NYSE: MS

Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$193.99+7.90 (+4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Morgan Stanley's own research desk generated most of this week's headlines rather than company-specific news about the firm itself. Analysts including Stephen Byrd discussed a path forward for data center development, while the firm flagged Texas risk for Cipher, Galaxy and MARA following a gubernatorial election result, and issued a string of price target changes on names including Fiserv, Block, Marathon Petroleum, Skyworks Solutions and Flywire. Separately, Morgan Stanley built out its wealth business, recruiting advisor teams from Merrill Lynch and RBC Wealth Management to form a new San Francisco practice managing over $3 billion in assets.

Shares closed at $193.99, up 4.2%, sitting between the 50-day average of $196.50 and the 200-day average of $194.35, a mixed trend signal. The GekkoIndex reads 57.1, placing MS in the Neutral zone, down 2.3 over five days. Price sits 4.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $202.77.

The next earnings date falls on 14 January 2027, 70 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 14 October 2026 beat estimates with EPS of $3.03 versus $2.93 expected, though shares reacted -2.4%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +5.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 18 firms includes 8 buy, 9 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a target of $211.50.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Morgan Stanley price vs fair value

$202.77$193.99Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $193.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $202.77

Morgan Stanley quick facts

Market cap
$306.0B
P/E ratio
14.7
Forward P/E
13.5
EPS, TTM
$12.61
Revenue, TTM
$79.79B
Profit margin
25.6%
Dividend yield
2.33%
Beta
1.22
Volume
7.86M avg 6.49M
1-year return
+18.5%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$196.50
200-day average
$194.35
Next earnings
Jan 14 before open
Shares outstanding
1.57B
52-week range
$152.80$232.25

Morgan Stanley swing-trade checklist

Morgan Stanley scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $193.99 sits between the 50-day ($196.50) and 200-day ($194.35) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.1, Neutral

    Reading 57.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.3% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.3% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 70 days

    Next report Jan 14, 2027, 70 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Morgan Stanley stock chart and price history

Morgan Stanley closed at $193.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $152.80 to $232.25.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Morgan Stanley share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$140$160$180$220DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct193.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.6%
3 months
−9.2%
6 months
+0.3%
1 year
+18.5%
The full MS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MS in Gekko

Follow Morgan Stanley through every session

Put MS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track MS in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley is a financial holding company that provides a wide range of financial services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individual clients around the world, including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It is known for its work in capital raising, financial advisory, and wealth management, serving as a link between large institutional needs and individual investor services.

The firm runs its business through three divisions. Institutional Securities handles underwriting, mergers and acquisitions advice, corporate restructuring, real estate and project financing, and sales and trading across equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets, along with lending and research services. Wealth Management serves individual investors and smaller businesses and institutions, offering brokerage, financial planning, workplace stock plans, insurance and annuity products, and various lending and banking services. Investment Management develops equity, fixed income, liquidity, and alternative investment products for institutional and intermediary clients such as pension plans, foundations, endowments, governments, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, and fund sponsors.

Morgan Stanley's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
morganstanley.com

Morgan Stanley GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Morgan Stanley’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.1, in the Neutral zone, down 2.3 points over five sessions.

010057.1Neutral

Down 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+2.9%+3.6%+0.8%+18.5%
Accumulation131+0.1%+0.3%+3.3%+13.9%
Neutral (current zone)462+0.8%+1.5%+2.6%+5.5%
Distribution74+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%+5.2%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average MS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MS price, zone by zone.Track MS in Gekko

Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Morgan Stanley trades 4.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $202.77, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Morgan Stanley shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$202.77

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

4.3% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 7.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$203$186Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MS in Gekko

Morgan Stanley insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Morgan Stanley, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MS in Gekko

Buybacks

Morgan Stanley has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$20.00B, Jun 24, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.20B
As a share of market cap
0.39%
Trailing four quarters
$9.53B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MS.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Morgan Stanley earnings: next date and track record

