Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for VSEC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every VSEC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VSEC in Gekko
NASDAQ: VSEC
VSE (VSEC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$174.65−6.12 (−3.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's commentary on VSE centers on the company's long-term performance and current valuation debate. One piece highlighted that a $1,000 investment five years ago would now be worth $3,724.03, reflecting the aviation aftermarket parts distributor's historical run. Separately, valuation coverage flagged VSE as significantly overvalued, citing GuruFocus's GF Value near $135.24 against a trading price around $180.14 at the time, even as the company carried a GF Score of 82/100 driven by growth and momentum.
VSE closes at $174.65, down 3.4%, with the stock sitting below both its 50-day average of $204.71 and its 200-day average of $198.67. Shorter-term returns show a 1-month decline of 21% and a 3-month decline of 22.1%, while the 6-month return remains positive at 2.2% and the 1-year return stands at 8.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 65.7, placing VSE in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 3.9 points over five days. The current price sits 17.8% below the Gekko Fair Value of $212.41.
VSE's next earnings date falls on 26 October 2026, 27 days away, landing inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window and following a prior quarter where actual EPS of $1.16 beat the estimate of $0.89 with a 3.4% reaction. Analyst consensus among 10 firms shows 8 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $270. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days averaged a 12.6% return over 5 years, positive in 5 of those years.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
VSE price vs fair value
Close $174.65200-day averageGekko Fair Value $212.41
VSE quick facts
- Market cap
- $4.90B
- P/E ratio
- 57.9
- Forward P/E
- 22.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.12
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.36B
- Profit margin
- 5.5%
- Dividend yield
- 0.22%
- Beta
- 1.24
- Volume
- 226,520 avg 378,540
- 1-year return
- +8.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.5%
- 50-day average
- $204.71
- 200-day average
- $198.67
- Next earnings
- Oct 26
- Shares outstanding
- 28.07M
VSE swing-trade checklist
VSE scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $174.65 sits between the 50-day ($204.71) and 200-day ($198.67) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.7, Accumulation
Reading 65.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
17.8% below
Price is 17.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 27 days
Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+12.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +12.6% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
VSE stock chart and price history
VSE closed at $174.65 on Sep 28, 2026, +8.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $154.67 to $247.85.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −21.0%
- 3 months
- −22.1%
- 6 months
- +2.2%
- 1 year
- +8.4%
The full VSEC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VSEC in Gekko
Follow VSE through every session
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About VSE
VSE supplies aftermarket parts and provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul work for aircraft and related air transportation equipment. Its work spans both commercial and government markets, and it is recognized for combining parts distribution with hands-on repair and overhaul capability rather than offering just one or the other.
The company works with a wide range of aviation customers around the world, including commercial and regional airlines, air cargo carriers, MRO integrators and providers, aircraft manufacturers, and owners of corporate and private planes, as well as fixed-base operators. This mix of clients spans both passenger and cargo operations, along with the broader network of businesses that keep aircraft flying and maintained.
VSE was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Miramar, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker VSEC.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Industrial services
- Industry
- Engineering & construction
- Website
- vsecorp.com
VSE GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
VSE’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.
65.7Accumulation
Down 3.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 18 | +3.5% | +11.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 149 | +3.1% | +12.1% | ||
| Neutral | 448 | +0.4% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 56 | −0.1% | +1.7% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average VSEC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VSEC price, zone by zone.Track VSEC in Gekko
Is VSE stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
VSE trades 17.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $212.41, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what VSE shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$212.41
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
17.8% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VSEC in Gekko
VSE insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for VSE, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in VSEC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for VSEC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VSEC in Gekko
Buybacks
VSE has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
- $829K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.02%
From company filings.
VSE earnings: next date and track record
VSE reports on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 26, 2026
27 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.68
- Revenue estimate
- $509.9M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 26, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- VSE Corporation surpassed $1 billion in annual revenue for the first time in 2025, completing its transformation to a pure-play aviation aftermarket company with record revenue and profitability. The company announced acquisition of Precision Aviation Group (PAG) for ~$2.025 billion, which generated ~$615 million in 2025 adjusted revenue with 20%+ EBITDA margins. New organic awards include exclusive PT6 engine fuel pump rights and a life-of-program APU components distribution agreement covering 2,500+ parts.
- Guidance
- Combined VSE-PAG platform targets adjusted EBITDA margins above 20% over several years post-integration, with Phase 1 synergies exceeding $15 million annualized. A new APU distribution program requires ~$45 million initial inventory investment, impacting 2026 free cash flow.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | $1.16 est $0.89 | $301.2M est $289.6M | +3.4% |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $0.99 est $0.84 | $282.9M est $283.3M | −0.1% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.97 est $0.69 | $272.1M est $276.5M | +10.4% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.78 est $0.55 | $256.0M est $246.8M | +8.7% |
| Mar 4, 2025 | $0.90 est $0.89 | — | +4.2% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.71 est $0.60 | $273.6M est $281.9M | +13.1% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | $0.64 est $0.65 | $266.0M est $256.5M | −3.3% |
| May 8, 2024 | $0.87 est $0.72 | — | −4.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
VSE stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for VSE is $270.00, +54.6% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$270.00consensus 12-month target, +54.6% from the last close
Now $174.65Avg $270.00
Low $245High $290
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | William Blair | — | — |
| Sep 14 | Guggenheim | — | — |
| Sep 1 | William Blair | — | — |
| Sep 1 | Jefferies | $275 | +57.5% |
| Aug 13 | Citi | $280 | +60.3% |
+12.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+12.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
VSE seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, VSE averaged +12.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +5.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +10.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +12.6% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +27.6% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, VSEC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.
VSE market cap and key statistics
VSE’s market cap is $4.90B, with a P/E ratio of 57.9 and revenue of $1.36B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $4.90B
- P/E ratio
- 57.9
- Forward P/E
- 22.5
- EPS, TTM
- $3.12
- Gekko Fair Value
- $212.41
Trading
- Volume
- 226,520
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 378,540
- 52-week high
- $247.85
- 52-week low
- $154.67
- Shares outstanding
- 28.07M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.36B
- Profit margin
- 5.5%
- Return on equity
- 4.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +488.4%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.24
- Typical daily move
- ±4.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.5%
- Dividend yield
- 0.22%
VSE stock news this week
Coverage of VSE this week reads positive: 2 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- If You Invested $1000 In VSE Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much TodayBenzinga, Sep 25
- VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 23
- Is VSE Corp (VSEC) Overvalued After 3.0% Rally? GF Value Says OvervaluedGuruFocus, Sep 22
VSE peers
VSE’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| PWRQuanta Services | Neutral | 6.5% above |
| FIXComfort Systems USA | Neutral | 5.6% above |
| FERFerrovial | Accumulation | 20.0% below |
| EMEEMCOR | Neutral | 5.7% above |
| OTISOtis Worldwide | Accumulation | 16.5% below |
| APGAPi | Neutral | 1.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
VSE stock FAQ
What is VSE’s market cap?
VSE’s market cap is $4.90B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $174.65, with 28.07M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 57.9.
What is the VSE stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for VSE is $270.00, +54.6% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is VSE stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate VSE is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $174.65 is 17.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $212.41. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does VSE report earnings next?
VSE is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.68 per share on revenue of $509.9M. VSE beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.
What is VSE’s 52-week high and low?
VSE’s 52-week high is $247.85 and its 52-week low is $154.67; it closed at $174.65 on Sep 28, 2026, +8.4% over the past year.
Is VSE stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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