NASDAQ: EBAY

eBay (EBAY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$125.15+6.53 (+5.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

eBay shares touched an all-time high of $124.46 this week, with the stock up 5.5% and near its 52-week high of $126.55. The move follows Q3 results reported on 28 October, where GMV grew 13% to over $23 billion, revenue rose 11% to $3.2 billion, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.51 beat the $1.41 estimate, with focus categories, C2C and Recommerce growing roughly 20% in aggregate and Depop accelerating total FX-neutral GMV growth to about 16%. Against that backdrop, Jefferies flagged potential take rate pressure tied to slowing advertising growth, and a federal court in Seattle granted class certification in an antitrust case concerning Amazon's marketplace price parity clauses, in which eBay shoppers are among the plaintiffs.

The close of $125.15 sits above both the 50-day average of $111.78 and the 200-day average of $104.41, with one-month, three-month and six-month returns of 16.9%, 13.6% and 15.7% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 49.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, while the price stands 21.7% above the Gekko Fair Value of $102.82.

The next earnings date is 17 February 2027, 104 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. Over the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $4,256,910 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

eBay price vs fair value

$125.15$102.82Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $125.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $102.82

eBay quick facts

Market cap
$54.94B
P/E ratio
26.4
Forward P/E
18.1
EPS, TTM
$4.58
Revenue, TTM
$12.39B
Profit margin
16.9%
Dividend yield
1.00%
Beta
1.27
Volume
5.10M avg 4.23M
1-year return
+51.2%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
50-day average
$111.78
200-day average
$104.41
Next earnings
Feb 17 after close
Shares outstanding
439.0M
52-week range
$78.03$126.55

eBay swing-trade checklist

eBay scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $125.15 is above the 50-day ($111.78) and 200-day ($104.41) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.8, Neutral

    Reading 49.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    21.7% above

    Price is 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 104 days

    Next report Feb 17, 2027, 104 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

eBay stock chart and price history

eBay closed at $125.15 on Nov 4, 2026, +51.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $78.03 to $126.55.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
eBay share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$90$100$110$120DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct125.15

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+16.9%
3 months
+13.6%
6 months
+15.7%
1 year
+51.2%
The full EBAY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open EBAY in Gekko

Follow eBay through every session

Put EBAY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track EBAY in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About eBay

eBay operates online marketplaces that connect people looking to buy and sell goods. Its main presence is the eBay website and a set of mobile apps, where users can list items, browse listings, and complete purchases and payments. The platform is best known for enabling this kind of open buying and selling across a wide range of products.

Transactions on eBay's platforms happen through online and mobile channels, and in some cases through more conventional means as well. The seller base is varied, spanning individual sellers, small businesses, and larger operations like retailers, distributors, liquidators, import and export companies, and auction houses. Many of these sellers connect to eBay's marketplace through links with other commerce platforms, search engines, and shopping networks.

eBay was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker EBAY.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Internet retail
Website
ebayinc.com

eBay GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

eBay’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.8, in the Neutral zone, down 2.1 points over five sessions.

010049.8Neutral

Down 2.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying9Too few readings yet
Accumulation146+1.7%+2.5%+3.9%+8.4%
Neutral (current zone)477+0.5%+1.4%+3.4%+7.0%
Distribution60+0.9%+1.6%+1.1%+7.4%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average EBAY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EBAY price, zone by zone.Track EBAY in Gekko

Is eBay stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

eBay trades 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $102.82, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what eBay shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$102.82

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

21.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 34.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$103$119Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EBAY in Gekko

eBay insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for eBay, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EBAY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EBAY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EBAY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in EBAY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for EBAY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EBAY in Gekko

