Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CG in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCarlyle shares have drawn attention this week from brokerage commentary noting an average price target of $58.93 across research firms, alongside a "Hold" consensus, with coverage pointing out that the company recently beat EPS and revenue expectations even as the stock trades near its 52-week low. Separately, Carlyle-backed Syniverse Technologies has engaged Jefferies Financial Group to restructure and extend the maturity of its debt, a liability management exercise concerning its first-lien term loan.
CG closed at $39.52, down 1.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $45.76 and 200-day average of $49.96, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Trailing returns show a 1-month decline of -19.7% and a 1-year decline of -37.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 70.3, placing the stock in the Buying zone, down 4.1 over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $50.66, putting the current price 22% below that level.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 6 November 2026, 38 days away, outside that window. The last report on 4 August 2026 beat estimates, with EPS of $1.07 against a $0.88 estimate and a 1.9% reaction, following a call that highlighted record fundraising and AUM reaching $485 billion. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 6 buy, 5 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $58.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Carlyle price vs fair value
Close $39.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $50.66
Carlyle quick facts
- Market cap
- $14.23B
- P/E ratio
- 41.7
- Forward P/E
- 7.6
- EPS, TTM
- $0.96
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.80B
- Profit margin
- 13%
- Dividend yield
- 3.55%
- Beta
- 1.83
- Volume
- 2.55M avg 3.24M
- 1-year return
- −37.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.8%
- 50-day average
- $45.76
- 200-day average
- $49.96
- Next earnings
- Nov 6 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 356.3M
Carlyle swing-trade checklist
Carlyle scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $39.52 is below the 50-day ($45.76) and 200-day ($49.96) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70.3, Buying
Reading 70.3 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
22.0% below
Price is 22% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Nov 6, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Carlyle stock chart and price history
Carlyle closed at $39.52 on Sep 28, 2026, −37.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.72 to $67.30.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −19.7%
- 3 months
- −2.5%
- 6 months
- −13.5%
- 1 year
- −37.9%
The full CG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CG in Gekko
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About Carlyle
Carlyle operates as an investment firm that builds positions both directly and through fund-of-fund vehicles. Its direct work spans buyouts led by existing management, privatization deals, divestitures and minority equity stakes, while it also commits money to structured credit, distressed situations and smaller or mid-sized businesses. On the venture side, it funds companies from their earliest startup stages through later growth rounds, turnarounds and public-equity placements.
The firm splits its activity into four segments: Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies and Solutions. Through these channels it backs businesses in fields ranging from manufacturing and chemicals to consumer goods, defense, software and semiconductors, healthcare, energy, property, banking and financial services, transport, media, agriculture and gaming. It tends to keep investments for roughly four to six years, sometimes a bit shorter, and often targets companies that are expanding or carrying substantial debt. Its portfolio touches markets across North and South America, Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, the Middle East and parts of Africa.
Carlyle's stock is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CG.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Investment managers
- Website
- carlyle.com
Carlyle GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Carlyle’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.3, in the Buying zone, down 4.1 points over five sessions.
70.3Buying
Down 4.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 36 | +2.8% | +1.5% |
| Accumulation | 234 | −1.0% | +0.1% |
| Neutral | 327 | +0.5% | +0.3% |
| Distribution | 64 | +1.2% | +3.9% |
| Selling | 11 | +1.5% | +11.0% |
Average CG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CG price, zone by zone.Track CG in Gekko
Is Carlyle stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Carlyle trades 22.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.66, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Carlyle shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$50.66
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
22.0% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CG in Gekko
Carlyle insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Carlyle, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in CG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for CG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CG in Gekko
Buybacks
Carlyle has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $2.00B, Feb 26, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $304.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.14%
- Trailing four quarters
- $915.3M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CG.
0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Carlyle earnings: next date and track record
Carlyle reports on Nov 6, 2026, before the open (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 6, 2026
Expected before the open, 38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.06
- Revenue estimate
- $997.7M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Carlyle Group Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted record results across segments driven by strong fundraising, record fee-related earnings and distributable earnings. Management emphasized momentum across Carlyle AlpInvest, Global Credit and Global Private Equity with inflows of $16.8 billion in the quarter and $56 billion over the last 12 months, AUM reaching a record $485 billion, and distributable earnings of $472 million. Management discussed fundraising “super cycle,” new product launches including a defense and industrials platform, anchor commitments for a U.S. buyout fund, growth in wealth channel and insurance solutions, and investments in AI and technology. Finance commentary emphasized record FRE ($358M), high fee-related performance revenues, record capital markets fees, and high inflows. Management reiterated focus on investing in growth while maintaining margins near 47% in 2026 and expecting margins to improve in 2027-28 as fundraising flows through. The Q&A showed confident, positive tone, emphasizing secular and cyclical tailwinds for AlpInvest, capital markets growth as a durable capability, and selective capital deployment. No specific numeric quarterly guidance provided beyond qualitative outlook and historical pace comments.
