Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for OWL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every OWL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OWL in Gekko
NYSE: OWL
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$9.15−0.17 (−1.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryBlue Owl Capital shares have come under pressure this week amid renewed concerns about private-credit risk, with reports citing a junior loan wipeout tied to packaging group Loparex and ongoing legal probes into potential corporate wrongdoing. Separately, commentary has pointed to a 20% discount to book value at Blue Owl Capital Corp., framed against deteriorating loan quality and higher-risk second-lien and PIK positions, while other views note stable credit quality, fading redemption pressures, and rebounding evergreen inflows.
OWL closed at $9.15, down 1.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $10.84 and 200-day average of $11.07, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -23.9% and its one-year return at -47.3%, against a 52-week range of $7.95 to $18.00. The GekkoIndex reads 73.3, placing OWL in the Buying zone, and the price sits 21.3% below the Gekko Fair Value of $11.63.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is set for 29 October 2026, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior print saw EPS of $0.22 match estimates with a 7.9% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window, though one trailblazer holder is on record. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.8% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside analyst coverage showing 7 buy and 4 hold ratings across 11 firms.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Blue Owl Capital price vs fair value
Close $9.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.63
Blue Owl Capital quick facts
- Market cap
- $14.30B
- P/E ratio
- 77.1
- Forward P/E
- 9.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.12
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.99B
- Profit margin
- 2.7%
- Dividend yield
- 9.48%
- Beta
- 1.21
- Volume
- 17.31M avg 19.74M
- 1-year return
- −47.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.9%
- 50-day average
- $10.84
- 200-day average
- $11.07
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 683.9M
Blue Owl Capital swing-trade checklist
Blue Owl Capital scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $9.15 is below the 50-day ($10.84) and 200-day ($11.07) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
73.3, Buying
Reading 73.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
21.3% below
Price is 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 30 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Blue Owl Capital stock chart and price history
Blue Owl Capital closed at $9.15 on Sep 28, 2026, −47.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.95 to $18.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −23.9%
- 3 months
- +7.4%
- 6 months
- +3.5%
- 1 year
- −47.3%
The full OWL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OWL in Gekko
Follow Blue Owl Capital through every session
Put OWL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Blue Owl Capital
Blue Owl Capital operates as an asset manager that draws on a lasting, stable pool of capital to build financial products for a range of clients. Its customer base includes mid-sized companies, prominent managers of alternative assets, and businesses that own or lease commercial property. The firm is recognized for combining private lending, equity backing, and property finance under one roof rather than focusing on a single niche.
Its business breaks down into a few distinct areas. One arm extends private credit to middle-market firms through loans that range from diversified and tech-oriented lending to first lien and opportunistic structures. Another supplies capital to large private fund managers, using tools such as minority equity stakes, debt financing at the general partner level, and investments in professional sports franchises. A third line works with commercial property owners and tenants, arranging sale-leaseback deals commonly built on triple net lease terms. Blue Owl delivers these products mainly through permanent capital structures and private funds meant for longer holding periods.
Blue Owl Capital operates out of New York City. Its common stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker OWL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Investment managers
- Website
- blueowl.com
Blue Owl Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Blue Owl Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.3, in the Buying zone, up 5.7 points over five sessions.
73.3Buying
Up 5.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 48 | +1.7% | −1.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 219 | 0.0% | −0.9% | ||
| Neutral | 357 | −0.6% | −0.6% | ||
| Distribution | 43 | +0.4% | +0.6% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average OWL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OWL price, zone by zone.Track OWL in Gekko
Is Blue Owl Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Blue Owl Capital trades 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.63, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Blue Owl Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$11.63
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
21.3% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OWL in Gekko
Blue Owl Capital insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Blue Owl Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in OWL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for OWL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OWL in Gekko
Buybacks
Blue Owl Capital has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $25.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.17%
- Trailing four quarters
- $124.5M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds OWL.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Blue Owl Capital earnings: next date and track record
Blue Owl Capital reports on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
30 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.23
- Revenue estimate
- $698.7M
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Blue Owl Capital reported Q2 2026 FRE of $0.25/share and DE of $0.22/share, representing 9% DE growth year-over-year. Real assets AUM grew 25% with revenues up 27% annually, now comprising ~30% of total AUM. Alternative credit surpassed $2.7B in its interval fund, outperforming the leveraged loan index by 600+ basis points. GP Strategic Capital raised ~$5.5B over the past year across various structures.
