Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARES in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ARES insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARES in Gekko
NYSE: ARES
Ares Management (ARES) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$136.85+7.92 (+6.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeAres Management's stock moved on third-quarter 2026 results reported on 29 October, which showed AUM climbing to $690.6 billion and fee-earning assets rising 13.3% year over year to $416.4 billion. Base management fee revenue grew 10.2% to $1.1 billion, and fee-related earnings rose 11.2% to $524 million, with earnings beating estimates even as GAAP net income fell to $85.3 million from $288.9 million a year prior. The company also raised $31.0 billion in gross capital commitments during the quarter, and management pointed to its diversified platform offsetting uneven transaction activity in some markets.
The stock closed at $136.85, up 6.1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $125.43 and 200-day average of $124.23, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 45.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 9.4 over the past five readings. Price sits 2.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $133.93.
The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart money activity over the last 30 days includes 1 unusual options signal, with put premium of $2,520,960 against call premium of $81,668. Analyst consensus across 12 firms stands at 8 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $146.50. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +0.5%, with gains in 3 of those years.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Ares Management price vs fair value
Close $136.85200-day averageGekko Fair Value $133.93
Ares Management quick facts
- Market cap
- $44.94B
- P/E ratio
- 109
- Forward P/E
- 17.9
- EPS, TTM
- $1.22
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.98B
- Profit margin
- 8.7%
- Dividend yield
- 4.03%
- Beta
- 1.51
- Volume
- 2.57M avg 2.38M
- 1-year return
- −12.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7%
- 50-day average
- $125.43
- 200-day average
- $124.23
- Next earnings
- Feb 4
- Shares outstanding
- 224.0M
Ares Management swing-trade checklist
Ares Management scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $136.85 is above the 50-day ($125.43) and 200-day ($124.23) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
45.6, Neutral
Reading 45.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.2% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.2% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 91 days
Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ares Management stock chart and price history
Ares Management closed at $136.85 on Nov 4, 2026, −12.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $95.80 to $181.19.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +16.2%
- 3 months
- −1.0%
- 6 months
- +10.5%
- 1 year
- −12.0%
The full ARES chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARES in Gekko
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About Ares Management
Ares Management operates as a firm focused on alternative investments, with a presence spanning North America, Europe, and Asia. One part of its business, built around tradable credit, sets up various fund structures and managed accounts for large institutions while also offering retail-facing products tied to non-investment grade and tradable corporate debt. Another part of its work centers on lending directly to smaller and mid-sized companies, giving it a name tied to that kind of financing.
The firm's private equity side generally seeks out ownership positions where it can hold or share control, often in businesses it sees as needing more capital. Its real estate arm backs the construction of new projects and the overhaul of existing properties, again typically through controlling or shared-controlling stakes, and it puts together customized financing arrangements for commercial property owners and operators in the middle market.
The company traces back to 1997 and once operated under the name Ares Management, L.P. It runs its business from Los Angeles, California, with further offices scattered throughout the United States, Europe, and Asia, and Ares Management GP LLC acts as its general partner. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker ARES.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Investment managers
- Website
- ares.com
Ares Management GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ares Management’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.6, in the Neutral zone, down 9.4 points over five sessions.
45.6Neutral
Down 9.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 50 | −1.0% | −3.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 185 | +0.1% | +1.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 421 | +0.4% | +0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 34 | −0.3% | +0.9% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ARES share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARES price, zone by zone.Track ARES in Gekko
Is Ares Management stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ares Management trades 2.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $133.93, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ares Management shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$133.93
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
2.2% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.3% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARES in Gekko
Ares Management insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ares Management, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ARES were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ARES, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARES in Gekko
Buybacks
Ares Management has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
- $511.4M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.14%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 3% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 7, $2.60M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold ARES.
