NYSE: DDS

Dillard's (DDS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$681.94+17.87 (+2.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's attention around Dillard's centers on its dividend profile, with a report highlighting a yield of 0.18% alongside payouts that reportedly exceeded $31 per share over the past year for some shareholders, a discrepancy the piece attributes to special distributions rather than the regular dividend. Separately, the company announced its 32nd annual holiday fundraiser, an exclusive Southern Living Christmas Cookbook offered in partnership with Ronald McDonald House.

Dillard's closed at $681.94, up 2.7%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $620.07 and 200-day average of $605.03, with the shorter-term average above the longer-term one. The stock's one-month return stands at 8.1% and its three-month return at 26.9%, within a 52-week range of $503.06 to $741.98. The GekkoIndex reads 48.9, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 5.8 over the past five sessions. Price sits 22.1% above the Gekko Fair Value of $558.63.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 12 November 2026, 44 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 14 May showed an EPS beat of $10.95 versus a $9.86 estimate, with a 1.1% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 4.2% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus among 3 firms includes 0 buy, 1 hold and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $545.67.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Dillard's price vs fair value

$681.94$558.63Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $681.94200-day averageGekko Fair Value $558.63

Dillard's quick facts

Market cap
$10.65B
P/E ratio
15.2
Forward P/E
35.2
EPS, TTM
$43.63
Revenue, TTM
$6.60B
Profit margin
10.3%
Dividend yield
0.18%
Beta
1.19
Volume
194,122 avg 185,503
1-year return
+11.6%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
50-day average
$620.07
200-day average
$605.03
Next earnings
Nov 12
Shares outstanding
11.86M
52-week range
$503.06$741.98

Dillard's swing-trade checklist

Dillard's scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $681.94 is above the 50-day ($620.07) and 200-day ($605.03) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.9, Neutral

    Reading 48.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    22.1% above

    Price is 22.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 44 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +4.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Dillard's stock chart and price history

Dillard's closed at $681.94 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $503.06 to $741.98.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Dillard's share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$500$600NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep681.94

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.1%
3 months
+26.9%
6 months
+22.9%
1 year
+11.6%
The full DDS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DDS in Gekko

Follow Dillard's through every session

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About Dillard's

Dillard's operates a chain of department stores concentrated in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern parts of the United States. Its stores carry a wide mix of merchandise, including clothing for men, women, and children, along with accessories, cosmetics, home goods, and other everyday consumer products. The company is recognized for this broad department-store format rather than a single specialty line.

Beyond its retail locations, Dillard's runs a number of dedicated clearance centers and sells through its own online store. It also has a general contracting construction business alongside its retail operations, giving it an additional stream of activity outside of merchandise sales.

Dillard's is headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas, and traces its founding back to 1938. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DDS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Department stores
Website
dillards.com

Dillard's GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Dillard's’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.9, in the Neutral zone, down 5.8 points over five sessions.

010048.9Neutral

Down 5.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+1.4%+0.6%−1.9%+11.7%
Accumulation169+0.6%+1.3%+3.0%+5.0%
Neutral (current zone)439+0.6%+1.1%+1.8%+3.2%
Distribution33−1.4%0.0%+4.0%+14.0%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average DDS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DDS price, zone by zone.Track DDS in Gekko

Is Dillard's stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Dillard's trades 22.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $558.63, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Dillard's shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$558.63

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

22.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DDS in Gekko

Dillard's insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Dillard's, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DDS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DDS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DDS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DDS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DDS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DDS in Gekko

Buybacks

Dillard's has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jan 31, 2026
$44K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$107.8M

From company filings.

Dillard's earnings: next date and track record

Dillard's reports on Nov 12, 2026 (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.6%Aug ’24+9.9%Nov ’24−9.1%Feb ’25+8.6%May ’25+3.6%Aug ’25+4.8%Nov ’25−7.1%Feb ’26+1.1%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 14, 2026$10.95
est $9.86
+11.1%$1.57B
est $1.55B
+0.9%+1.1%
Feb 24, 2026$12.16
est $8.98
+35.5%$1.98B
est $2.03B
−2.6%−7.1%
Nov 13, 2025$8.31
est $6.18
+34.5%$1.49B
est $1.43B
+4.3%+4.8%
Aug 14, 2025$4.66
est $3.79
+23.0%$1.54B
est $1.52B
+0.8%+3.6%
May 15, 2025$10.39
est $9.14
+13.7%$1.55B
est $1.54B
+0.4%+8.6%
Feb 25, 2025$13.48
est $9.71
+38.8%$2.05B
est $1.49B
+37.5%−9.1%
Nov 14, 2024$7.73
est $6.47
+19.5%$1.45B
est $1.43B
+1.2%+9.9%
Aug 15, 2024$4.59
est $5.97
−23.1%$1.51B
est $1.53B
−0.7%−9.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Dillard's stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dillard's is $545.67, −20.0% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$545.67consensus 12-month target, −20.0% from the last close
Low $519High $650
Buy0
Hold1
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21UBSSell, maintained——
Aug 17J.P. MorganSell, reiterated$519−23.9%
Aug 17UBSSell, maintained$468−31.4%
Aug 14UBSSell, maintained$468−31.4%
Aug 14Telsey AdvisoryHold, maintained$650−4.7%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Dillard's seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Dillard's averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.7%2021+21.7%2022−6.7%2023−0.3%2024−0.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.2%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.8%3 of 5

For scale, DDS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.

Dillard's market cap and key statistics

Dillard's’s market cap is $10.65B, with a P/E ratio of 15.2 and revenue of $6.60B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.65B
P/E ratio
15.2
Forward P/E
35.2
EPS, TTM
$43.63
Gekko Fair Value
$558.63

Trading

Volume
194,122
Avg volume, 20 days
185,503
52-week high
$741.98
52-week low
$503.06
Shares outstanding
11.86M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.60B
Profit margin
10.3%
Return on equity
33.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+34.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
Dividend yield
0.18%

Dillard's stock news this week

2 headlines about Dillard's from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Dillard's peers

Dillard's’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MMacy's+3.6%Neutral3.8% below
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet+3.1%Neutral5.0% above
KSSKohl's+2.8%Neutral41.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Dillard's stock FAQ

What is Dillard's’s market cap?

Dillard's’s market cap is $10.65B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $681.94, with 11.86M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.2.

What is the Dillard's stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dillard's is $545.67, −20.0% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Dillard's stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Dillard's is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $681.94 is 22.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $558.63. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Dillard's report earnings next?

Dillard's is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026 (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $8.05 per share on revenue of $1.48B. Dillard's beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.7% on average across the report.

What is Dillard's’s 52-week high and low?

Dillard's’s 52-week high is $741.98 and its 52-week low is $503.06; it closed at $681.94 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.6% over the past year.

Is Dillard's stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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