Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MELI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MELI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MELI in Gekko
NASDAQ: MELI
MercadoLibre (MELI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$1,739.88+77.72 (+4.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeMercadoLibre reported third quarter 2026 results, with revenue reaching $10.75 billion, up 45% year over year, topping estimates, while earnings per share missed Q3 estimates, compared with $8.32 per share a year ago. Currency-neutral growth slowed for a fourth straight quarter as spending on shipping, marketing, and credit weighed on operating margin. Coverage also pointed to continued engagement gains, including a 14% year-over-year increase in items per buyer, alongside the stock's 38% decline being discussed relative to other large-cap names.
MELI closed at $1739.88, up 4.7%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $1824.86 and 200-day average of $1807.68. The one-month return stands at -6.4%, the three-month at -4.9%, and the one-year at -24.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the five-day change in that reading is -9.3. Price sits 1.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $1707.37.
No confirmed earnings date is currently on the calendar following the just-reported quarter, which showed 3 beats across the last 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 7% on results days. Over the last 30 days, 7 unusual options signals were recorded, with call premium of $46,182,115 against put premium of $22,409,060. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -7.5% across 5 years, positive in 1 of them. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 10 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $2271.93.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
MercadoLibre price vs fair value
Close $1,739.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,707.37
MercadoLibre quick facts
- Market cap
- $88.21B
- P/E ratio
- 45.6
- Forward P/E
- 29.5
- EPS, TTM
- $36.77
- Revenue, TTM
- $35.18B
- Profit margin
- 5.3%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.39
- Volume
- 768,591 avg 533,050
- 1-year return
- −24.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
- 50-day average
- $1,824.86
- 200-day average
- $1,807.68
- Next earnings
- —
- Shares outstanding
- 50.70M
MercadoLibre swing-trade checklist
MercadoLibre scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $1739.88 sits between the 50-day ($1824.86) and 200-day ($1807.68) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.2, Accumulation
Reading 61.2 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
1.9% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.9% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 7 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings riskno data
No data
No confirmed report date on the calendar.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−7.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7.5% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
MercadoLibre stock chart and price history
MercadoLibre closed at $1,739.88 on Nov 4, 2026, −24.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $1,495.00 to $2,372.79.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.4%
- 3 months
- −4.9%
- 6 months
- −5.5%
- 1 year
- −24.9%
The full MELI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MELI in Gekko
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About MercadoLibre
MercadoLibre operates a group of online platforms that let people and businesses buy and sell across Latin America. Its central offering is a marketplace site where companies, independent sellers, and everyday users can post items and carry transactions through to a finished sale. The company is most recognized for this shopping platform and the broader set of tools built around it, covering money movement, lending, shipping, and marketing.
On the financial side, Mercado Pago handles payments, letting users move money and settle purchases through phone and web apps, whether the transaction happens on MercadoLibre's own sites or elsewhere. A related service, Mercado Fondo, allows account holders to put idle Mercado Pago balances into investments, while Mercado Credito extends loans to approved sellers and buyers. Sellers can also arrange shipping and warehousing through Mercado Envios, market their goods through Mercado Libre Ads, or build a branded storefront using Mercado Shops. A separate classifieds arm covers listings for cars, homes, and services.
MercadoLibre traces back to 1999 and is based in Montevideo, Uruguay. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker MELI.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Internet retail
- Website
- mercadolibre.com
MercadoLibre GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
MercadoLibre’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 9.3 points over five sessions.
61.2Accumulation
Down 9.3 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 26 | +2.6% | +6.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 267 | +1.1% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral | 359 | −0.8% | −1.1% | ||
| Distribution | 44 | +0.2% | −2.1% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MELI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MELI price, zone by zone.Track MELI in Gekko
Is MercadoLibre stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
MercadoLibre trades 1.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,707.37, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what MercadoLibre shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$1,707.37
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
1.9% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.9% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MELI in Gekko
MercadoLibre insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MercadoLibre, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MELI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MELI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MELI in Gekko
Buybacks
MercadoLibre has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $1.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
7signals, 67% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 30, $2.37M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
3of the funds Gekko tracks hold MELI.
2added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
MercadoLibre earnings: next date and track record
MercadoLibre beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 7% on average across the report.
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- MercadoLibre reported a strong Q2 2026: net revenue surpassed $10 billion (50% year-over-year). Income from operations was $683 million with a 6.7% margin, reflecting management's deliberate choice to prioritize investments in long-term engagement, growth and scale over near-term profitability. Management highlighted the success of lowering Brazil's free-shipping threshold (items per buyer +19% YoY, conversion +1.1pp, daily actives accelerating), the value of 'ecosystemic' users who use both Marketplace and Mercado Pago, and continued strong growth across credit (consumer credit and credit cards), advertising, and acquiring. Key operational developments include rapid ramp of credit card issuance (notably Brazil and Argentina), sustained low NPLs across most products, significant AI investments (~$80m incremental token cost year-over-year) with measurable productivity gains, and strong growth in cross-border trade (CBT GMV ~60% YoY; Chinese fulfillment center volume +170% QoQ). Management emphasized disciplined, metrics-driven reinvestment, and confidence in the long-term flywheel between commerce and fintech.
