NYSE: GIC

Global Industrial (GIC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$43.60+0.65 (+1.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Global Industrial reached a new 52-week high this week, trading as high as $43.90 before settling near current levels, with commentary pointing to strong digital channel penetration and capital allocation as support for the shares. One piece placed fair value at $42.0 per share, citing higher projected revenue growth and an increased future P/E assumption, while another noted weak near-term sentiment against a stronger mid and long-term outlook. A separate comparison piece weighed GIC against peer DNOW across earnings, risk, and valuation measures.

The stock closed at $43.60, up 1.5%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $40.24 and 200-day average of $34.01, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 48.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, and the price stands 11.1% above the Gekko Fair Value of $39.23.

Earnings are due 27 October 2026 after close, 14 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 4 August 2026 showed EPS of $0.54 matching estimates, with a 6.3% price reaction, and prior reactions have averaged 13.2% in magnitude. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 5% decline over the next 20 trading days across five years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the single analyst's hold rating and consensus target of 42, which implies a -3.7% gap to the current price.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Global Industrial price vs fair value

$43.60$39.23Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $43.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $39.23

Global Industrial quick facts

Market cap
$1.67B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
17.7
EPS, TTM
$2.21
Revenue, TTM
$1.44B
Profit margin
6.1%
Dividend yield
2.51%
Beta
0.76
Volume
121,645 avg 163,111
1-year return
+25.8%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$40.24
200-day average
$34.01
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
38.11M
52-week range
$26.40$44.36

Global Industrial swing-trade checklist

Global Industrial scores 1 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $43.60 is above the 50-day ($40.24) and 200-day ($34.01) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.5, Neutral

    Reading 48.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.1% above

    Price is 11.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 15 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Global Industrial stock chart and price history

Global Industrial closed at $43.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.40 to $44.36.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Global Industrial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct43.60

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+11.8%
3 months
+29.5%
6 months
+30.1%
1 year
+25.8%
The full GIC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GIC in Gekko

Follow Global Industrial through every session

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About Global Industrial

Global Industrial distributes industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation supplies across the United States and Canada. Its catalog spans storage and shelving, safety equipment, material handling gear, HVAC and fans, furniture, tools, plumbing and pumps, packaging, lighting, foodservice items, medical and laboratory supplies, motors, building materials, fasteners, and vehicle maintenance products, among other categories used in commercial and institutional settings.

The company reaches buyers through relationship-based sales teams, e-commerce platforms, and printed catalogs, selling under several house brands including Global, GlobalIndustrial.com, Nexel, Paramount, Interion, and Absocold. Its customer base includes for-profit and not-for-profit businesses, educational institutions at the state and local level, and government bodies spanning federal, state, and municipal agencies.

The business traces back to 1949 and is headquartered in Port Washington, New York. It operated for a time under the name Systemax Inc before adopting its current name, Global Industrial Company, in June 2021. Shares of the company are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GIC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Internet retail
Website
globalindustrial.com

Global Industrial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Global Industrial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.5, in the Neutral zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.

010048.5Neutral

Up 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying59+0.1%+1.0%+5.7%+5.5%
Accumulation207−0.2%−0.4%−2.3%−0.6%
Neutral (current zone)367+0.3%+0.4%+0.8%+0.7%
Distribution45+1.6%+3.0%+4.5%+3.7%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average GIC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GIC price, zone by zone.Track GIC in Gekko

Is Global Industrial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Global Industrial trades 11.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.23, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Global Industrial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$39.23

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

11.1% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$39$43Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GIC in Gekko

Global Industrial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Global Industrial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GIC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GIC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GIC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GIC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GIC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GIC in Gekko

Buybacks

Global Industrial has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$4.70M
As a share of market cap
0.28%

From company filings.

Global Industrial earnings: next date and track record

Global Industrial reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−21.2%Oct ’24+1.8%Feb ’25+16.5%Apr ’25+25.5%Jul ’25−17.5%Oct ’25+7.4%Feb ’26−9.7%May ’26+6.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Global Industrial reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 7.7% (9.3% on average daily basis), marking the third consecutive quarter of high single-digit average daily sales growth. GPO business reached annualized sales pace of $100 million. E-procurement connections surpassed 1,300 customers, with digital transactions exceeding 60% of total volume. Company is executing a relationship-led B2B model shift emphasizing vertical specialization and AI-driven sales productivity.
Guidance
Management confirmed Q3 2026 revenue momentum continues at a similar high single-digit growth rate. No specific earnings or revenue targets were provided in this excerpt, but strategic initiatives in GPO and e-procurement are expected to drive improved retention and share of wallet.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.54
est $0.54
0.0%$386.6M
est $377.4M
+2.4%+6.3%
May 5, 2026$0.39
est $0.41
−4.9%$350.4M
est $344.1M
+1.8%−9.7%
Feb 24, 2026$0.38
est $0.35
+8.6%$345.6M
est $324.8M
+6.4%+7.4%
Oct 28, 2025$0.48
est $0.58
−17.2%$353.6M
est $324.9M
+8.8%−17.5%
Jul 29, 2025$0.65
est $0.50
+30.0%$358.9M
est $356.0M
+0.8%+25.5%
Apr 29, 2025$0.35
est $0.20
+75.0%$321.0M
est $307.0M
+4.6%+16.5%
Feb 25, 2025$0.27
est $0.28
−3.6%$302.3M
est $306.1M
−1.2%+1.8%
Oct 29, 2024$0.44
est $0.58
−24.1%$342.4M
est $309.5M
+10.6%−21.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Global Industrial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Global Industrial is $42.00, −3.7% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$42.00consensus 12-month target, −3.7% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 5William BlairHold, maintained——
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Global Industrial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Global Industrial averaged −5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.3%2021−13.1%2022+5.4%2023−8.9%2024−20.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.9%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−5.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.7%2 of 5

For scale, GIC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

Global Industrial market cap and key statistics

Global Industrial’s market cap is $1.67B, with a P/E ratio of 19.3 and revenue of $1.44B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.67B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
17.7
EPS, TTM
$2.21
Gekko Fair Value
$39.23

Trading

Volume
121,645
Avg volume, 20 days
163,111
52-week high
$44.36
52-week low
$26.40
Shares outstanding
38.11M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.44B
Profit margin
6.1%
Return on equity
26.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+48.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.76
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
Dividend yield
2.51%

Global Industrial stock news this week

4 headlines about Global Industrial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Global Industrial peers

Global Industrial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AMZNAmazon.com−1.1%Neutral1.8% above
MELIMercadoLibre−0.3%Neutral7.8% above
EBAYeBay0.0%Neutral18.8% above
CPNGCoupang−2.3%Neutral18.0% below
CHWYChewy+1.8%Accumulation15.8% below
ETSYEtsy−0.4%Neutral2.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Global Industrial stock FAQ

What is Global Industrial’s market cap?

Global Industrial’s market cap is $1.67B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $43.60, with 38.11M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.3.

What is the Global Industrial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Global Industrial is $42.00, −3.7% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Global Industrial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Global Industrial is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $43.60 is 11.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Global Industrial report earnings next?

Global Industrial is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.54 per share on revenue of $385.1M. Global Industrial beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.2% on average across the report.

What is Global Industrial’s 52-week high and low?

Global Industrial’s 52-week high is $44.36 and its 52-week low is $26.40; it closed at $43.60 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $46.97 on Mar 21, 2024.

Is Global Industrial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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