NASDAQ: NTRS

Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Northern Trust Corporation. Finance sector, investment managers industry. Market cap $32.55B.

$177.89+0.95 (+0.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Northern Trust (NTRS) closes at $177.89, up 0.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $184.58 and its 200-day average of $160.89. The GekkoIndex reads 69, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and shares trade 3.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.46. Over the past month the stock is down 4.1%, though it remains up 31% over six months and 37.4% over the past year, with a 52-week range of $121.12 to $195.78.

This week's news centers on leadership and business-development moves rather than financial results. Northern Trust appointed Olivier Noel as Head of Private Markets for EMEA, named Cynthia Brown President of The Northern Trust Company of Delaware succeeding David Diamond, and raised its prime rate effective 17 September. Separately, J O Hambro Capital Management selected Northern Trust's Integrated Trading Solutions desk as its sole outsourced trading provider, and the company presented at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference. One report noted the stock down 4.0% to $181.71 and flagged a GF Score of 74 alongside concerns about financial strength and insider selling trends.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 21 October 2026, 31 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter's EPS of $2.69 beat the $2.37 estimate, with an average absolute reaction of 3.8% across the last eight quarters, all beats. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 1.5% gain across five years, positive in three of them. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 2 buy, 8 hold, and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $184.27, implying 3.6% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity is on record in the current windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $177.89200-day averageGekko Fair Value $184.46

Key stats

Market cap
$32.55B
P/E ratio
15.2
Forward P/E
14
EPS, TTM
$11.64
Revenue, TTM
$9.09B
Profit margin
24.7%
Dividend yield
1.81%
Beta
1.26
Volume
2.21M avg 969,013
1-year return
+37.4%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$184.58
200-day average
$160.89
Next earnings
Oct 21
Shares outstanding
183.0M
52-week range
$121.12$195.78

Northern Trust swing-trade checklist

Northern Trust scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $177.89 sits between the 50-day ($184.58) and 200-day ($160.89) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69, Accumulation

    Reading 69 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Oct 21, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Northern Trust stock chart and price history

Northern Trust closed at $177.89 on Sep 18, 2026, +37.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $121.12 to $195.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.1%
3 months
+3.4%
6 months
+31.0%
1 year
+37.4%
The full NTRS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NTRS in Gekko

Follow Northern Trust through every session

Put NTRS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Northern Trust

Northern Trust works with clients worldwide on managing wealth, servicing assets, running investment strategies, and handling banking needs. Customers range from large corporations and institutions to families and individual investors, and the firm has built its name on pairing behind-the-scenes custody and administrative work with more hands-on financial guidance for wealthy clients.

The business is split into two main areas. One side, focused on institutions, supports pension plans, public retirement systems, charitable foundations, endowments, investment managers, insurers, and sovereign funds with services such as custody, fund administration, outsourced investment operations, securities lending, currency exchange, treasury and cash management, brokerage, and transition support. The other side caters to high-net-worth individuals, families, business owners, executives, and privately owned companies, offering trust and estate administration, investment management, philanthropic and financial planning advice, family business guidance, and private banking. Beyond these two areas, Northern Trust also builds and manages investment portfolios across stocks, bonds, cash, and alternative assets like private equity and hedge funds, offered through accounts, pooled funds, and exchange-traded products, along with tools for managing portfolio risk.

Founded in 1889 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Northern Trust trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker NTRS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
northerntrust.com

Northern Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Northern Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69, in the Accumulation zone, up 14.5 points over five sessions.

010069Accumulation

Up 14.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+10.4%
Accumulation (current zone)139+0.2%+1.1%+4.6%+11.2%
Neutral448+0.8%+1.6%+2.4%+6.1%
Distribution49+1.0%+1.2%+3.5%+6.6%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average NTRS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NTRS price, zone by zone.Track NTRS in Gekko

Is Northern Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Northern Trust trades 3.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.46, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Northern Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$184.46

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

3.6% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NTRS in Gekko

Northern Trust insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Northern Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NTRS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NTRS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTRS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NTRS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NTRS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NTRS in Gekko

Buybacks

Northern Trust has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$350.6M
As a share of market cap
1.08%
Trailing four quarters
$1.36B

From company filings.

Northern Trust earnings: next date and track record

Northern Trust reports on Oct 21, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.0%Apr ’24−5.0%Jul ’24+7.3%Oct ’24+3.3%Jan ’25+4.4%Apr ’25+1.8%Jul ’25−2.9%Oct ’25+2.9%Jan ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 22, 2026$2.69
est $2.37
+13.5%$2.14B
est $2.06B
+3.8%+2.9%
Oct 22, 2025$2.29
est $2.26
+1.3%$3.58B
est $2.03B
+76.5%−2.9%
Jul 23, 2025$2.13
est $2.06
+3.4%$3.60B
est $1.97B
+83.2%+1.8%
Apr 22, 2025$1.90
est $1.85
+2.7%$3.51B
est $1.95B
+79.9%+4.4%
Jan 23, 2025$2.26
est $1.96
+15.3%$1.96B
est $1.92B
+1.9%+3.3%
Oct 23, 2024$2.01
est $1.74
+15.5%$1.41B
est $1.93B
−27.0%+7.3%
Jul 17, 2024$1.78
est $1.75
+1.7%$4.61B
est $1.84B
+150.1%−5.0%
Apr 16, 2024$1.70
est $1.45
+17.2%$3.56B
est $1.78B
+99.9%−3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Northern Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Northern Trust is $184.27, +3.6% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$184.27consensus 12-month target, +3.6% from the last close
Low $173High $200
Buy2
Hold8
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15BarclaysHold, maintained$189+6.2%
Sep 8Morgan StanleySell, maintained$173−2.7%
Aug 28CitiHold, maintained$182+2.3%
Aug 4J.P. MorganHold, maintained$185.50+4.3%
Jul 31BarclaysHold, maintained$189+6.2%
+4.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Northern Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Northern Trust averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+14.3%2021−8.9%2022+0.2%2023+3.9%2024−5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.8%2 of 5

For scale, NTRS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Northern Trust market cap and key statistics

Northern Trust’s market cap is $32.55B, with a P/E ratio of 15.2 and revenue of $9.09B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$32.55B
P/E ratio
15.2
Forward P/E
14
EPS, TTM
$11.64
Gekko Fair Value
$184.46

Trading

Volume
2.21M
Avg volume, 20 days
969,013
52-week high
$195.78
52-week low
$121.12
Shares outstanding
183.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.09B
Profit margin
24.7%
Return on equity
17.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+98.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.26
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.81%

Northern Trust peers

Northern Trust’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley+0.2%Accumulation9.3% below
UBSUBS−0.2%Accumulation6.1% below
BLKBlackRock+2.2%Accumulation10.3% below
BXBlackstone+0.6%Accumulation9.5% below
KKRKKR+1.3%Accumulation13.2% below
BNBrookfield+1.1%Buying19.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Northern Trust stock FAQ

What is Northern Trust’s market cap?

Northern Trust’s market cap is $32.55B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $177.89, with 183.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.2.

What is the Northern Trust stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Northern Trust is $184.27, +3.6% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Northern Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Northern Trust is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $177.89 is 3.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $184.46. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Northern Trust report earnings next?

Northern Trust is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.82 per share on revenue of $2.25B. Northern Trust beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.8% on average across the report.

What is Northern Trust’s 52-week high and low?

Northern Trust’s 52-week high is $195.78 and its 52-week low is $121.12; it closed at $177.89 on Sep 18, 2026, +37.4% over the past year.

Is Northern Trust stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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