- Guidance
- Management did not provide explicit quarterly or annual numeric guidance. They provided qualitative forward-looking statements: expect fundraising momentum to accelerate in H2 2026 as flagship funds enter market ("super cycle"); expect comp ratio/margins to be roughly consistent with last year around 47% in 2026 and to tick up in 2027-28 as fundraising flows through; expect continued growth in fee-related performance revenues over time driven by wealth and AlpInvest; expect continued strong realizations and continued momentum in net realized performance revenues in second half; reaffirmed confidence in $200 billion fundraising super cycle target (this seems referenced) and $2 billion buyback capacity discussion. No specific revenue or EPS guidance was issued.
- Risks flagged
- Risks noted included general forward-looking statement caveats: market timing/quarter-to-quarter variability of realizations and transaction flow; competition in insurance/block business; cyclicality in some credit/wealth channels; timing issues for fundraising closings; macro/geopolitical risks affecting defense spending and markets. Other risks referenced were customary investor warnings about forward-looking statements and uncertainties per Form 10-K.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.07 est $0.88 | $1.12B est $923.5M | +1.9% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.89 est $0.92 | $750.9M est $1.01B | −4.4% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | $1.01 est $0.99 | $1.09B est $1.05B | +6.9% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $0.96 est $1.02 | $780.5M est $989.9M | −8.4% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.91 est $0.89 | $1.57B est $904.7M | +4.1% |
| May 9, 2025 | $1.14 est $0.95 | $807.8M est $992.4M | +10.6% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $0.92 est $0.95 | $927.0M est $961.6M | −3.0% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.95 est $0.89 | $1.83B est $909.2M | +5.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Carlyle stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Carlyle is $58.00, +46.8% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$58.00consensus 12-month target, +46.8% from the last close
Now $39.52Avg $58.00
Low $50High $73
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Piper Sandler | $54 | +36.6% |
| Aug 7 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Aug 6 | UBS | $70 | +77.1% |
| Aug 6 | Deutsche Bank | $60 | +51.8% |
| Aug 6 | TD Cowen | $54 | +36.6% |
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Carlyle seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Carlyle averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, CG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.
Carlyle market cap and key statistics
Carlyle’s market cap is $14.23B, with a P/E ratio of 41.7 and revenue of $2.80B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $14.23B
- P/E ratio
- 41.7
- Forward P/E
- 7.6
- EPS, TTM
- $0.96
- Gekko Fair Value
- $50.66
Trading
- Volume
- 2.55M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.24M
- 52-week high
- $67.30
- 52-week low
- $38.72
- Shares outstanding
- 356.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.80B
- Profit margin
- 13%
- Return on equity
- 7.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −57.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.83
- Typical daily move
- ±3.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.8%
- Dividend yield
- 3.55%
Carlyle stock news this week
2 headlines about Carlyle from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
Carlyle peers
Carlyle’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSMorgan Stanley | Accumulation | 12.7% below |
| BLKBlackRock | Accumulation | 10.3% below |
| UBSUBS | Accumulation | 9.5% below |
| BXBlackstone | Buying | 16.8% below |
| KKRKKR | Accumulation | 18.1% below |
| BNBrookfield | Buying | 21.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Carlyle stock FAQ
What is Carlyle’s market cap?
Carlyle’s market cap is $14.23B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $39.52, with 356.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 41.7.
What is the Carlyle stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Carlyle is $58.00, +46.8% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Carlyle stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Carlyle is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $39.52 is 22.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $50.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Carlyle report earnings next?
Carlyle is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026, before the market opens (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $997.7M. Carlyle beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.
What is Carlyle’s 52-week high and low?
Carlyle’s 52-week high is $67.30 and its 52-week low is $38.72; it closed at $39.52 on Sep 28, 2026, −37.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $69.85 on Sep 19, 2025.
Is Carlyle stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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