Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for DLTR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every DLTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DLTR in Gekko
NASDAQ: DLTR
Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$116.02+1.95 (+1.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryDollar Tree's week centers on its fiscal Q2 2026 results, which showed 7% sales growth and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.70, a figure lifted by a $1.31 tariff refund that has prompted questions about underlying profit quality. Barclays raised its price target to $160 from $140 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating following the report, and Argus separately raised its target to $109.00. Also this week, a new class action lawsuit was filed alleging Dollar Tree and Family Dollar denied Washington hourly workers required rest breaks, meal periods, overtime, and off-the-clock pay, and the company updated its corporate bylaws around shareholder voting, meeting requests, and director nominations.
Shares closed at $116.02, up 1.7%, sitting between the 50-day average of $124.82 and the 200-day average of $117.59, with a one-month return of -8.6% and a one-year return of 23.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.7, placing DLTR in the Accumulation zone. The stock trades 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.57.
The next earnings date falls on 2 December 2026, 64 days away, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar averaged +3.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the consensus target of $136.40 among 17 covering firms.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Dollar Tree price vs fair value
Close $116.02200-day averageGekko Fair Value $129.57
Dollar Tree quick facts
- Market cap
- $22.30B
- P/E ratio
- 13.9
- Forward P/E
- 17
- EPS, TTM
- $8.18
- Revenue, TTM
- $20.07B
- Profit margin
- 8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.66
- Volume
- 2.07M avg 2.86M
- 1-year return
- +23.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
- 50-day average
- $124.82
- 200-day average
- $117.59
- Next earnings
- Dec 2 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 187.6M
Dollar Tree swing-trade checklist
Dollar Tree scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $116.02 sits between the 50-day ($124.82) and 200-day ($117.59) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.7, Accumulation
Reading 64.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
10.5% below
Price is 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 64 days
Next report Dec 2, 2026, 64 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Dollar Tree stock chart and price history
Dollar Tree closed at $116.02 on Sep 28, 2026, +23.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $84.71 to $142.40.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.6%
- 3 months
- −5.4%
- 6 months
- +8.4%
- 1 year
- +23.4%
The full DLTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DLTR in Gekko
Follow Dollar Tree through every session
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About Dollar Tree
Dollar Tree runs discount retail stores across the United States and Canada through two brands, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree stores sell everything at a flat price of $1.25, with shelves stocked in candy, food, health and personal care items, cleaning supplies, paper goods, and frozen or refrigerated products, alongside toys, housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, clothing, and craft supplies. The stores also lean into seasonal shopping around holidays like Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day.
Family Dollar, by contrast, prices items at varying levels rather than a single fixed rate. Its shelves cover groceries, beverages, tobacco, personal care goods, household chemicals, paper products, hardware, auto accessories, diapers, batteries, and pet supplies, plus home goods, apparel, footwear, electronics such as prepaid phones, and school and stationery items. As of January 29, 2022, Dollar Tree had grown to 8,061 stores in the U.S. and Canada backed by 15 distribution centers in the U.S. and two in Canada, while Family Dollar had reached 8,016 stores supported by 11 distribution centers.
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, and its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker DLTR.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Discount stores
- Website
- dollartree.com
Dollar Tree GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Dollar Tree’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 6.8 points over five sessions.
64.7Accumulation
Down 6.8 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 65 | +0.5% | −3.3% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 242 | −0.9% | −1.2% | ||
| Neutral | 343 | +0.7% | +1.9% | ||
| Distribution | 21 | −0.7% | +1.9% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average DLTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DLTR price, zone by zone.Track DLTR in Gekko
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Dollar Tree trades 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.57, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Dollar Tree shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$129.57
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
10.5% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DLTR in Gekko
Dollar Tree insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Dollar Tree, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in DLTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for DLTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DLTR in Gekko
Buybacks
Dollar Tree has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
- $623.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.79%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.83B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold DLTR.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Dollar Tree earnings: next date and track record
Dollar Tree reports on Dec 2, 2026, before the open (64 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 2, 2026
Expected before the open, 64 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.95
- Revenue estimate
- $5.04B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Dollar Tree Q1 FY2026 total sales increased 7.2% with comparable sales up 3.5%, driven by ticket and traffic improvements. Adjusted EPS grew 38% year-over-year to $1.74, exceeding the high end of guidance. Multi-price assortment continues gaining traction, supporting everyday categories like toys and beverages. Traffic declined 1% but improved 20 basis points sequentially. Management notes macro headwinds including fuel costs and tariff uncertainty impacting lower-income consumers.