- Guidance
- Management anticipates outsized growth from alternative credit strategies. New data center credit and real estate credit strategies are targeting $1.5B combined, with $1B already raised. A $0.23/share dividend was declared for Q2, payable August 27.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.22 est $0.22 | $753.1M est $693.1M | +7.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.02 est $0.17 | $699.9M est $687.2M | +12.4% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.24 est $0.22 | $701.5M est $711.8M | +3.8% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.22 est $0.22 | $728.0M est $674.7M | −4.8% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.21 est $0.21 | $703.1M est $598.8M | −3.4% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.17 est $0.18 | $683.5M est $622.9M | −0.7% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.21 est $0.21 | $631.4M est $620.2M | −5.6% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.04 est $0.19 | $600.9M est $567.7M | −7.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Blue Owl Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Blue Owl Capital is $12.79, +39.8% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$12.79consensus 12-month target, +39.8% from the last close
Now $9.15Avg $12.79
Low $9.50High $17
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Evercore ISI | $11 | +20.2% |
| Sep 25 | TD Cowen | — | — |
| Sep 15 | Barclays | $10 | +9.3% |
| Aug 27 | Oppenheimer | $17 | +85.8% |
| Aug 10 | Goldman Sachs | $10.50 | +14.8% |
−1.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Blue Owl Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Blue Owl Capital averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, OWL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.9%.
Blue Owl Capital market cap and key statistics
Blue Owl Capital’s market cap is $14.30B, with a P/E ratio of 77.1 and revenue of $2.99B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $14.30B
- P/E ratio
- 77.1
- Forward P/E
- 9.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.12
- Gekko Fair Value
- $11.63
Trading
- Volume
- 17.31M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 19.74M
- 52-week high
- $18.00
- 52-week low
- $7.95
- Shares outstanding
- 683.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.99B
- Profit margin
- 2.7%
- Return on equity
- 5.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −14.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.21
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.9%
- Dividend yield
- 9.48%
Blue Owl Capital stock news this week
4 headlines about Blue Owl Capital from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Blue Owl Capital Corp.: A Speculative Turn Justifies Its 20% Discount To Book ValueSeeking Alpha, Sep 25
- Blue Owl Capital slips as private-credit risk concerns appear to weigh on sharesQuiver Quantitative, Sep 25
- OWL Stock Slumps As Legal Probes And Credit Hit Rattle TradersStocksToTrade, Sep 24
- Blue Owl Capital: The Disconnect I Saw In May Is Now WiderSeeking Alpha, Sep 21
Blue Owl Capital peers
Blue Owl Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSMorgan Stanley | Accumulation | 12.7% below |
| BLKBlackRock | Accumulation | 10.3% below |
| UBSUBS | Accumulation | 9.5% below |
| BXBlackstone | Buying | 16.8% below |
| KKRKKR | Accumulation | 18.1% below |
| BNBrookfield | Buying | 21.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Blue Owl Capital stock FAQ
What is Blue Owl Capital’s market cap?
Blue Owl Capital’s market cap is $14.30B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.15, with 683.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 77.1.
What is the Blue Owl Capital stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Blue Owl Capital is $12.79, +39.8% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Blue Owl Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Blue Owl Capital is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.15 is 21.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.63. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Blue Owl Capital report earnings next?
Blue Owl Capital is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $698.7M. Blue Owl Capital beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.
What is Blue Owl Capital’s 52-week high and low?
Blue Owl Capital’s 52-week high is $18.00 and its 52-week low is $7.95; it closed at $9.15 on Sep 28, 2026, −47.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.73 on Jan 24, 2025.
Is Blue Owl Capital stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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