NASDAQ: FCFS

FirstCash (FCFS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$216.95−0.50 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

FirstCash outlines its 2026 outlook this week, highlighting continued scaling of its global pawn network alongside a $150 million buyback program, while noting that regulatory and litigation risks in consumer lending remain a persistent constraint on valuation. Separate coverage reviewed the stock's longer-term performance, noting that a $100 investment five years ago would now be worth $244.16, reflecting an annualized return of 19.9%.

FCFS closed at $216.95, down 0.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $215.00 and 200-day average of $201.38, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 58.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 5.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $228.70. Over the past year the stock has returned 40.3%, though the past month shows a decline of 3.2%.

FirstCash next reports earnings on 22 October 2026, 23 days away, which falls within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last reaction to results was a 6.6% move, following eight consecutive EPS beats. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.7% gain over the past 5 years, positive in 3 of them. Three analysts currently rate the stock a buy, with a consensus target of $249.25.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

FirstCash price vs fair value

$228.70$216.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $216.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $228.70

FirstCash quick facts

Market cap
$9.41B
P/E ratio
24.8
Forward P/E
17.2
EPS, TTM
$8.78
Revenue, TTM
$4.12B
Profit margin
9.4%
Dividend yield
0.78%
Beta
0.53
Volume
309,649 avg 386,919
1-year return
+40.3%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
50-day average
$215.00
200-day average
$201.38
Next earnings
Oct 22
Shares outstanding
43.37M
52-week range
$146.08$238.93

FirstCash swing-trade checklist

FirstCash scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $216.95 is above the 50-day ($215.00) and 200-day ($201.38) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.9, Neutral

    Reading 58.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.1% below

    Price is 5.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

FirstCash stock chart and price history

FirstCash closed at $216.95 on Sep 28, 2026, +40.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $146.08 to $238.93.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
FirstCash share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$125$150$175$200$225NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep216.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.2%
3 months
+0.8%
6 months
+13.7%
1 year
+40.3%
The full FCFS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FCFS in Gekko

Follow FirstCash through every session

Put FCFS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About FirstCash

FirstCash operates a large chain of retail pawn shops spread across the United States, Mexico, and parts of Latin America, including Guatemala, El Salvador, and Colombia. These outlets offer short-term loans secured by personal items such as jewelry, electronics, tools, appliances, sporting equipment, and musical instruments. The stores are also known for reselling merchandise that customers either forfeited on unpaid loans or sold outright for cash.

Beyond the lending and resale side of the business, FirstCash refines and processes scrap jewelry and deals in gold, silver, and diamonds on international commodity markets. Its customer base consists mainly of individuals seeking quick access to cash through collateralized loans or looking to buy secondhand goods at its shops.

FirstCash was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker FCFS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Finance/Rental/Leasing
Website
firstcash.com

FirstCash GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

FirstCash’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.9, in the Neutral zone, down 1.1 points over five sessions.

010058.9Neutral

Down 1.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+2.3%+4.2%+7.1%+12.0%
Accumulation146+0.8%+0.5%+1.2%+3.6%
Neutral (current zone)455+0.5%+1.3%+2.5%+5.7%
Distribution43−0.9%−1.1%−0.1%+4.6%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average FCFS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FCFS price, zone by zone.Track FCFS in Gekko

Is FirstCash stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

FirstCash trades 5.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $228.70, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what FirstCash shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$228.70

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

5.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FCFS in Gekko

FirstCash insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FirstCash, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FCFS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FCFS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FCFS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FCFS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FCFS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FCFS in Gekko

Buybacks

FirstCash has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$150.0M, Jul 23, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$66.94M
As a share of market cap
0.71%
Trailing four quarters
$172.3M

From company filings.

FirstCash earnings: next date and track record

FirstCash reports on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.2%Oct ’24−2.5%Jan ’25+9.3%Apr ’25−8.3%Jul ’25+7.0%Oct ’25+5.8%Feb ’26+6.5%Apr ’26−6.6%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$2.50
est $2.41
+3.7%$1.07B
est $1.03B
+4.3%−6.6%
Apr 23, 2026$2.69
est $2.39
+12.6%$1.05B
est $1.00B
+4.8%+6.5%
Feb 5, 2026$2.64
est $2.52
+4.8%$1.06B
est $1.02B
+3.5%+5.8%
Oct 30, 2025$2.26
est $1.94
+16.5%$935.6M
est $861.0M
+8.7%+7.0%
Jul 24, 2025$1.79
est $1.66
+7.8%$830.6M
est $820.4M
+1.2%−8.3%
Apr 24, 2025$2.07
est $1.74
+19.0%$836.4M
est $835.7M
+0.1%+9.3%
Jan 30, 2025$2.12
est $2.01
+5.5%$883.8M
est $899.8M
−1.8%−2.5%
Oct 24, 2024$1.67
est $1.62
+3.1%$837.3M
est $843.9M
−0.8%−4.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

FirstCash stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for FirstCash is $249.25, +14.9% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$249.25consensus 12-month target, +14.9% from the last close
Low $240High $255
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 10Loop Capital MarketsBuy, upgraded$255+17.5%
Jul 24TD CowenBuy, reiterated$240+10.6%
Jul 22Canaccord GenuityBuy, maintained$252+16.2%
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

FirstCash seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, FirstCash averaged +5.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.2%2021+24.8%2022+6.7%2023−7.7%2024−2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.3%3 of 5

For scale, FCFS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.

FirstCash market cap and key statistics

FirstCash’s market cap is $9.41B, with a P/E ratio of 24.8 and revenue of $4.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.41B
P/E ratio
24.8
Forward P/E
17.2
EPS, TTM
$8.78
Gekko Fair Value
$228.70

Trading

Volume
309,649
Avg volume, 20 days
386,919
52-week high
$238.93
52-week low
$146.08
Shares outstanding
43.37M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.12B
Profit margin
9.4%
Return on equity
17.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+58.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.53
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
Dividend yield
0.78%

FirstCash stock news this week

3 headlines about FirstCash from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

FirstCash peers

FirstCash’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VVisa+0.3%Neutral5.4% below
MAMastercard+0.4%Neutral6.5% below
AXPAmerican Express−0.4%Accumulation12.9% below
COFCapital One Financial−1.4%Accumulation14.8% below
URIUnited Rentals+0.5%Neutral9.0% below
RKTRocket Companies−1.8%Accumulation23.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

FirstCash stock FAQ

What is FirstCash’s market cap?

FirstCash’s market cap is $9.41B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $216.95, with 43.37M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.8.

What is the FirstCash stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for FirstCash is $249.25, +14.9% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is FirstCash stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate FirstCash is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $216.95 is 5.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $228.70. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does FirstCash report earnings next?

FirstCash is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.71 per share on revenue of $1.08B. FirstCash beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is FirstCash’s 52-week high and low?

FirstCash’s 52-week high is $238.93 and its 52-week low is $146.08; it closed at $216.95 on Sep 28, 2026, +40.3% over the past year.

Is FirstCash stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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