- Guidance
- Management cited ongoing uncertainty around tariffs and fuel costs as key risks. No specific forward guidance numbers were included in this excerpt, though the company indicated continued focus on protecting value and expanding multi-price assortment to drive growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | $1.74 est $1.55 | $4.98B est $4.96B | +21.5% |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $2.56 est $2.53 | $5.45B est $5.46B | +4.1% |
| Dec 3, 2025 | $1.21 est $1.08 | $4.75B est $4.70B | +6.3% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | $0.77 est $0.41 | $4.57B est $4.48B | −10.0% |
| Jun 4, 2025 | $1.26 est $1.21 | $4.64B est $4.54B | −0.1% |
| Mar 26, 2025 | $2.11 est $2.19 | $5.00B est $8.24B | +14.6% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $1.12 est $1.07 | $7.57B est $7.45B | +0.1% |
| Sep 4, 2024 | $0.67 est $1.04 | $7.38B est $7.49B | −16.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Dollar Tree stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Dollar Tree is $136.40, +17.6% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$136.40consensus 12-month target, +17.6% from the last close
Now $116.02Avg $136.40
Low $98High $170
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | Bernstein | $130 | +12.0% |
| Sep 21 | Wells Fargo | $155 | +33.6% |
| Sep 8 | Barclays | $160 | +37.9% |
| Sep 4 | Bernstein | $130 | +12.0% |
| Sep 4 | Barclays | $160 | +37.9% |
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Dollar Tree seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Dollar Tree averaged +3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, DLTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.
Dollar Tree market cap and key statistics
Dollar Tree’s market cap is $22.30B, with a P/E ratio of 13.9 and revenue of $20.07B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $22.30B
- P/E ratio
- 13.9
- Forward P/E
- 17
- EPS, TTM
- $8.18
- Gekko Fair Value
- $129.57
Trading
- Volume
- 2.07M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.86M
- 52-week high
- $142.40
- 52-week low
- $84.71
- Shares outstanding
- 187.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $20.07B
- Profit margin
- 8%
- Return on equity
- 46%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +197.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.66
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
Dollar Tree stock news this week
Coverage of Dollar Tree this week reads positive: 11 positive, 5 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Dollar Tree and Family Dollar do not provide required rest breaks and meal periods, a new class action alleges.Claim Depot, Sep 28
- Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Looks Undervalued as a Profitable Value StockChartMill, Sep 28
- Dollar Tree stock gets a higher USD 160 target from BarclaysAD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- Dollar Tree (DLTR) Just Raised A Question Investors May Want To AnswerSimply Wall Street, Sep 27
- Dollar Tree stock reports 7 percent Q2 sales growthAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Envestnet Portfolio Solutions Inc. Purchases 44,411 Shares of Dollar Tree, Inc. $DLTRMarketBeat, Sep 25
Dollar Tree stock FAQ
What is Dollar Tree’s market cap?
Dollar Tree’s market cap is $22.30B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $116.02, with 187.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.9.
What is the Dollar Tree stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Dollar Tree is $136.40, +17.6% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Dollar Tree is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $116.02 is 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $129.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Dollar Tree report earnings next?
Dollar Tree is expected to report on Dec 2, 2026, before the market opens (64 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.95 per share on revenue of $5.04B. Dollar Tree beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.1% on average across the report.
What is Dollar Tree’s 52-week high and low?
Dollar Tree’s 52-week high is $142.40 and its 52-week low is $84.71; it closed at $116.02 on Sep 28, 2026, +23.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $177.19 on Apr 21, 2022.
Is Dollar Tree stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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