NYSE: APG

APi (APG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$38.35−0.11 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on APi's expansion in electronic security, with the acquisition of Evergreen Fire and Security for $55 million, expected to contribute $55 million in annual revenue within the North American Safety business. Valuation commentary also circulated, with one narrative citing a fair value of $53.20 and another highlighting cash flow strength following a 174.3% five-year return. A filing showed Engineers Gate Manager LP reducing its stake in APi Group during the second quarter.

APi shares closed at $38.35, down 0.3%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $39.92 and the 200-day average of $41.88, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The stock's one-month return stands at -7% and its three-month return at -6.5%, though the one-year return remains positive at 13.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 58.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, while the price sits 1.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.90.

Looking ahead, APi's next earnings report is set for 29 October, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. In the past 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal, with put premium of $560,784 and no call premium noted. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days averaged a 3.7% return over 5 years, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 9 firms is unanimously rated buy, with a consensus target of $52.36.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

APi price vs fair value

$38.35$37.90Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $38.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.90

APi quick facts

Market cap
$16.57B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
17.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.61
Revenue, TTM
$8.44B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.60
Volume
2.60M avg 3.71M
1-year return
+13.2%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$39.92
200-day average
$41.88
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
432.2M
52-week range
$33.52$49.99

APi swing-trade checklist

APi scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $38.35 is below the 50-day ($39.92) and 200-day ($41.88) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.5, Neutral

    Reading 58.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.2% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.2% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

APi stock chart and price history

APi closed at $38.35 on Sep 28, 2026, +13.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.52 to $49.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
APi share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$30$35$40$45$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep38.35

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.0%
3 months
−6.5%
6 months
−3.9%
1 year
+13.2%
The full APG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open APG in Gekko

Follow APi through every session

Put APG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About APi

APi provides safety, specialty infrastructure, and industrial services to organizations across North America, Europe, Australia, and the Asia-Pacific region. It is best known for its work in fire protection, HVAC, and entry systems, covering everything from design and installation through inspection, monitoring, and maintenance of these systems.

The company organizes its work into three areas. One handles integrated safety and occupancy systems for buildings. Another maintains and upgrades underground infrastructure such as electric, gas, water, sewer, and telecommunications networks, along with specialized industrial facilities, through engineering, fabrication, installation, and modernization work. A third focuses on the energy sector, building pipelines, access roads, and related facilities while providing integrity management to keep that infrastructure running reliably. Customers span commercial, industrial, and manufacturing businesses, distribution centers, schools and hospitals, telecom and utility companies, tech firms, entertainment venues, retailers, financial institutions, and government bodies.

APi traces back to 1926 and took on its present name in October 2019, having previously operated as J2 Acquisition Limited. It is headquartered in New Brighton, Minnesota, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker APG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
apigroupcorp.com

APi GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

APi’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.5, in the Neutral zone, down 8.2 points over five sessions.

010058.5Neutral

Down 8.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying9Too few readings yet
Accumulation208+0.5%+1.5%+3.2%+6.5%
Neutral (current zone)400+0.5%+0.7%+1.1%+3.5%
Distribution53+0.2%+0.9%+2.9%+7.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average APG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the APG price, zone by zone.Track APG in Gekko

Is APi stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

APi trades 1.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.90, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what APi shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.90

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

1.2% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open APG in Gekko

APi insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for APi, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for APG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every APG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open APG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 11
traded Aug 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

APi has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$29.00M
As a share of market cap
0.17%
Trailing four quarters
$143.0M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 2, $561K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold APG.

1added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

APi earnings: next date and track record

APi reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.4%Oct ’24−3.6%Feb ’25+11.9%May ’25+1.9%Jul ’25+6.8%Oct ’25+0.3%Feb ’26−5.6%Apr ’26+3.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
APi Group reported Q2 2026 net revenue growth of 13% with 10% organic growth across both segments. North American Safety grew high single digits organically, while Specialty Services surged 22% organically with 60bps margin expansion. Record backlog surpassed $5 billion for the first time. Data centers, semiconductors, and advanced manufacturing drove broad-based demand.
Guidance
International Safety expected to return to growth through year-end with improving commercial indicators. Management expressed confidence in continued pipeline strength and backlog conversion. Data center infrastructure build-out positioned to generate long-term recurring high-margin service revenue.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.44
est $0.44
0.0%$2.25B
est $2.20B
+2.2%+3.2%
Apr 30, 2026$0.32
est $0.30
+5.3%$1.98B
est $1.92B
+3.1%−5.6%
Feb 25, 2026$0.44
est $0.41
+7.2%$2.12B
est $2.09B
+1.2%+0.3%
Oct 30, 2025$0.41
est $0.39
+5.1%$2.09B
est $2.09B
−0.4%+6.8%
Jul 31, 2025$0.39
est $0.37
+5.4%$1.99B
est $1.99B
+0.2%+1.9%
May 1, 2025$0.25
est $0.24
+4.2%$1.72B
est $1.86B
−7.4%+11.9%
Feb 26, 2025$0.51
est $0.50
+2.6%$1.86B
est $1.84B
+1.0%−3.6%
Oct 31, 2024$0.51
est $0.51
0.0%$1.83B
est $1.84B
−0.9%+6.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

APi stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for APi is $52.36, +36.5% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$52.36consensus 12-month target, +36.5% from the last close
Low $47High $54
Buy9
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 17Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 14Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$53+38.2%
Sep 4William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$50+30.4%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

APi seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, APi averaged +3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.5%2021+18.9%2022−1.9%2023−0.5%2024+1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+15.8%5 of 5

For scale, APG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

APi market cap and key statistics

APi’s market cap is $16.57B and revenue of $8.44B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$16.57B
Forward P/E
17.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.61
Gekko Fair Value
$37.90

Trading

Volume
2.60M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.71M
52-week high
$49.99
52-week low
$33.52
Shares outstanding
432.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$8.44B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
10.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+25.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.60
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%

APi stock news this week

Coverage of APi this week reads positive: 5 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

APi peers

APi’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−0.1%Neutral6.5% above
FIXComfort Systems USA+0.2%Neutral5.6% above
FERFerrovial+0.8%Accumulation20.0% below
EMEEMCOR+0.6%Neutral5.7% above
OTISOtis Worldwide+0.8%Accumulation16.5% below
MTZMasTec−4.2%Accumulation23.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

APi stock FAQ

What is APi’s market cap?

APi’s market cap is $16.57B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $38.35, with 432.2M shares outstanding.

What is the APi stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for APi is $52.36, +36.5% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is APi stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate APi is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $38.35 is 1.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.90. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does APi report earnings next?

APi is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $2.40B. APi beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5% on average across the report.

What is APi’s 52-week high and low?

APi’s 52-week high is $49.99 and its 52-week low is $33.52; it closed at $38.35 on Sep 28, 2026, +13.2% over the past year.

Is APi stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (gekkoindex, fair value and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in APi?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in APi over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $561K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 2, 2026 with $561K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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