Morgan Stanley reports on Jan 14, 2027, before the open (70 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.6%Jan ’25+2.4%Apr ’25−0.5%Jul ’25+3.0%Oct ’25+4.6%Jan ’26+2.2%Apr ’26−4.1%Jul ’26−2.4%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 14, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Morgan Stanley reported Q3 revenue of $20.3 billion and EPS of $3.03, with ROTCE of 22.6% marking five consecutive quarters above 20%. Wealth Management hit a record $9 billion in revenue with $232 billion in net new assets. Institutional Securities generated $10 billion in revenue, up 18% YoY, led by Equities at $5.8 billion. Total client assets reached a record $10.5 trillion, growing $400 billion in the quarter.
Guidance
Management remains positive on investment banking activity, citing high pipelines and active boardroom dialogues. Q4 outlook depends on AI ecosystem development and geopolitical risks. Firm holds 300 basis points excess CET1, providing capital flexibility.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 14, 2026$3.03
est $2.93
+3.4%$20.34B
est $19.93B
+2.1%−2.4%
Jul 15, 2026$3.46
est $2.89
+19.7%$21.35B
est $19.67B
+8.5%−4.1%
Apr 15, 2026$3.43
est $3.02
+13.7%$20.58B
est $19.74B
+4.3%+2.2%
Jan 15, 2026$2.68
est $2.40
+11.7%$17.89B
est $17.74B
+0.8%+4.6%
Oct 15, 2025$2.80
est $2.10
+33.3%$17.08B
est $16.69B
+2.4%+3.0%
Jul 16, 2025$2.13
est $1.98
+7.6%$15.60B
est $16.07B
−2.9%−0.5%
Apr 11, 2025$2.60
est $2.21
+17.6%$16.52B
est $16.54B
−0.1%+2.4%
Jan 16, 2025$2.22
est $1.69
+31.4%$15.04B
est $15.03B
+0.1%+5.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Morgan Stanley stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Morgan Stanley is $211.50, +9.0% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$211.50consensus 12-month target, +9.0% from the last close
Low $129High $262
Buy8
Hold9
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2UBSBuy, maintained$240+23.7%
Oct 23Freedom Capital MarketsBuy, maintained$210+8.3%
Oct 19BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$210+8.3%
Oct 18JLPascualSell, downgraded$129−33.5%
Oct 16J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$198+2.1%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Morgan Stanley seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Morgan Stanley averaged +5.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.6%2021+5.8%2022+5.6%2023+12.3%2024+5.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.8%4 of 5

For scale, MS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Morgan Stanley market cap and key statistics

Morgan Stanley’s market cap is $306.0B, with a P/E ratio of 14.7 and revenue of $79.79B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$306.0B
P/E ratio
14.7
Forward P/E
13.5
EPS, TTM
$12.61
Gekko Fair Value
$202.77

Trading

Volume
7.86M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.49M
52-week high
$232.25
52-week low
$152.80
Shares outstanding
1.57B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$79.79B
Profit margin
25.6%
Return on equity
18%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+8.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.22
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
2.33%

Morgan Stanley peers

Morgan Stanley’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BLKBlackRock+3.1%Neutral1.5% above
UBSUBS+0.9%Neutral2.7% below
BXBlackstone+3.4%Neutral2.3% below
BNBrookfield+3.4%Distribution3.0% below
KKRKKR+2.6%Neutral4.6% below
BAMBrookfield Asset Management+3.7%Distribution6.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Investment managers

Morgan Stanley stock FAQ

What is Morgan Stanley’s market cap?

Morgan Stanley’s market cap is $306.0B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $193.99, with 1.57B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.7.

What is the Morgan Stanley stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Morgan Stanley is $211.50, +9.0% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Morgan Stanley is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $193.99 is 4.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $202.77. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Morgan Stanley report earnings next?

Morgan Stanley is expected to report on Jan 14, 2027, before the market opens (70 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.93 per share on revenue of $20.26B. Morgan Stanley beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Morgan Stanley’s 52-week high and low?

Morgan Stanley’s 52-week high is $232.25 and its 52-week low is $152.80; it closed at $193.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.5% over the past year.

Is Morgan Stanley stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Morgan Stanley the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.