NYSE: SF

Stifel Financial (SF) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$70.41+0.06 (+0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Stifel reported its August 2026 operating data, giving investors updated monthly performance metrics without a broader strategic announcement attached. Separately, a filing showed Tidal Investments LLC trimming its stake in the company during the second quarter, though this reflects background portfolio activity rather than a company-specific development.

SF closed at $70.41, little changed on the day, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $80.08 and its 200-day average of $88.85, and the 50-day below the 200-day. Shorter-term returns show a 1-month decline of 12.9% against a 3-month gain of 3.6%, while the 1-year return stands at -37.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 75, placing the stock in the Buying zone, and the current price sits 15.9% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $83.73.

Stifel's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 October 2026, 29 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congressional activity shows 2 buys and 0 sales. Seasonality data covering 5 years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaging a 3.6% gain, with positive results in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage includes 4 firms, with 1 buy and 3 hold ratings, and a consensus target of $89.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Stifel Financial price vs fair value

$83.73$70.41Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $70.41200-day averageGekko Fair Value $83.73

Stifel Financial quick facts

Market cap
$10.67B
P/E ratio
12.9
Forward P/E
12
EPS, TTM
$5.44
Revenue, TTM
$5.83B
Profit margin
16.3%
Dividend yield
1.79%
Beta
0.98
Volume
2.16M avg 1.25M
1-year return
−37.1%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$80.08
200-day average
$88.85
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
151.0M
52-week range
$67.81$134.74

Stifel Financial swing-trade checklist

Stifel Financial scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $70.41 is below the 50-day ($80.08) and 200-day ($88.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    75, Buying

    Reading 75 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.9% below

    Price is 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Stifel Financial stock chart and price history

Stifel Financial closed at $70.41 on Sep 28, 2026, −37.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $67.81 to $134.74.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Stifel Financial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep70.41

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.9%
3 months
+3.6%
6 months
−0.7%
1 year
−37.1%
The full SF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SF in Gekko

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About Stifel Financial

Stifel Financial sits atop Stifel, Nicolaus & Company as its holding entity, delivering wealth management and investment banking work to everyday investors, businesses, municipalities and other institutions spread across the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and further abroad. It is widely recognized for pairing retail brokerage with advisory services that guide clients through financial planning, trading equities, mutual funds, fixed income holdings and insurance products.

The business is divided into three areas: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other. On the institutional side, it handles equity and fixed income trading, market research and municipal finance work, while its banking arm structures mergers, acquisitions, public share offerings and private placements. It further takes part in underwriting corporate and public finance deals and rounds out its services with personal and commercial lending plus deposit account offerings for banking customers.

Stifel Financial dates back to 1890 and runs its main office out of Saint Louis, Missouri. Investors can find its stock listed on the NYSE under the ticker SF.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Investment managers
Website
stifel.com

Stifel Financial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Stifel Financial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 75, in the Buying zone, up 4.9 points over five sessions.

010075Buying

Up 4.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)41+1.0%+2.2%+3.4%+5.2%
Accumulation173−0.5%−0.5%−0.5%+3.9%
Neutral384+0.3%+0.2%+0.5%+0.8%
Distribution68+0.8%+2.3%+4.2%+4.3%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average SF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SF price, zone by zone.Track SF in Gekko

Is Stifel Financial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Stifel Financial trades 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $83.73, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Stifel Financial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$83.73

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

15.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SF in Gekko

Stifel Financial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Stifel Financial, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SF in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SF in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 9

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Stifel Financial has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$172.1M
As a share of market cap
1.61%
Trailing four quarters
$337.3M

From company filings.

Stifel Financial earnings: next date and track record

Stifel Financial reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away).

Stifel Financial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Stifel Financial is $89.00, +26.4% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$89.00consensus 12-month target, +26.4% from the last close
Low $84High $90
Buy1
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25TD CowenHold, maintained$84+19.3%
Aug 28TD CowenHold, maintained$84+19.3%
Jul 23UBSBuy, maintained$90+27.8%
Jul 23J.P. MorganHold, maintained$86+22.1%
Jul 22Goldman SachsHold, maintained$87+23.6%
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Stifel Financial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Stifel Financial averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.3%2021−0.9%2022−3.1%2023+12.2%2024+2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.0%4 of 5

For scale, SF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Stifel Financial market cap and key statistics

Stifel Financial’s market cap is $10.67B, with a P/E ratio of 12.9 and revenue of $5.83B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$10.67B
P/E ratio
12.9
Forward P/E
12
EPS, TTM
$5.44
Gekko Fair Value
$83.73

Trading

Volume
2.16M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.25M
52-week high
$134.74
52-week low
$67.81
Shares outstanding
151.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.83B
Profit margin
16.3%
Return on equity
16.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.98
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
1.79%

Stifel Financial stock news this week

2 headlines about Stifel Financial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Stifel Financial peers

Stifel Financial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSMorgan Stanley−1.1%Accumulation12.7% below
BLKBlackRock−0.5%Accumulation10.3% below
UBSUBS−0.8%Accumulation9.5% below
BXBlackstone−2.1%Buying16.8% below
KKRKKR−2.2%Accumulation18.1% below
BNBrookfield−1.2%Buying21.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Stifel Financial stock FAQ

What is Stifel Financial’s market cap?

Stifel Financial’s market cap is $10.67B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $70.41, with 151.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.9.

What is the Stifel Financial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Stifel Financial is $89.00, +26.4% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Stifel Financial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Stifel Financial is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $70.41 is 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $83.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Stifel Financial report earnings next?

Stifel Financial is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.55 per share on revenue of $1.53B.

What is Stifel Financial’s 52-week high and low?

Stifel Financial’s 52-week high is $134.74 and its 52-week low is $67.81; it closed at $70.41 on Sep 28, 2026, −37.1% over the past year.

Is Stifel Financial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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