Buybacks

eBay has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$664.0M
As a share of market cap
1.21%
Trailing four quarters
$2.21B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 30, $4.26M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds EBAY.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

eBay earnings: next date and track record

eBay reports on Feb 17, 2027, after the close (104 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.5%Feb ’25+0.7%Apr ’25+16.9%Jul ’25−15.9%Oct ’25+6.0%Feb ’26+3.1%Apr ’26+0.5%Aug ’26+2.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
eBay Q3 2026 delivered strong results exceeding consensus and guidance highs. GMV grew 13% to $23B+, revenue grew 11% to $3.2B, non-GAAP operating income grew 11%, and non-GAAP EPS grew ~12%. Strategic priorities including focus categories, C2C, and Recommerce grew ~20% aggregate GMV, representing 72% of total GMV ex-Depop. Depop accelerated materially, driving total FX-neutral GMV growth of ~16%. Focus category GMV grew 24%, led by Collectibles, eBay Motors, fashion, and refurbished goods.
Guidance
No explicit forward-looking guidance figures were provided in this excerpt. Management indicated continued investment behind highest-priority growth opportunities including eBay Live, vehicles, Depop, and focus categories.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$1.51
est $1.41
+7.1%$3.21B
est $3.12B
+2.9%+2.9%
Aug 5, 2026$1.25
est $1.20
+4.2%$3.13B
est $3.01B
+3.9%+0.5%
Apr 29, 2026$1.66
est $1.48
+12.2%$3.09B
est $3.04B
+1.8%+3.1%
Feb 18, 2026$1.41
est $1.35
+4.4%$2.97B
est $2.87B
+3.2%+6.0%
Oct 29, 2025$1.36
est $1.33
+2.3%$2.82B
est $2.73B
+3.3%−15.9%
Jul 30, 2025$1.37
est $1.29
+6.2%$2.73B
est $2.64B
+3.3%+16.9%
Apr 30, 2025$1.38
est $1.20
+15.0%$2.59B
est $2.55B
+1.5%+0.7%
Feb 26, 2025$1.25
est $1.21
+3.3%$2.58B
est $2.57B
+0.3%−10.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

eBay stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for eBay is $126.11, +0.8% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$126.11consensus 12-month target, +0.8% from the last close
Low $106High $153
Buy13
Hold9
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29BarclaysBuy, maintained$136+8.7%
Oct 29Wells FargoHold, upgraded$106−15.3%
Oct 29Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$133+6.3%
Oct 29Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$140+11.9%
Oct 29Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$135+7.9%
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

eBay seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, eBay averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−12.1%2021+9.7%2022+2.8%2023+4.5%2024+0.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days0.0%4 of 5

For scale, EBAY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.

eBay market cap and key statistics

eBay’s market cap is $54.94B, with a P/E ratio of 26.4 and revenue of $12.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$54.94B
P/E ratio
26.4
Forward P/E
18.1
EPS, TTM
$4.58
Gekko Fair Value
$102.82

Trading

Volume
5.10M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.23M
52-week high
$126.55
52-week low
$78.03
Shares outstanding
439.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.39B
Profit margin
16.9%
Return on equity
46%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−18.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.27
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
Dividend yield
1.00%

eBay peers

eBay’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMZNAmazon.com+0.5%Neutral8.4% above
MELIMercadoLibre+1.5%Accumulation1.9% above
CPNGCoupang+10.6%Distribution6.0% below
CHWYChewy+1.8%Neutral0.5% above
ETSYEtsy+3.4%Neutral20.7% above
GLBEGlobal-E Online+5.4%Neutral16.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Internet retail

eBay stock FAQ

What is eBay’s market cap?

eBay’s market cap is $54.94B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $125.15, with 439.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 26.4.

What is the eBay stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for eBay is $126.11, +0.8% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is eBay stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate eBay is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $125.15 is 21.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $102.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does eBay report earnings next?

eBay is expected to report on Feb 17, 2027, after the market closes (104 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.50 per share on revenue of $3.23B. eBay beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.

What is eBay’s 52-week high and low?

eBay’s 52-week high is $126.55 and its 52-week low is $78.03; it closed at $125.15 on Nov 4, 2026, +51.2% over the past year.

Is eBay stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in eBay?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in eBay over the last 30 days, with $4.26M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $4.26M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See eBay the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,460 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.