NASDAQ: TPG

TPG (TPG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$43.49−0.90 (−2.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

TPG trades at $43.49, down 2% on the day and part of a broader slide that has left the stock down 19.4% over the past month even as it remains up 11.3% over three months and 11.2% over six. The most recent quarterly call, from 4 August, described Q2 2026 GAAP net income of $93 million and after-tax distributable earnings of $280 million, or $0.69 per share, ahead of the $0.59 estimate. Fee-related revenue grew 27% year over year to $628 million, fee-related earnings rose 43% to $315 million with a 50% margin, and assets under management reached $327 billion, up 25% year over year, with $16 billion raised in the quarter and $26 billion year to date across private equity, credit, and the Jackson Financial insurance partnership.

The close of $43.49 sits between the 50-day average of $48.35 and the 200-day average of $48.25, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 69.9, placing TPG in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $53.19, putting the current price 18.2% below that level.

The next earnings date falls on 3 November, 35 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is noted. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 2.7% gain over the next 20 trading days across four years, rising in two of them. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 10 buy ratings and 2 hold, with a consensus target of $60.44.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

TPG price vs fair value

$53.19$43.49Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $43.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $53.19

TPG quick facts

Market cap
$16.67B
P/E ratio
65.1
Forward P/E
12.7
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Revenue, TTM
$4.64B
Profit margin
5.1%
Dividend yield
4.99%
Beta
1.45
Volume
1.90M avg 2.56M
1-year return
−27.2%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
50-day average
$48.35
200-day average
$48.25
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
160.1M
52-week range
$36.95$70.38

TPG swing-trade checklist

TPG scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $43.49 sits between the 50-day ($48.35) and 200-day ($48.25) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.9, Accumulation

    Reading 69.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.2% below

    Price is 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +2.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.7% over 4 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

TPG stock chart and price history

TPG closed at $43.49 on Sep 28, 2026, −27.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $36.95 to $70.38.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
TPG share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep43.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−19.4%
3 months
+11.3%
6 months
+11.2%
1 year
−27.2%
The full TPG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TPG in Gekko

Follow TPG through every session

Put TPG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About TPG

TPG manages alternative investment vehicles on behalf of clients around the world. Its work centers on running pooled investment structures such as private funds and collateralized loan obligations, and it has built its name around this kind of specialized asset management rather than traditional banking or retail investing.

Beyond managing capital, TPG advises the companies within its portfolios, helping with matters like structuring capital, arranging debt and equity financing, and offering general business guidance. It also supports clients with underwriting and placing securities. The firm puts money to work across several asset types, with notable positions in private equity, real estate, credit, and funds that invest in hedge funds.

TPG was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. It operates as a subsidiary of TPG GP A, LLC, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TPG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
tpg.com

TPG GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

TPG’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.6 points over five sessions.

010069.9Accumulation

Up 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41−3.5%−6.8%−10.7%−6.7%
Accumulation (current zone)200+0.4%+0.9%+1.3%+6.9%
Neutral354+0.5%+1.2%+2.0%+1.3%
Distribution69+0.7%−0.2%+2.4%+3.3%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average TPG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TPG price, zone by zone.Track TPG in Gekko

Is TPG stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

TPG trades 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what TPG shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$53.19

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

18.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TPG in Gekko

TPG insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TPG, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TPG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TPG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TPG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TPG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TPG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TPG in Gekko

Buybacks

TPG has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$209.0M
As a share of market cap
1.25%
Trailing four quarters
$426.8M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TPG.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

TPG earnings: next date and track record

TPG reports on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.7%Nov ’24−2.5%Feb ’25+5.6%May ’25+5.1%Aug ’25−2.8%Nov ’25−1.9%Feb ’26+3.2%May ’26+3.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TPG reported Q2 2026 GAAP net income of $93M and after-tax distributable earnings of $280M ($0.69/share). Fee-related revenue grew 27% YoY to $628M, while fee-related earnings rose 43% YoY to $315M with a 50% FRE margin. AUM reached $327B, up 25% YoY. The firm raised $16B in Q2 and $26B YTD, driven by private equity, credit, and expansion of the Jackson Financial insurance partnership.
Guidance
TPG reaffirmed confidence in raising more than $50B in 2026, with strong H2 pipeline visibility. Real estate platform expects first closes in coming quarters. Management expects continued FRE margin expansion and AUM growth, supported by wealth channel momentum and insurance capital deployment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.69
est $0.59
+16.9%$628.2M
est $596.8M
+5.3%+3.4%
May 1, 2026−$0.05
est $0.64
−107.8%$637.8M
est $608.1M
+4.9%+3.2%
Feb 5, 2026$0.29
est $0.68
−57.4%$628.5M
est $614.4M
+2.3%−1.9%
Nov 4, 2025$0.53
est $0.57
−7.0%$840.0M
est $540.0M
+55.6%−2.8%
Aug 6, 2025$0.69
est $0.45
+53.3%$921.3M
est $487.9M
+88.8%+5.1%
May 7, 2025$0.48
est $0.45
+6.7%$743.3M
est $475.0M
+56.5%+5.6%
Feb 11, 2025$0.62
est $0.52
+19.2%$721.4M
est $467.4M
+54.4%−2.5%
Nov 4, 2024$0.45
est $0.45
0.0%$614.2M
est $461.6M
+33.0%−7.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

TPG stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for TPG is $60.44, +39.0% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$60.44consensus 12-month target, +39.0% from the last close
Low $50High $68
Buy10
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$60+38.0%
Sep 16BarclaysBuy, maintained$64+47.2%
Sep 9TD CowenBuy, maintained$64+47.2%
Aug 7Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Aug 6J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$57+31.1%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

TPG seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, TPG averaged +2.7% across the last 4 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.5%2022−10.4%2023+18.6%2024−2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%3 of 4
Next 10 trading days+1.2%3 of 4
Next 15 trading days−0.9%1 of 4
Next 20 trading days+2.7%2 of 4
Next 30 trading days+14.7%3 of 4

For scale, TPG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.

TPG market cap and key statistics

TPG’s market cap is $16.67B, with a P/E ratio of 65.1 and revenue of $4.64B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$16.67B
P/E ratio
65.1
Forward P/E
12.7
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Gekko Fair Value
$53.19

Trading

Volume
1.90M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.56M
52-week high
$70.38
52-week low
$36.95
Shares outstanding
160.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.64B
Profit margin
5.1%
Return on equity
18.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.45
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
Dividend yield
4.99%

TPG peers

TPG’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley−1.1%Accumulation12.7% below
BLKBlackRock−0.5%Accumulation10.3% below
UBSUBS−0.8%Accumulation9.5% below
BXBlackstone−2.1%Buying16.8% below
KKRKKR−2.2%Accumulation18.1% below
BNBrookfield−1.2%Buying21.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

TPG stock FAQ

What is TPG’s market cap?

TPG’s market cap is $16.67B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.49, with 160.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 65.1.

What is the TPG stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for TPG is $60.44, +39.0% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is TPG stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate TPG is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $43.49 is 18.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $53.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does TPG report earnings next?

TPG is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.70 per share on revenue of $633.1M. TPG beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is TPG’s 52-week high and low?

TPG’s 52-week high is $70.38 and its 52-week low is $36.95; it closed at $43.49 on Sep 28, 2026, −27.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $72.98 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is TPG stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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