Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for REAL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every REAL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open REAL in Gekko
NASDAQ: REAL
RealReal (REAL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$9.69−0.06 (−0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's attention on RealReal centers on the expansion of its "Ask TRR" AI shopping agent to all 45 million members, built on Google Cloud's Gemini Enterprise. The tool lets shoppers use natural language to search for luxury resale items by intent and occasion rather than keyword matching, extending a generative AI integration first rolled out more broadly across the platform.
REAL closed at $9.69, down 0.6%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $10.33 and its 200-day average of $11.40, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 55.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone after a five-day change of -8.3. Shares trade 26.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $13.25. The 52-week range spans $8.05 to $17.39, and the stock's one-month return stands at -1.4%, with a three-month return of -10.9%.
The next earnings date falls on 9 November 2026, after the close, 27 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August showed EPS of -$0.07 against a -$0.08 estimate, with a -2.8% reaction, and average absolute earnings-day moves have run 18.5%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, though two trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 9.5% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 8 firms includes 5 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $18.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
RealReal price vs fair value
Close $9.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.25
RealReal quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.17B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 38.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.94
- Revenue, TTM
- $749.9M
- Profit margin
- -10.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.81
- Volume
- 1.80M avg 2.74M
- 1-year return
- −5.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±16.9%
- 50-day average
- $10.33
- 200-day average
- $11.40
- Next earnings
- Nov 9 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 121.7M
RealReal swing-trade checklist
RealReal scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $9.69 is below the 50-day ($10.33) and 200-day ($11.40) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
55.9, Neutral
Reading 55.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
26.9% below
Price is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
RealReal stock chart and price history
RealReal closed at $9.69 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.05 to $17.39.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.4%
- 3 months
- −10.9%
- 6 months
- −6.5%
- 1 year
- −5.2%
The full REAL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open REAL in Gekko
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About RealReal
RealReal runs an online marketplace focused on reselling authenticated luxury items across the United States. Shoppers can find a broad mix of goods through the platform, including women's, men's, and children's clothing and accessories, along with fine jewelry, watches, and pieces for the home such as furnishings and art.
The company centers its business on resale commerce, connecting sellers of pre-owned luxury items with buyers seeking those same categories of goods. Its offerings span multiple product lines rather than a single niche, giving customers a range of options within the secondhand luxury space.
RealReal was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker REAL.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Internet retail
- Website
- therealreal.com
RealReal GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
RealReal’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.9, in the Neutral zone, down 8.3 points over five sessions.
55.9Neutral
Down 8.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 45 | +0.3% | +0.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 215 | +1.2% | +9.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 342 | +2.4% | +4.8% | ||
| Distribution | 63 | +5.9% | +36.4% | ||
| Selling | 17 | Not available | |||
Average REAL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the REAL price, zone by zone.Track REAL in Gekko
Is RealReal stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
RealReal trades 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what RealReal shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$13.25
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
26.9% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 35.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open REAL in Gekko
RealReal insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RealReal, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in REAL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for REAL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open REAL in Gekko
Buybacks
RealReal has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
- $1.18M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.10%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold REAL.
0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
RealReal earnings: next date and track record
RealReal reports on Nov 9, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 9, 2026
Expected after the close, 28 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.00
- Revenue estimate
- $196.8M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±18.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- The RealReal reported record Q2 2026 GMV of $617 million, up 22% year-over-year, marking four consecutive quarters of 20%+ GMV growth. Revenue grew 17% to $193 million, while adjusted EBITDA margin expanded ~300 basis points to 7%. Active buyers grew 11% YoY for the fourth consecutive quarter. Strategic initiatives include AI-powered pricing/authentication, international dropship expansion with Japanese vendors, and the Real Partners referral program driving 4x average consignor value.
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year 2026 outlook citing strong momentum. New store openings planned for Boston and additional Los Angeles locations in fall 2026. No specific revenue or earnings targets disclosed in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | −$0.07 est −$0.08 | $192.6M est $188.1M | −2.8% |
| May 7, 2026 | −$0.01 est −$0.01 | $189.7M est $187.8M | −21.1% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.06 est $0.04 | $194.1M est $188.7M | +2.0% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | −$0.04 est −$0.06 | $173.6M est $169.0M | +40.9% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | −$0.13 est −$0.15 | $165.2M est $169.4M | +11.3% |
| May 8, 2025 | −$0.14 est −$0.13 | $160.0M est $159.7M | −28.4% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | −$0.01 est −$0.01 | $164.0M est $164.2M | −18.9% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | −$0.09 est −$0.10 | $147.8M est $161.9M | +22.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
RealReal stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for RealReal is $18.00, +85.8% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$18.00consensus 12-month target, +85.8% from the last close
Now $9.69Avg $18.00
Low $15High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | Roth MKM | $19 | +96.1% |
| Aug 7 | UBS | $16 | +65.1% |
| Aug 7 | Robert W. Baird | $15 | +54.8% |
| Aug 7 | Northland Securities | $20 | +106.4% |
| Aug 7 | Roth MKM | $19 | +96.1% |
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+9.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
RealReal seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, RealReal averaged +9.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +8.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +29.5% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, REAL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 16.9%.
RealReal market cap and key statistics
RealReal’s market cap is $1.17B and revenue of $749.9M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.17B
- Forward P/E
- 38.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.94
- Gekko Fair Value
- $13.25
Trading
- Volume
- 1.80M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.74M
- 52-week high
- $17.39
- 52-week low
- $8.05
- Shares outstanding
- 121.7M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $749.9M
- Profit margin
- -10.8%
- Return on equity
- -933%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.81
- Typical daily move
- ±4.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±16.9%
RealReal stock news this week
2 headlines about RealReal from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
RealReal peers
RealReal’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AMZNAmazon.com | Neutral | 1.8% above |
| MELIMercadoLibre | Neutral | 7.8% above |
| EBAYeBay | Neutral | 18.8% above |
| CPNGCoupang | Neutral | 18.0% below |
| CHWYChewy | Accumulation | 15.8% below |
| ETSYEtsy | Neutral | 2.9% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
RealReal stock FAQ
What is RealReal’s market cap?
RealReal’s market cap is $1.17B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.69, with 121.7M shares outstanding.
What is the RealReal stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for RealReal is $18.00, +85.8% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is RealReal stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate RealReal is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.69 is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does RealReal report earnings next?
RealReal is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.00 per share on revenue of $196.8M. RealReal beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 18.5% on average across the report.
What is RealReal’s 52-week high and low?
RealReal’s 52-week high is $17.39 and its 52-week low is $8.05; it closed at $9.69 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.2% over the past year.
Is RealReal stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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