NYSE: MS

Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Morgan Stanley. Finance sector, investment managers industry. Market cap $319.4B.

$202.52−1.00 (−0.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Morgan Stanley shares close at $202.52, down 0.5%, sitting between the 50-day average of $214.34 and the 200-day average of $192.96. The stock is off 5.5% over the past month and 9.3% over three months, though it remains up 27.7% over six months and 28.7% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 69.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $223.18.

Coverage this week centers on Morgan Stanley's own research output rather than company-specific news about MS itself. Analysts at the firm issued a series of price target adjustments across utilities, trimming targets on CenterPoint Energy to $38.00, Dominion Energy to $66 from $68, and Ameren to $108 from $114, all while maintaining Equalweight ratings. Elsewhere, the firm reiterated a buy rating and $300 target on SpaceX citing AI compute potential, commented on Apple's iPhone demand and supply picture, and disclosed a passive stake amendment reducing its holding in Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust to 0.0%.

Looking ahead, Morgan Stanley reports earnings on 14 October 2026, 24 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter posted EPS of $3.46 against a $2.89 estimate, followed by a 4.1% reaction, with 8 beats in the last 8 quarters and average absolute moves of 3.6%. Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells over the past 90 days. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 0% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching as the earnings date approaches.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $202.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $223.18

Key stats

Market cap
$319.4B
P/E ratio
16.3
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$12.46
Revenue, TTM
$77.83B
Profit margin
25.9%
Dividend yield
2.05%
Beta
1.21
Volume
7.09M avg 4.47M
1-year return
+28.7%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
50-day average
$214.34
200-day average
$192.96
Next earnings
Oct 14
Shares outstanding
1.57B
52-week range
$151.84$232.25

Morgan Stanley swing-trade checklist

Morgan Stanley scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $202.52 sits between the 50-day ($214.34) and 200-day ($192.96) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.5, Accumulation

    Reading 69.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    9.3% below

    Price is 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Oct 14, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    0.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged 0% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Morgan Stanley stock chart and price history

Morgan Stanley closed at $202.52 on Sep 18, 2026, +28.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $151.84 to $232.25.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.5%
3 months
−9.3%
6 months
+27.7%
1 year
+28.7%
The full MS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MS in Gekko

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About Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley is a financial holding company that provides a wide range of financial services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individual clients around the world, including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It is known for its work in capital raising, financial advisory, and wealth management, serving as a link between large institutional needs and individual investor services.

The firm runs its business through three divisions. Institutional Securities handles underwriting, mergers and acquisitions advice, corporate restructuring, real estate and project financing, and sales and trading across equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets, along with lending and research services. Wealth Management serves individual investors and smaller businesses and institutions, offering brokerage, financial planning, workplace stock plans, insurance and annuity products, and various lending and banking services. Investment Management develops equity, fixed income, liquidity, and alternative investment products for institutional and intermediary clients such as pension plans, foundations, endowments, governments, sovereign wealth funds, insurers, and fund sponsors.

Morgan Stanley's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MS.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
morganstanley.com

Morgan Stanley GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Morgan Stanley’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.5, in the Accumulation zone, up 10.7 points over five sessions.

010069.5Accumulation

Up 10.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+4.5%+6.9%+2.0%+18.5%
Accumulation (current zone)111+0.6%+1.2%+4.8%+14.6%
Neutral458+0.8%+1.7%+3.0%+6.9%
Distribution74+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%+5.2%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average MS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MS price, zone by zone.Track MS in Gekko

Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Morgan Stanley trades 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $223.18, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Morgan Stanley shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$223.18

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

9.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MS in Gekko

Morgan Stanley insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Morgan Stanley, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Daniel Milton Newhouse
House, WA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Jul 20
traded Jul 10
Daniel Milton Newhouse
House, WA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Jul 20
traded Jul 9

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Morgan Stanley has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$20.00B, Jun 24, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.20B
As a share of market cap
0.38%
Trailing four quarters
$9.53B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MS.

