NYSE: APO

Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New). Finance sector, investment managers industry. Market cap $72.52B.

$125.91−0.09 (−0.1%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) closes at $125.91, down 0.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $128.65 and 200-day average of $127.71. The GekkoIndex reads 66.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.58. Over the past month the stock is down 5.8%, and over three months down 8.4%, though it remains up 13.1% over six months.

This week's coverage centers on Apollo's financing activity tied to artificial-infrastructure and credit themes. Co-president Scott Kleinman commented on a "higher for longer" rate environment supporting AI infrastructure financing. Separately, Apollo is reportedly in discussions with SoftBank to raise a loan from $5.4 billion to $9 billion tied to OpenAI investments, while the firm also cautioned that credit default swaps on hyperscaler debt point to rising risk. Alongside this, Apollo-managed funds provided a $1.25 billion capital solution supporting the BMG-Concord combination, and Daiwa House agreed to acquire a roughly 30% minority stake in Miller Homes from Apollo funds. Waverly Advisors reduced its APO stake by 78.9% in the second quarter, and elevated put option buying was also reported.

Apollo's next earnings report is due 3 November 2026, before the open, 44 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. In the last reported quarter, EPS of $1.94 beat the $1.88 estimate, with six beats in the last eight quarters and an average absolute reaction of 6.4%. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.3% gain over five years, rising in two of five. Analyst coverage shows 10 buy and 2 hold ratings among 12 firms, with a consensus target of $153.47.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $125.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $138.58

Key stats

Market cap
$72.52B
P/E ratio
44.2
Forward P/E
11.7
EPS, TTM
$2.85
Revenue, TTM
$35.60B
Profit margin
5.3%
Dividend yield
1.72%
Beta
1.51
Volume
5.20M avg 2.34M
1-year return
−9.3%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$128.65
200-day average
$127.71
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
590.5M
52-week range
$99.56$153.29

Apollo Global Management swing-trade checklist

Apollo Global Management scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $125.91 sits between the 50-day ($128.65) and 200-day ($127.71) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.1, Accumulation

    Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    9.1% below

    Price is 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 44 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Apollo Global Management stock chart and price history

Apollo Global Management closed at $125.91 on Sep 18, 2026, −9.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $99.56 to $153.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.8%
3 months
−8.4%
6 months
+13.1%
1 year
−9.3%
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Apollo Global Management GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Apollo Global Management’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010066.1Accumulation

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+1.2%+1.8%+0.6%+12.1%
Accumulation (current zone)193+0.1%+0.8%+1.7%+5.3%
Neutral379+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%−0.9%
Distribution49+1.9%+3.7%+7.1%+11.7%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average APO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the APO price, zone by zone.Track APO in Gekko

Is Apollo Global Management stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Apollo Global Management trades 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.58, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Apollo Global Management shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$138.58

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

9.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open APO in Gekko

Apollo Global Management insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Apollo Global Management, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for APO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every APO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open APO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in APO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for APO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open APO in Gekko

Buybacks

Apollo Global Management has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$97.00M
As a share of market cap
0.13%
Trailing four quarters
$1.31B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold APO.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Apollo Global Management earnings: next date and track record

