NYSE: UBS

UBS (UBS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

UBS Group AG Registered. Finance sector, investment managers industry. Market cap $166.2B.

$50.69+0.07 (+0.1%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

UBS closes at $50.69, sitting between its 50-day average of $53.30 and 200-day average of $46.63, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock is down 4.6% over one month but up 35.7% over six months and 22.4% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 68.1, placing UBS in the Accumulation zone, up from a five-point change of 11.7. Gekko Fair Value stands at $53.99, putting the current price 6.1% below that level.

Coverage this week centers on Swiss banking regulation. UBS Chairman Colm Kelleher called a parliamentary committee's Additional Tier 1 capital proposal an "acceptable compromise," while the Swiss upper house postponed a vote on new banking rules for UBS until the following week, following the 2023 Credit Suisse collapse. Separate reporting noted investors saying UBS could see savings of hundreds of millions of dollars annually if an alternative AT1 proposal is approved. Other items concern UBS's own research calls on other companies, including price target cuts on Nike and Dave & Buster's, and an upgrade of Union Pacific to Buy.

Looking ahead, UBS reports earnings on 28 October, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; its last report on 29 April beat estimates ($0.95 vs $0.83) with a 4.3% price reaction, part of 7 beats in the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.7% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. One billionaire holder is recorded, with consensus analyst targets at $55.03, implying 8.6% upside.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $50.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $53.99

Key stats

Market cap
$166.2B
P/E ratio
17.2
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
$2.94
Revenue, TTM
$53.04B
Profit margin
17.9%
Dividend yield
2.17%
Beta
0.83
Volume
1.96M avg 1.69M
1-year return
+22.4%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$53.30
200-day average
$46.63
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
3.06B
52-week range
$36.30$55.99

UBS swing-trade checklist

UBS scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $50.69 sits between the 50-day ($53.30) and 200-day ($46.63) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.1, Accumulation

    Reading 68.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.1% below

    Price is 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

UBS stock chart and price history

UBS closed at $50.69 on Sep 18, 2026, +22.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $36.30 to $55.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.6%
3 months
−0.2%
6 months
+35.7%
1 year
+22.4%
The full UBS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UBS in Gekko

Follow UBS through every session

Put UBS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track UBS in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About UBS

UBS offers a broad set of financial services to individuals, businesses and institutions across the globe, ranging from personal advice to large scale market transactions. The firm has built its reputation on guiding wealthy and ultra-wealthy clients through investment, lending and long term planning decisions.

Its work is split into four main areas. Global Wealth Management focuses on affluent and ultra-high-net-worth individuals, offering investment advice, mortgages and securities-based loans, along with estate planning, philanthropic guidance and family office support. Personal & Corporate Banking serves everyday customers with deposits, cards and digital banking tools while also giving corporate and institutional clients access to equity and debt financing, credit facilities, trade finance, custody and payment services. Asset Management builds portfolios spanning equities, bonds, hedge funds, real estate and private assets, and designs multi-asset and advisory solutions for institutional investors. The Investment Bank advises companies on major transactions and fundraising, executes trading and financing of securities in global markets, and supports clients with risk management and market research.

UBS is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, and dates back to 1862, having traded for years as UBS AG before renaming itself in December 2014. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker UBS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
ubs.com

UBS GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

UBS’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 11.7 points over five sessions.

010068.1Accumulation

Up 11.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying39+1.5%+2.1%+5.8%+9.6%
Accumulation (current zone)146+0.7%+2.4%+4.9%+11.2%
Neutral425+0.5%+0.7%+1.2%+4.4%
Distribution51+0.1%+0.1%+0.8%−4.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average UBS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UBS price, zone by zone.Track UBS in Gekko

Is UBS stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

UBS trades 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.99, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what UBS shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$53.99

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

6.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UBS in Gekko

UBS insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UBS, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UBS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UBS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UBS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UBS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UBS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UBS in Gekko

Buybacks

UBS has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$1.05B
As a share of market cap
0.63%
Trailing four quarters
$4.75B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds UBS.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

UBS earnings: next date and track record

UBS reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.1%Aug ’24−6.5%Oct ’24−6.7%Feb ’25−1.2%Apr ’25−1.8%Jul ’25−2.7%Oct ’25−8.2%Feb ’26+4.3%Apr ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 29, 2026$0.95
est $0.83
+14.5%$13.64B
est $13.16B
+3.7%+4.3%
Feb 4, 2026$0.67
est $0.53
+26.3%$12.20B
est $11.71B
+4.2%−8.2%
Oct 29, 2025$0.76
est $0.49
+55.9%$12.20B
est $11.92B
+2.3%−2.7%
Jul 30, 2025$0.82
est $0.92
−10.9%$18.32B
est $9.53B
+92.1%−1.8%
Apr 30, 2025$0.51
est $0.42
+21.4%$10.94B
est $9.61B
+13.7%−1.2%
Feb 4, 2025$0.39
est $0.34
+14.7%$10.56B
est $10.90B
−3.2%−6.7%
Oct 30, 2024$0.53
est $0.37
+43.2%$10.96B
est $10.90B
+0.6%−6.5%
Aug 14, 2024$0.34
est $0.30
+13.3%$11.85B
est $11.29B
+5.0%+3.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

UBS stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for UBS is $55.03, +8.6% from the last close.

$55.03consensus 12-month target, +8.6% from the last close
+4.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

UBS seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, UBS averaged −0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.8%2021−11.3%2022−3.8%2023+7.1%2024−9.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.5%2 of 5

For scale, UBS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

UBS market cap and key statistics

UBS’s market cap is $166.2B, with a P/E ratio of 17.2 and revenue of $53.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$166.2B
P/E ratio
17.2
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
$2.94
Gekko Fair Value
$53.99

Trading

Volume
1.96M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.69M
52-week high
$55.99
52-week low
$36.30
Shares outstanding
3.06B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$53.04B
Profit margin
17.9%
Return on equity
10.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+20.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.83
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
Dividend yield
2.17%

UBS stock news this week

Coverage of UBS this week reads positive: 5 positive, 0 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

UBS peers

UBS’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley+0.2%Accumulation9.3% below
BLKBlackRock+2.2%Accumulation10.3% below
BXBlackstone+0.6%Accumulation9.5% below
KKRKKR+1.3%Accumulation13.2% below
BNBrookfield+1.1%Buying19.9% below
BAMBrookfield Asset Management+1.7%Buying12.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

UBS stock FAQ

What is UBS’s market cap?

UBS’s market cap is $166.2B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $50.69, with 3.06B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.2.

What is the UBS stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for UBS is $55.03, +8.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is UBS stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate UBS is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $50.69 is 6.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.99. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does UBS report earnings next?

UBS is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.92 per share on revenue of $13.22B. UBS beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is UBS’s 52-week high and low?

UBS’s 52-week high is $55.99 and its 52-week low is $36.30; it closed at $50.69 on Sep 18, 2026, +22.4% over the past year.

Is UBS stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See UBS the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.