0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Ares Management earnings: next date and track record
Ares Management reports on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 4, 2027
91 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.83
- Revenue estimate
- $1.80B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ares reported record Q2 2026 results with AUM reaching $671 billion and fee-paying AUM of $410 billion, both up 17% year-over-year. Fee-related earnings and realized income grew 20% and 30%+ respectively, exceeding long-term targets. Record quarterly fundraising of $36 billion was achieved, bringing H1 2026 total to $66 billion. Dry powder stands at a record $170 billion, with $114 billion of AUM not yet fee-paying.
- Guidance
- Management confirmed they remain on track for another record year of fundraising and to achieve full-year financial objectives. AUM growth and earnings growth rates are at or above long-term targets established at the 2024 Investor Day. A 20%+ dividend increase to $1.35/share signals continued confidence in earnings trajectory.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | $1.29 est $1.28 | $1.43B est $1.27B | +11.6% |
| May 1, 2026 | $1.24 est $1.33 | $1.29B est $1.28B | +2.2% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $1.45 est $1.70 | $1.50B est $1.49B | −4.9% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $1.19 est $1.15 | $1.66B est $1.06B | +2.9% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $1.03 est $1.08 | $1.35B est $1.01B | +1.6% |
| May 5, 2025 | $1.09 est $0.94 | $1.09B est $927.9M | +1.6% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $1.23 est $1.35 | $1.61B est $1.10B | −1.9% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | $0.95 est $0.94 | $1.43B est $751.6M | −4.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ares Management stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ares Management is $146.50, +7.1% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$146.50consensus 12-month target, +7.1% from the last close
Now $136.85Avg $146.50
Low $130High $171
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Piper Sandler | $143 | +4.5% |
| Nov 2 | Bank of America Securities | $164 | +19.8% |
| Nov 1 | BMO Capital | $133 | −2.8% |
| Oct 30 | Oppenheimer | $163 | +19.1% |
| Oct 30 | Wells Fargo | $141 | +3.0% |
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ares Management seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ares Management averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ARES’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.
Ares Management market cap and key statistics
Ares Management’s market cap is $44.94B, with a P/E ratio of 109 and revenue of $4.98B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $44.94B
- P/E ratio
- 109
- Forward P/E
- 17.9
- EPS, TTM
- $1.22
- Gekko Fair Value
- $133.93
Trading
- Volume
- 2.57M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.38M
- 52-week high
- $181.19
- 52-week low
- $95.80
- Shares outstanding
- 224.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $4.98B
- Profit margin
- 8.7%
- Return on equity
- 14.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −81.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.51
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7%
- Dividend yield
- 4.03%
Ares Management stock news this week
Coverage of Ares Management this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Price, News & AnalysisStock Titan, Oct 31
- Vanguard reports a stake in Ares Management (ARES) with voting power over only 50,404 shares.Stock Titan, Oct 30
- What Ares Management (ARES) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallMarketBeat, Oct 30
- Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Oct 29
- Ares Earnings: Decent Q3 Results and Lack of Any Bad Credit-Related News Net PositivesMorningstar, Oct 29
- Ares Management Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, AUM Rises Y/YZacks Investment Research, Oct 29
Ares Management peers
Ares Management’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSMorgan Stanley | Neutral | 4.3% below |
| BLKBlackRock | Neutral | 1.5% above |
| UBSUBS | Neutral | 2.7% below |
| BXBlackstone | Neutral | 2.3% below |
| BNBrookfield | Distribution | 3.0% below |
| KKRKKR | Neutral | 4.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ares Management stock FAQ
What is Ares Management’s market cap?
Ares Management’s market cap is $44.94B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $136.85, with 224.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 109.
What is the Ares Management stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ares Management is $146.50, +7.1% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ares Management stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ares Management is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $136.85 is 2.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $133.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ares Management report earnings next?
Ares Management is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.83 per share on revenue of $1.80B. Ares Management beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.9% on average across the report.
What is Ares Management’s 52-week high and low?
Ares Management’s 52-week high is $181.19 and its 52-week low is $95.80; it closed at $136.85 on Nov 4, 2026, −12.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $200.49 on Feb 4, 2025.
Is Ares Management stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Ares Management?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Ares Management over the last 30 days, with $82K of flagged premium in calls and $2.52M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 7, 2026 with $2.60M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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