NYSE: ARES

Ares Management (ARES) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Ares Management Corporation. Finance sector, investment managers industry. Market cap $40.66B.

$123.80−1.52 (−1.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ares Management closes at $123.80, down 1.2%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $133.61 and 200-day average of $132.31. The GekkoIndex reads 73.5, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 8.3 over the last five readings. Shares trade 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $139.28. Over the past year the stock is down 30.8%, though the six-month return stands at 14.6%.

This week's news centers on financing and deal activity. Ares renewed and upsized a loan facility with Momentum Financial Services Group to C$810 million, extended through January 2029 to support growth and new products in Canada and the United States. Separately, Ares and PSP Investments formed a joint venture to invest up to $2.4 billion in U.S. logistics real estate. Ares also presented at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference, and its Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund declared a monthly distribution of $0.1125 per share.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 2 November, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congressional activity shows 1 buy and 0 sells. Analyst coverage from 12 firms includes 9 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $147.78. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -5.1% across 5 years, with gains in 3 of those years — a pattern worth noting alongside the last earnings reaction of 11.6%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $123.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $139.28

Key stats

Market cap
$40.66B
P/E ratio
56.7
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$2.21
Revenue, TTM
$5.99B
Profit margin
10.6%
Dividend yield
3.98%
Beta
1.52
Volume
7.91M avg 2.09M
1-year return
−30.8%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$133.61
200-day average
$132.31
Next earnings
Nov 2
Shares outstanding
224.0M
52-week range
$95.80$186.85

Ares Management swing-trade checklist

Ares Management scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $123.80 sits between the 50-day ($133.61) and 200-day ($132.31) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.5, Buying

    Reading 73.5 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.1% below

    Price is 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −5.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −5.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ares Management stock chart and price history

Ares Management closed at $123.80 on Sep 18, 2026, −30.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $95.80 to $186.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.5%
3 months
−4.3%
6 months
+14.6%
1 year
−30.8%
The full ARES chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARES in Gekko

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About Ares Management

Ares Management operates as a firm focused on alternative investments, with a presence spanning North America, Europe, and Asia. One part of its business, built around tradable credit, sets up various fund structures and managed accounts for large institutions while also offering retail-facing products tied to non-investment grade and tradable corporate debt. Another part of its work centers on lending directly to smaller and mid-sized companies, giving it a name tied to that kind of financing.

The firm's private equity side generally seeks out ownership positions where it can hold or share control, often in businesses it sees as needing more capital. Its real estate arm backs the construction of new projects and the overhaul of existing properties, again typically through controlling or shared-controlling stakes, and it puts together customized financing arrangements for commercial property owners and operators in the middle market.

The company traces back to 1997 and once operated under the name Ares Management, L.P. It runs its business from Los Angeles, California, with further offices scattered throughout the United States, Europe, and Asia, and Ares Management GP LLC acts as its general partner. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker ARES.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
ares.com

Ares Management GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ares Management’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.5, in the Buying zone, up 8.3 points over five sessions.

010073.5Buying

Up 8.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)46−0.9%−1.8%−3.1%+6.1%
Accumulation158+0.2%+0.5%+2.1%+6.7%
Neutral417+0.4%+0.7%+0.9%−0.8%
Distribution34−0.3%+0.9%+0.9%−1.6%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average ARES share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARES price, zone by zone.Track ARES in Gekko

Is Ares Management stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ares Management trades 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $139.28, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ares Management shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$139.28

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

11.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARES in Gekko

Ares Management insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ares Management, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARES in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ARES insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARES in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Ares Management has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$511.4M
As a share of market cap
1.26%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold ARES.

0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ares Management earnings: next date and track record

Ares Management reports on Nov 2, 2026 (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.8%Nov ’24−1.9%Feb ’25+1.6%May ’25+1.6%Aug ’25+2.9%Nov ’25−4.9%Feb ’26+2.2%May ’26+11.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ares reported record Q2 2026 results with AUM reaching $671 billion and fee-paying AUM of $410 billion, both up 17% year-over-year. Fee-related earnings and realized income grew 20% and 30%+ respectively, exceeding long-term targets. Record quarterly fundraising of $36 billion was achieved, bringing H1 2026 total to $66 billion. Dry powder stands at a record $170 billion, with $114 billion of AUM not yet fee-paying.
Guidance
Management confirmed they remain on track for another record year of fundraising and to achieve full-year financial objectives. AUM growth and earnings growth rates are at or above long-term targets established at the 2024 Investor Day. A 20%+ dividend increase to $1.35/share signals continued confidence in earnings trajectory.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 31, 2026$1.29
est $1.28
+0.8%$1.43B
est $1.27B
+12.8%+11.6%
May 1, 2026$1.24
est $1.33
−6.8%$1.29B
est $1.28B
+0.9%+2.2%
Feb 5, 2026$1.45
est $1.70
−14.7%$1.50B
est $1.49B
+0.7%−4.9%
Nov 3, 2025$1.19
est $1.15
+3.5%$1.66B
est $1.06B
+57.0%+2.9%
Aug 1, 2025$1.03
est $1.08
−4.6%$1.35B
est $1.01B
+33.3%+1.6%
May 5, 2025$1.09
est $0.94
+16.0%$1.09B
est $927.9M
+17.3%+1.6%
Feb 5, 2025$1.23
est $1.35
−8.9%$1.61B
est $1.10B
+45.5%−1.9%
Nov 1, 2024$0.95
est $0.94
+1.2%$1.43B
est $751.6M
+90.5%−4.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ares Management stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ares Management is $147.78, +19.4% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$147.78consensus 12-month target, +19.4% from the last close
Low $122High $168
Buy9
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17BarclaysBuy, maintained$139+12.3%
Aug 27OppenheimerBuy, maintained$162+30.9%
Aug 6TD CowenBuy, maintained$163+31.7%
Aug 5Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$160+29.2%
Aug 3Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$145+17.1%
−3.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−5.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ares Management seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ares Management averaged −5.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.1%2021−15.2%2022+4.7%2023+7.8%2024−22.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−5.2%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−7.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−6.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−5.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.8%2 of 5

For scale, ARES’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

Ares Management market cap and key statistics

Ares Management’s market cap is $40.66B, with a P/E ratio of 56.7 and revenue of $5.99B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.66B
P/E ratio
56.7
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$2.21
Gekko Fair Value
$139.28

Trading

Volume
7.91M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.09M
52-week high
$186.85
52-week low
$95.80
Shares outstanding
224.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.99B
Profit margin
10.6%
Return on equity
14.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.52
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
Dividend yield
3.98%

Ares Management peers

Ares Management’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley+0.2%Accumulation9.3% below
UBSUBS−0.2%Accumulation6.1% below
BLKBlackRock+2.2%Accumulation10.3% below
BXBlackstone+0.6%Accumulation9.5% below
KKRKKR+1.3%Accumulation13.2% below
BNBrookfield+1.1%Buying19.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ares Management stock FAQ

What is Ares Management’s market cap?

Ares Management’s market cap is $40.66B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $123.80, with 224.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 56.7.

What is the Ares Management stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ares Management is $147.78, +19.4% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ares Management stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ares Management is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $123.80 is 11.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $139.28. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ares Management report earnings next?

Ares Management is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.33 per share on revenue of $1.25B. Ares Management beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.9% on average across the report.

What is Ares Management’s 52-week high and low?

Ares Management’s 52-week high is $186.85 and its 52-week low is $95.80; it closed at $123.80 on Sep 18, 2026, −30.8% over the past year.

Is Ares Management stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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