HSBC (HSBC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

HSBC Holdings, plc. Finance sector. Market cap $350.0B.

$101.83−1.01 (−1.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

HSBC closes at $101.83, down 1% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $103.26 and 200-day average of $90.79. The GekkoIndex reads 60.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 6.4 over the last five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $104.39, putting the current price about 2.5% below that level. Over the past year the stock has returned 46.2%, with six-month gains of 28.2% and three-month gains of 7.2%, though the one-month return is slightly negative at -0.5%.

This week's coverage centers on HSBC's own strategic commentary and a series of portfolio adjustments disclosed in regulatory filings. Group CFO Pam Kaur highlighted Hong Kong, wealth management, trade finance and the U.K. as investment priorities alongside cost discipline, while the bank also announced an enhanced Premier offering in the U.S. aimed at affluent customers. Separately, filings show HSBC Holdings trimming stakes across several unrelated holdings, including Hecla Mining, Performance Food Group, Smithfield Foods, Ferrari and Voya Financial, with reductions ranging from roughly 75% to over 94% in various positions during the second quarter.

The next earnings date falls on 27 October, 37 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. At the last report on 4 August, HSBC posted EPS of $2.25 against an estimate of $2.24, with shares reacting -4.8%; the company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.6%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 1% gain, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst views remain split among 3 firms, with a consensus target of $106.08.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $101.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $104.39

Key stats

Market cap
$350.0B
P/E ratio
14.4
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
$7.14
Revenue, TTM
$67.43B
Profit margin
37.8%
Dividend yield
0.74%
Beta
0.57
Volume
1.75M avg 1.27M
1-year return
+46.2%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$103.26
200-day average
$90.79
Next earnings
Oct 27 before open
Shares outstanding
3.42B
52-week range
$64.65$107.92

HSBC swing-trade checklist

HSBC scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $101.83 sits between the 50-day ($103.26) and 200-day ($90.79) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.6, Accumulation

    Reading 60.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.5% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

HSBC stock chart and price history

HSBC closed at $101.83 on Sep 18, 2026, +46.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $64.65 to $107.92.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.5%
3 months
+7.2%
6 months
+28.2%
1 year
+46.2%
The full HSBC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HSBC in Gekko

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About HSBC

HSBC provides banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and large institutions worldwide. It is widely recognized for its broad international presence in retail and corporate banking, offering everyday products like current and savings accounts, mortgages, personal loans, and payment cards, alongside wealth management, insurance, and investment services for both everyday customers and wealthier clients.

The group organizes its work into three areas. One serves personal customers with retail banking and wealth solutions. Another supports companies of varying sizes with lending, cash management, trade finance, foreign exchange, and help raising capital or getting strategic advice. The third works with large corporations, governments, and institutional or high-net-worth investors, handling financing, advisory work, trading across credit, rates, currencies, equities, and money markets, securities services, and some investing of its own capital.

HSBC was established in 1865 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker HSBC.

Sector
Finance
Website
hsbc.com

HSBC GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

HSBC’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 6.4 points over five sessions.

010060.6Accumulation

Up 6.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying7Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)65+2.0%+4.0%+7.5%+13.8%
Neutral471+0.7%+1.3%+2.6%+8.3%
Distribution71+0.2%+1.6%+3.4%+2.6%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average HSBC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HSBC price, zone by zone.Track HSBC in Gekko

Is HSBC stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

HSBC trades 2.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.39, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what HSBC shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$104.39

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

2.5% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HSBC in Gekko

HSBC insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HSBC, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HSBC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HSBC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HSBC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HSBC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HSBC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HSBC in Gekko

Buybacks

HSBC has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2025
$12.66B
As a share of market cap
3.62%

From company filings.

HSBC earnings: next date and track record

HSBC reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.3%Oct ’24−1.6%Feb ’25−0.5%Apr ’25−5.8%Jul ’25+4.9%Oct ’25+7.5%Feb ’26+1.4%May ’26−4.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
HSBC reported Q2 2026 revenue of $19B (up 7% YoY) and profit before tax of $10.3B (up 13% YoY), with annualized ROTE of 19.5%. H1 revenues and PBT both grew 6%, with deposits up $129B (8%) to $1.8T and loans up $55B (6%). Wealth fee income grew 18% and wholesale transaction banking fees grew 4%. HSBC announced a $1B share buyback restart and raised organizational simplification savings target to $2B.
Guidance
HSBC raised total organizational simplification savings target to $2B (from $1.5B), to be fully actioned by year-end 2026, with $0.3B cost reallocation planned in 2026. Management targets sustained ROTE above 17% across all four business segments through 2028.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$2.25
est $2.24
+0.4%$19.04B
est $18.66B
+2.1%−4.8%
May 5, 2026$2.20
est $2.15
+2.3%$19.13B
est $18.60B
+2.8%+1.4%
Feb 25, 2026$1.85
est $1.80
+2.8%$17.70B
est $17.01B
+4.0%+7.5%
Oct 28, 2025$1.80
est $1.65
+9.1%$33.48B
est $16.04B
+108.8%+4.9%
Jul 30, 2025$1.95
est $1.62
+20.4%$14.41B
est $16.44B
−12.4%−5.8%
Apr 29, 2025$1.95
est $1.60
+21.9%$33.85B
est $16.63B
+103.5%−0.5%
Feb 19, 2025$0.05
est $1.53
−96.7%$16.96B
est $16.60B
+2.2%−1.6%
Oct 29, 2024$1.69
est $1.49
+13.4%$16.93B
est $15.99B
+5.8%+2.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

HSBC stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for HSBC is $106.08, +4.2% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$106.08consensus 12-month target, +4.2% from the last close
Buy1
Hold1
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 4Exane BNP ParibasSell, downgraded
Aug 4Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
Jul 15Erste GroupHold, downgraded
+7.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

HSBC seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, HSBC averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+20.5%2021−12.2%2022+1.6%2023−0.8%2024−5.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.4%3 of 5

For scale, HSBC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

HSBC market cap and key statistics

HSBC’s market cap is $350.0B, with a P/E ratio of 14.4 and revenue of $67.43B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$350.0B
P/E ratio
14.4
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
$7.14
Gekko Fair Value
$104.39

Trading

Volume
1.75M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.27M
52-week high
$107.92
52-week low
$64.65
Shares outstanding
3.42B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$67.43B
Profit margin
37.8%
Return on equity
13.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+2.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
0.74%

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HSBC stock FAQ

What is HSBC’s market cap?

HSBC’s market cap is $350.0B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $101.83, with 3.42B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.4.

What is the HSBC stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for HSBC is $106.08, +4.2% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is HSBC stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate HSBC is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $101.83 is 2.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $104.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does HSBC report earnings next?

HSBC is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.20 per share on revenue of $19.14B. HSBC beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.

What is HSBC’s 52-week high and low?

HSBC’s 52-week high is $107.92 and its 52-week low is $64.65; it closed at $101.83 on Sep 18, 2026, +46.2% over the past year.

Is HSBC stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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