through every session

Put KSS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Kohl's

Kohl's sells clothing, footwear, accessories, beauty items and home goods to shoppers across the United States, reaching them both through its physical stores and its online shopping site. A notable share of what it sells carries its own private labels, among them Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow, Jumping Beans, SO and Sonoma Goods for Life, while the shelves also carry co-branded lines such as Food Network, LC Lauren Conrad, Nine West and Simply Vera Vera Wang.

The business runs on a mix of in-store and digital retail, with roughly 1,100 outlets operating under the Kohl's name as of March 2022, supported by an e-commerce platform that extends the same product range to online customers.

Kohl's traces its founding to 1988 and keeps its headquarters in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker KSS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Department stores
Website
corporate.kohls.com

Kohl's GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Kohl's’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 43.4, in the Distribution zone, down 7.1 points over five sessions.

010043.4Distribution

Down 7.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying60+0.7%−0.2%−5.3%−3.9%
Accumulation272+0.4%−0.3%−1.9%−9.8%
Neutral335+0.4%+1.1%+3.5%+12.4%
Distribution (current zone)12−7.3%−6.2%−4.4%−6.0%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average KSS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KSS price, zone by zone.Track KSS in Gekko

Is Kohl's stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Kohl's trades 34.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Kohl's shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$32.48

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

34.8% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$32$20Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KSS in Gekko

Kohl's insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Kohl's, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KSS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every KSS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KSS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KSS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KSS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KSS in Gekko

Buybacks

Kohl's has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$100.0M, Aug 26, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended May 2, 2026
$6.00M
As a share of market cap
0.25%

From company filings.

Kohl's earnings: next date and track record

Kohl's reports on Nov 24, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±17.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−19.6%Nov ’24−28.5%Mar ’25+0.4%May ’25+17.9%Aug ’25+53.2%Nov ’25−6.8%Mar ’26+11.1%May ’26+2.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 26, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Kohl's Q2 2026 showed continued comparable sales improvement with Kohl's Card customers delivering 1% sales increase and proprietary brands up 3%. Home category led performance with 1% sales growth driven by decor and small electrics. Management highlighted strong operational discipline in expense and inventory management, improving balance sheet and cash flow generation. Early seasonal transitions and deeper inventory levels (up 6%) supported product availability.
Guidance
Management expects the challenging macroeconomic environment with persistent consumer financial pressures to continue through the remainder of the year. Kohl's plans to leverage its healthy balance sheet for flexibility, with proactive holiday positioning and early seasonal assortment strategies to capture demand.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 26, 2026$1.28
est $0.55
+132.7%$3.32B
est $3.32B
−0.1%+2.7%
May 28, 2026−$0.13
est −$0.18
+27.8%$3.00B
est $2.99B
+0.3%+11.1%
Mar 10, 2026$1.07
est $0.86
+24.4%$4.97B
est $5.02B
−0.9%−6.8%
Nov 25, 2025$0.10
est −$0.13
+176.9%$3.58B
est $3.32B
+7.6%+53.2%
Aug 27, 2025$0.56
est $0.33
+69.7%$3.55B
est $3.42B
+3.8%+17.9%
May 29, 2025−$0.13
est −$0.22
+40.9%$3.23B
est $3.35B
−3.5%+0.4%
Mar 11, 2025$0.43
est $0.77
−44.2%$5.40B
est $3.02B
+78.7%−28.5%
Nov 26, 2024$0.20
est $0.27
−25.9%$3.71B
est $3.64B
+2.0%−19.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Kohl's stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Kohl's is $18.73, −11.5% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$18.73consensus 12-month target, −11.5% from the last close
Low $9High $22
Buy1
Hold5
Sell4

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29Telsey AdvisoryHold, maintained$18−15.0%
Sep 21UBSSell, maintained$9−57.5%
Sep 17BTIGHold, maintained——
Sep 1Telsey AdvisoryHold, maintained$18−15.0%
Aug 27Telsey AdvisoryHold, maintained$18−15.0%
−4.4%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+14.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Kohl's seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Kohl's averaged +14.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+31.8%2021−0.4%2022+27.2%2023−2.3%2024+21.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.1%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+10.7%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+12.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+14.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.3%4 of 5

For scale, KSS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.3%.

Kohl's market cap and key statistics

Kohl's’s market cap is $2.40B, with a P/E ratio of 8.6 and revenue of $15.43B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.40B
P/E ratio
8.6
Forward P/E
8.5
EPS, TTM
$2.36
Gekko Fair Value
$32.48

Trading

Volume
5.44M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.10M
52-week high
$25.22
52-week low
$11.38
Shares outstanding
113.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.43B
Profit margin
1.8%
Return on equity
6.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−5.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.35
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%
Dividend yield
2.49%

Kohl's peers

Kohl's’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DDSDillard's+0.4%Neutral16.1% above
MMacy's+1.6%Neutral3.0% below
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet+1.8%Neutral4.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Kohl's stock FAQ

What is Kohl's’s market cap?

Kohl's’s market cap is $2.40B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.17, with 113.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.6.

What is the Kohl's stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Kohl's is $18.73, −11.5% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 4 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Kohl's stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Kohl's is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.17 is 34.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Kohl's report earnings next?

Kohl's is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.01 per share on revenue of $3.38B. Kohl's beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 17.5% on average across the report.

What is Kohl's’s 52-week high and low?

Kohl's’s 52-week high is $25.22 and its 52-week low is $11.38; it closed at $21.17 on Oct 12, 2026, +38.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $64.38 on Jan 25, 2022.

Is Kohl's stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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