1added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Morgan Stanley earnings: next date and track record

Morgan Stanley reports on Oct 14, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.4%Oct ’24+5.6%Jan ’25+2.4%Apr ’25−0.5%Jul ’25+3.0%Oct ’25+4.6%Jan ’26+2.2%Apr ’26−4.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Morgan Stanley reported a very strong second quarter 2026, delivering record top-line and bottom-line results driven by broad-based strength across Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Asset Management. Revenue for the quarter exceeded $21 billion (reported $21.3B) and EPS ex-CVA was $3.46, producing year-to-date revenue of $42 billion and EPS of $6.90 with a 27% return on tangible equity. Institutional Securities produced a record quarter (~$11B) driven by equities and investment banking; equities revenue was highlighted at ~$6.3B and investment banking revenues rose meaningfully (equity underwriting, advisory, and record fixed income underwriting). Wealth Management reported a record $148B in organic net new assets, with workplace/IPOs cited as a major source of flows and total client assets across Wealth and Investment Management at $10 trillion. Management emphasized disciplined capital management (significant CET1 accretion over recent quarters), continued investments in technology and AI, and a strategy of integrating advice across the firm to convert workplace flows into advisor-led relationships. Commentary also covered the large opportunity from AI-driven CapEx cycles, a broadening global pipeline (including Asia and India) for investment banking and trading activity, and continued investments in derivatives and other product capabilities. Throughout the call management expressed confidence in execution while noting standard macro, regulatory, and geopolitical risks and the early-stage nature of the AI cycle.
Risks flagged
Management flagged standard forward-looking risks: market, macro and geopolitical uncertainty; regulatory and oversight changes (normalization of regulation); early-stage/uncertain nature of AI-driven investment cycles and potential technology/power bottlenecks; potential volatility in IPO and capital markets activity; and execution/retention risk as workplace flows need to be converted to long-term advisor relationships.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 15, 2026$3.46
est $2.89
+19.7%$21.35B
est $19.67B
+8.5%−4.1%
Apr 15, 2026$3.43
est $3.02
+13.7%$20.58B
est $19.74B
+4.3%+2.2%
Jan 15, 2026$2.68
est $2.40
+11.7%$17.89B
est $17.74B
+0.8%+4.6%
Oct 15, 2025$2.80
est $2.10
+33.3%$17.08B
est $16.69B
+2.4%+3.0%
Jul 16, 2025$2.13
est $1.98
+7.6%$15.60B
est $16.07B
−2.9%−0.5%
Apr 11, 2025$2.60
est $2.21
+17.6%$16.52B
est $16.54B
−0.1%+2.4%
Jan 16, 2025$2.22
est $1.69
+31.4%$15.04B
est $15.03B
+0.1%+5.6%
Oct 16, 2024$1.88
est $1.58
+19.0%$14.34B
est $14.35B
−0.1%+6.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Morgan Stanley stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Morgan Stanley is $236.43, +16.7% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$236.43consensus 12-month target, +16.7% from the last close
Low $195High $262
Buy9
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16BarclaysBuy, maintained$262+29.4%
Sep 15Goldman SachsHold, maintained$239+18.0%
Sep 8Goldman SachsHold, maintained$258+27.4%
Aug 6DBSBuy, maintained$250+23.4%
Aug 5BarclaysBuy, maintained$262+29.4%
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
0.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Morgan Stanley seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Morgan Stanley averaged 0.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.8%2021−13.1%2022−9.2%2023+18.6%2024−0.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days0.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.1%3 of 5

For scale, MS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.

Morgan Stanley market cap and key statistics

Morgan Stanley’s market cap is $319.4B, with a P/E ratio of 16.3 and revenue of $77.83B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$319.4B
P/E ratio
16.3
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$12.46
Gekko Fair Value
$223.18

Trading

Volume
7.09M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.47M
52-week high
$232.25
52-week low
$151.84
Shares outstanding
1.57B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$77.83B
Profit margin
25.9%
Return on equity
18%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+62.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.21
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.4%
Dividend yield
2.05%

Morgan Stanley peers

Morgan Stanley’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UBSUBS−0.2%Accumulation6.1% below
BLKBlackRock+2.2%Accumulation10.3% below
BXBlackstone+0.6%Accumulation9.5% below
KKRKKR+1.3%Accumulation13.2% below
BNBrookfield+1.1%Buying19.9% below
BAMBrookfield Asset Management+1.7%Buying12.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Morgan Stanley stock FAQ

What is Morgan Stanley’s market cap?

Morgan Stanley’s market cap is $319.4B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $202.52, with 1.57B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.3.

What is the Morgan Stanley stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Morgan Stanley is $236.43, +16.7% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Morgan Stanley is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $202.52 is 9.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $223.18. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Morgan Stanley report earnings next?

Morgan Stanley is expected to report on Oct 14, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.13 per share on revenue of $20.36B. Morgan Stanley beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.6% on average across the report.

What is Morgan Stanley’s 52-week high and low?

Morgan Stanley’s 52-week high is $232.25 and its 52-week low is $151.84; it closed at $202.52 on Sep 18, 2026, +28.7% over the past year.

Is Morgan Stanley stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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