- Risks flagged
- Potential risks discussed include margin compression from logistics/energy costs and higher device (chip/memory) costs, one-off margin impact from device restocking in Mexico, tougher comps after Brazil free-shipping benefits, near-term headwinds in Mexico (tax reform, World Cup-related weaker consumption), possible deterioration in the credit cycle (though management reports current NPLs are low), and general macroeconomic uncertainty that could affect demand.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $9.19 est $8.69 | $10.20B est $9.79B | −3.1% |
| May 7, 2026 | $8.23 est $11.89 | $8.85B est $8.29B | −11.3% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $11.03 est $11.85 | $8.76B est $8.45B | −5.2% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $8.32 est $12.63 | $7.41B est $7.22B | +3.1% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $10.31 est $12.38 | $6.79B est $6.67B | +1.4% |
| May 7, 2025 | $9.74 est $8.27 | $5.94B est $5.49B | +8.1% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $12.61 est $8.05 | $6.06B est $5.82B | +8.9% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $7.83 est $9.85 | $5.31B est $5.28B | −15.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
MercadoLibre stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MercadoLibre is $2,271.93, +30.6% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$2,271.93consensus 12-month target, +30.6% from the last close
Now $1,739.88Avg $2,271.93
Low $1,750High $2,600
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Susquehanna | $2,500 | +43.7% |
| Oct 27 | Morgan Stanley | $2,450 | +40.8% |
| Oct 26 | Citi | $2,050 | +17.8% |
| Oct 18 | Jefferies | $2,600 | +49.4% |
| Oct 14 | Citi | $2,100 | +20.7% |
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−7.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
MercadoLibre seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, MercadoLibre averaged −7.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −7.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −8.4% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, MELI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.3%.
MercadoLibre market cap and key statistics
MercadoLibre’s market cap is $88.21B, with a P/E ratio of 45.6 and revenue of $35.18B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $88.21B
- P/E ratio
- 45.6
- Forward P/E
- 29.5
- EPS, TTM
- $36.77
- Gekko Fair Value
- $1,707.37
Trading
- Volume
- 768,591
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 533,050
- 52-week high
- $2,372.79
- 52-week low
- $1,495.00
- Shares outstanding
- 50.70M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $35.18B
- Profit margin
- 5.3%
- Return on equity
- 27.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −10.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.39
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.3%
MercadoLibre stock news this week
Coverage of MercadoLibre this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 5 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- MercadoLibre (MELI) Misses Q3 Earnings EstimatesZacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- Mercado Libre Revenue Reaches $10.75 Billion in Q3 2026, up 45% Year Over YearBusiness Wire, Nov 4
- MercadoLibre's Growth Slows as Margin Shrinks: Rapid Earnings ReactionThe Motley Fool, Nov 4
- MercadoLibre profit misses on logistics spending, revenue tops estimatesReuters, Nov 4
- MercadoLibre, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial ResultsBusiness Wire, Nov 4
- Down 38%, Is MercadoLibre Stock a Better Buy than SpaceX and the "Magnificent Seven" Stocks in November?The Motley Fool, Nov 4
MercadoLibre peers
MercadoLibre’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AMZNAmazon.com | Neutral | 8.4% above |
| EBAYeBay | Neutral | 21.7% above |
| CPNGCoupang | Distribution | 6.0% below |
| CHWYChewy | Neutral | 0.5% above |
| ETSYEtsy | Neutral | 20.7% above |
| GLBEGlobal-E Online | Neutral | 16.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
MercadoLibre stock FAQ
What is MercadoLibre’s market cap?
MercadoLibre’s market cap is $88.21B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,739.88, with 50.70M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 45.6.
What is the MercadoLibre stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MercadoLibre is $2,271.93, +30.6% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is MercadoLibre stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate MercadoLibre is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,739.88 is 1.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,707.37. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
What is MercadoLibre’s 52-week high and low?
MercadoLibre’s 52-week high is $2,372.79 and its 52-week low is $1,495.00; it closed at $1,739.88 on Nov 4, 2026, −24.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $2,645.22 on Jul 1, 2025.
Is MercadoLibre stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and smart money), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in MercadoLibre?
Gekko flagged 7 unusual options signals in MercadoLibre over the last 30 days, with $46.18M of flagged premium in calls and $22.41M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $2.37M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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