Apollo Global Management reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−17.4%Aug ’24+17.4%Nov ’24−0.8%Feb ’25−2.8%May ’25+2.7%Aug ’25+7.9%Nov ’25−0.5%Feb ’26−1.9%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Apollo Global Management reported strong Q1 2026 results with record fee-related earnings (FRE) of $728 million (+30% YoY), spread-related earnings (SRE) of $719 million, and adjusted net income of $1.2 billion. The firm highlighted strong origination ($71 billion), robust ACS/transaction fees, growth in AUM toward $1 trillion, and momentum across Asset Management and Athene retirement services. Management emphasized high-quality origination, focus on investment-grade private credit, market-making and daily pricing initiatives to increase transparency, and opportunities from AI, energy transition, infrastructure and global industrial renaissance. Athene's alts portfolio performed well relative to public benchmarks, and Athene remains highly liquid with ~$40 billion in cash/treasuries. The firm reaffirmed its guidance (10% growth for the year in certain metrics and Athene spread guidance of $120-$125 million assuming 11% Altreturn) and noted a dividend increase to an annualized $2.25 per share. Management discussed capital allocation priorities (organic growth, disciplined M&A), share buybacks during market dislocations, and regulatory engagement on CLO capital charges and offshore jurisdictions. Q&A focused on origination durability, private credit transparency/daily pricing, direct lending, Athene balance sheet repositioning, Japan opportunities, and regulatory environment. Overall tone was confident and constructive, with emphasis on origination, transparency, and disciplined capital allocation.
Guidance
Management reiterated 10% growth for the year (presumably FRE growth/dividend policy) and affirmed Athene spread progression guidance with an implied spread-related earnings range of $120 million to $125 million assuming an 11% Altreturn. Management expects Q2 origination to be strong and Athene repositioning to generate incremental management fees (e.g., 20 bps starting point for PIC). They expect prepay headwinds to dissipate over time and maintain the year's FRE targets.
Risks flagged
Management noted several risks: market volatility and liquidity dislocations in fixed income markets, potential regulatory changes (NAIC CLO capital charges, U.K. PRA scrutiny of Bermuda-based reinsurance and offshore jurisdictions like Cayman), prepayment headwinds at Athene, sector-specific risks (enterprise software/AI disruption), competition in retail annuities, and the possibility of spread narrowing as transparency increases which could compress illiquidity premium for those not controlling origination.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 6, 2026$1.94
est $1.88
+3.2%$5.06B
est $5.19B
−2.5%−1.9%
Feb 9, 2026$2.47
est $2.04
+21.1%$9.86B
est $4.77B
+106.7%−0.5%
Nov 4, 2025$2.14
est $1.90
+12.6%$9.82B
est $4.92B
+99.6%+7.9%
Aug 5, 2025$1.92
est $1.84
+4.3%$6.81B
est $4.57B
+49.1%+2.7%
May 2, 2025$1.82
est $1.84
−1.1%$5.55B
est $4.41B
+25.9%−2.8%
Feb 4, 2025$2.22
est $1.92
+15.6%$5.28B
est $962.1M
+449.1%−0.8%
Nov 5, 2024$1.81
est $1.73
+4.6%$7.77B
est $904.3M
+759.5%+17.4%
Aug 1, 2024$1.64
est $1.76
−6.8%$6.02B
est $873.2M
+589.2%−17.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Apollo Global Management stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Apollo Global Management is $153.47, +21.9% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$153.47consensus 12-month target, +21.9% from the last close
Low $126High $172
Buy10
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15TD CowenBuy, maintained$159+26.3%
Sep 15BarclaysBuy, maintained$157+24.7%
Sep 2J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$154+22.3%
Aug 14BarclaysBuy, maintained$157+24.7%
Aug 10Argus ResearchBuy, maintained$160+27.1%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Apollo Global Management seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Apollo Global Management averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+16.9%2021−11.8%2022−3.9%2023+19.4%2024−16.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.0%2 of 5

For scale, APO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Apollo Global Management market cap and key statistics

Apollo Global Management’s market cap is $72.52B, with a P/E ratio of 44.2 and revenue of $35.60B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$72.52B
P/E ratio
44.2
Forward P/E
11.7
EPS, TTM
$2.85
Gekko Fair Value
$138.58

Trading

Volume
5.20M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.34M
52-week high
$153.29
52-week low
$99.56
Shares outstanding
590.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$35.60B
Profit margin
5.3%
Return on equity
11.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+63.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.51
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
Dividend yield
1.72%

Apollo Global Management stock news this week

Coverage of Apollo Global Management this week reads positive: 13 positive, 7 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Apollo Global Management peers

Apollo Global Management’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley+0.2%Accumulation9.3% below
UBSUBS−0.2%Accumulation6.1% below
BLKBlackRock+2.2%Accumulation10.3% below
BXBlackstone+0.6%Accumulation9.5% below
KKRKKR+1.3%Accumulation13.2% below
BNBrookfield+1.1%Buying19.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Apollo Global Management stock FAQ

What is Apollo Global Management’s market cap?

Apollo Global Management’s market cap is $72.52B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $125.91, with 590.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 44.2.

What is the Apollo Global Management stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Apollo Global Management is $153.47, +21.9% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Apollo Global Management stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Apollo Global Management is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $125.91 is 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Apollo Global Management report earnings next?

Apollo Global Management is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.28 per share on revenue of $5.90B. Apollo Global Management beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.4% on average across the report.

What is Apollo Global Management’s 52-week high and low?

Apollo Global Management’s 52-week high is $153.29 and its 52-week low is $99.56; it closed at $125.91 on Sep 18, 2026, −9.3% over the past year.

Is Apollo Global Management stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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