Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for OLLI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every OLLI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OLLI in Gekko
NASDAQ: OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$85.53+1.28 (+1.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's price action follows an analyst rating change, quarterly results, and a store-network milestone. Wall Street's "Moderate Buy" rating cites thirteen of seventeen firms recommending buy with an average price target of $102.43. The prior second-quarter report showed adjusted EPS up 43.4% while comparable store sales fell 1.8%, prompting mixed price-target revisions among analysts who flagged a challenging near-term demand environment. Separately, Ollie's marked its 700th store opening in Maplewood, Minnesota, with a donation of 700 books to Gillette Children's.
OLLI closed at $85.53, up 1.5% on the day, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $75.14 and 200-day average of $89.93. The GekkoIndex reads 46.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone after a five-day change of -7.6. Price sits about 5% above Gekko Fair Value of $81.46.
The next earnings report is due 8 December 2026, 70 days out, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a -0.2% return over 5 years, rising in only 2 of those years. Consensus among 13 analysts stands at 10 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $99.93, implying 16.8% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet price vs fair value
Close $85.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $81.46
Ollie's Bargain Outlet quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.17B
- P/E ratio
- 18.9
- Forward P/E
- 19.2
- EPS, TTM
- $4.47
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.79B
- Profit margin
- 9.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.50
- Volume
- 1.73M avg 2.12M
- 1-year return
- −36.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.3%
- 50-day average
- $75.14
- 200-day average
- $89.93
- Next earnings
- Dec 8 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 59.40M
Ollie's Bargain Outlet swing-trade checklist
Ollie's Bargain Outlet scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $85.53 sits between the 50-day ($75.14) and 200-day ($89.93) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
46.6, Neutral
Reading 46.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
5.0% above
Price is 5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 70 days
Next report Dec 8, 2026, 70 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock chart and price history
Ollie's Bargain Outlet closed at $85.53 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.29 to $134.80.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +19.6%
- 3 months
- +18.2%
- 6 months
- −4.2%
- 1 year
- −36.0%
The full OLLI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OLLI in Gekko
Follow Ollie's Bargain Outlet through every session
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.6, in the Neutral zone, down 7.6 points over five sessions.
46.6Neutral
Down 7.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 18 | +3.2% | +6.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 283 | +0.6% | +0.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 347 | −0.2% | +0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 23 | +0.2% | +1.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average OLLI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OLLI price, zone by zone.Track OLLI in Gekko
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ollie's Bargain Outlet trades 5.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $81.46, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ollie's Bargain Outlet shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$81.46
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
5.0% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OLLI in Gekko
Ollie's Bargain Outlet insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ollie's Bargain Outlet, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in OLLI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for OLLI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OLLI in Gekko
Buybacks
Ollie's Bargain Outlet has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
- $83.96M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.62%
- Trailing four quarters
- $182.6M
From company filings.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet earnings: next date and track record
Ollie's Bargain Outlet reports on Dec 8, 2026, before the open (70 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 8, 2026
Expected before the open, 70 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.76
- Revenue estimate
- $675.0M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | $0.99 est $1.14 | — | −2.5% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | $0.91 est $0.87 | $658.9M est $661.7M | −6.0% |
| Mar 12, 2026 | $1.39 est $1.39 | $779.3M est $783.5M | +5.7% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | $0.75 est $0.73 | $613.6M est $615.6M | −5.3% |
| Aug 28, 2025 | $0.99 est $0.92 | $679.6M est $662.0M | −2.9% |
| Jun 3, 2025 | $0.75 est $0.71 | $576.8M est $566.2M | +2.2% |
| Mar 19, 2025 | $1.19 est $1.19 | $667.1M est $568.4M | +6.2% |
| Dec 10, 2024 | $0.58 est $0.57 | $517.4M est $518.8M | +15.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ollie's Bargain Outlet is $99.93, +16.8% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$99.93consensus 12-month target, +16.8% from the last close
Now $85.53Avg $99.93
Low $76High $130
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Bank of America Securities | $105 | +22.8% |
| Sep 15 | Goldman Sachs | $100 | +16.9% |
| Sep 4 | Citi | $98 | +14.6% |
| Sep 3 | Bank of America Securities | $105 | +22.8% |
| Sep 3 | KeyBanc | $98 | +14.6% |
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Ollie's Bargain Outlet averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.4% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, OLLI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet market cap and key statistics
Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s market cap is $5.17B, with a P/E ratio of 18.9 and revenue of $2.79B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.17B
- P/E ratio
- 18.9
- Forward P/E
- 19.2
- EPS, TTM
- $4.47
- Gekko Fair Value
- $81.46
Trading
- Volume
- 1.73M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.12M
- 52-week high
- $134.80
- 52-week low
- $60.29
- Shares outstanding
- 59.40M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.79B
- Profit margin
- 9.8%
- Return on equity
- 14.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +43.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.50
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.3%
Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock news this week
Coverage of Ollie's Bargain Outlet this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLLI) Stock Now Rated "Moderate Buy" by Wall Street AnalystsMarketBeat, Sep 26
- Bank of America Corp DE Makes New $22.76 Million Investment in Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. $OLLIMarketBeat, Sep 24
- Ollie’s (OLLI): Wall Street Calls Q2 “Better Than Feared,” But Nobody’s Fully ConvincedInsider Monkey, Sep 23
- Ollie's Celebrates 700th Store Opening in Minnesota with Donation of 700 Books to Gillette Children'sYour Wyoming Link, Sep 22
Ollie's Bargain Outlet peers
Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DDSDillard's | Neutral | 22.1% above |
| MMacy's | Neutral | 3.8% below |
| KSSKohl's | Neutral | 41.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock FAQ
What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s market cap?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s market cap is $5.17B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $85.53, with 59.40M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.9.
What is the Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ollie's Bargain Outlet is $99.93, +16.8% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ollie's Bargain Outlet is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $85.53 is 5.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $81.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ollie's Bargain Outlet report earnings next?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet is expected to report on Dec 8, 2026, before the market opens (70 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.76 per share on revenue of $675.0M. Ollie's Bargain Outlet beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.
What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s 52-week high and low?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet’s 52-week high is $134.80 and its 52-week low is $60.29; it closed at $85.53 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $141.74 on Aug 6, 2025.
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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