NYSE: FIX

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Comfort Systems USA, Inc. Industrial services sector, engineering & construction industry. Market cap $58.12B.

$1,651.37+77.41 (+4.9%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) closes at $1651.37, up 4.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $1674.60 and 200-day average of $1522.28. The GekkoIndex reads 59.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 4.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $1581.47. Over the past year the stock has returned 116.5%, though the three-month return is -16.1% and the one-month return is -2.6%, against a 52-week range of $757.00 to $2073.99.

This week's coverage centers on data center-driven demand and analyst confidence. UBS reiterated a Buy rating with a $2,225.00 price target, citing datacenter strength and the company's pursuit of modular platform customers. Other coverage highlights the company's Service business positioning for maintenance demand tied to new data center construction, along with its Modular business expansion aimed at capturing large-scale technology infrastructure projects, paired with customer commitments intended to limit speculative investment risk. Broader commentary also frames the stock as a growth name amid strong demand in building and mechanical services.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 22 October 2026, 32 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 23 July 2026 showed EPS of $12.53 against a $10.45 estimate, with an 8-for-8 beat record over the last eight quarters, though the reaction was -3.2%, with an average absolute reaction of 11.7% historically. Seasonality from this calendar point has averaged +5.4% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 8 buy and 1 hold ratings across 9 firms, with a consensus target of $2,197 implying 33% upside.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $1,651.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,581.47

Key stats

Market cap
$58.12B
P/E ratio
39.1
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$40.29
Revenue, TTM
$11.23B
Profit margin
12.8%
Dividend yield
0.16%
Beta
1.68
Volume
827,796 avg 355,202
1-year return
+116.5%
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$1,674.60
200-day average
$1,522.28
Next earnings
Oct 22
Shares outstanding
35.19M
52-week range
$757.00$2,073.99

Comfort Systems USA swing-trade checklist

Comfort Systems USA scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $1651.37 sits between the 50-day ($1674.60) and 200-day ($1522.28) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.4, Neutral

    Reading 59.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.4% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.4% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 32 days

    Next report Oct 22, 2026, 32 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Comfort Systems USA stock chart and price history

Comfort Systems USA closed at $1,651.37 on Sep 18, 2026, +116.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $757.00 to $2,073.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.6%
3 months
−16.1%
6 months
+14.3%
1 year
+116.5%
The full FIX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FIX in Gekko

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About Comfort Systems USA

Comfort Systems USA works on the mechanical and electrical systems that keep buildings running, taking on jobs that range from putting in new equipment to fixing, upgrading and swapping out what is already there. Its scope covers heating and cooling equipment, plumbing lines, wiring, piping, control systems, fire protection, and components built off-site before installation. The company has built a name around handling this kind of work across the full life of a building, not just at the construction stage.

It runs through two divisions, one focused on mechanical work and the other on electrical work, spanning both ground-up construction and the upkeep of buildings already in use. Services include planning, engineering and integrating these systems into new properties and getting them operational, as well as expanding, watching over and repairing them once a building is occupied. It also offers remote tracking of factors such as electricity consumption, temperature, air pressure, humidity and airflow within a building. Its client base includes those who own, develop, build, design or manage commercial, industrial and institutional properties.

The company dates back to 1917 and runs its operations from Houston, Texas. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker FIX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
comfortsystemsusa.com

Comfort Systems USA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Comfort Systems USA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.4, in the Neutral zone, down 0.2 points over five sessions.

010059.4Neutral

Down 0.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying5Too few readings yet
Accumulation120+2.6%+3.9%+5.1%+17.4%
Neutral (current zone)434+1.9%+3.8%+8.0%+19.3%
Distribution92+0.7%+2.6%+6.7%+15.4%
Selling11+0.2%+4.4%+10.1%+35.8%

Average FIX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FIX price, zone by zone.Track FIX in Gekko

Is Comfort Systems USA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Comfort Systems USA trades 4.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,581.47, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Comfort Systems USA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$1,581.47

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

4.4% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FIX in Gekko

Comfort Systems USA insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Comfort Systems USA, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FIX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FIX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FIX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FIX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIX in Gekko

Buybacks

Comfort Systems USA has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$22.45M
As a share of market cap
0.04%
Trailing four quarters
$161.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold FIX.

0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Comfort Systems USA earnings: next date and track record

Comfort Systems USA reports on Oct 22, 2026 (32 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.1%Oct ’24−8.0%Feb ’25+11.7%Apr ’25+25.7%Jul ’25+24.1%Oct ’25+10.8%Feb ’26+0.1%Apr ’26−3.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Comfort Systems USA reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $3.3 billion (first quarter exceeding $3B), with EPS of $12.53, up 92% year-over-year. EBITDA surged 80% to $600 million, with trailing 12-month EBITDA reaching approximately $2 billion. Gross margins expanded to 25.9% from 23.5%. Backlog hit a record $14.1 billion. Hunt Electric acquisition adds ~$250 million annualized revenue.
Guidance
Management expects full-year 2026 same-store revenue growth in the mid-to-high 30% range, strong gross profit margins continuing, full-year effective tax rate of ~23%, and CapEx of approximately 5% of revenue. Strong results expected through remainder of 2026 and into 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$12.53
est $10.45
+19.9%$3.27B
est $2.99B
+9.2%−3.2%
Apr 23, 2026$10.51
est $6.81
+54.3%$2.87B
est $2.39B
+19.7%+0.1%
Feb 19, 2026$9.37
est $6.75
+38.8%$2.65B
est $2.34B
+13.2%+10.8%
Oct 23, 2025$8.25
est $6.29
+31.2%$2.45B
est $2.16B
+13.6%+24.1%
Jul 24, 2025$6.53
est $4.84
+34.9%$2.17B
est $1.97B
+10.3%+25.7%
Apr 24, 2025$4.75
est $3.66
+29.8%$1.83B
est $1.77B
+3.7%+11.7%
Feb 20, 2025$4.09
est $3.63
+12.7%$1.87B
est $1.77B
+5.6%−8.0%
Oct 24, 2024$4.09
est $3.97
+3.0%$1.81B
est $1.75B
+3.4%−10.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Comfort Systems USA stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Comfort Systems USA is $2,197.00, +33.0% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$2,197.00consensus 12-month target, +33.0% from the last close
Low $1,910High $2,500
Buy8
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15UBSBuy, maintained$2,225+34.7%
Aug 31OppenheimerBuy, maintained$2,400+45.3%
Aug 20D.A. DavidsonBuy, initiated$2,100+27.2%
Jul 27UBSBuy, maintained$2,225+34.7%
Jul 27KeyBancBuy, maintained$2,110+27.8%
+8.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Comfort Systems USA seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Comfort Systems USA averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+15.6%2021+1.6%2022−10.2%2023+10.2%2024+3.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+16.5%4 of 5

For scale, FIX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

Comfort Systems USA market cap and key statistics

Comfort Systems USA’s market cap is $58.12B, with a P/E ratio of 39.1 and revenue of $11.23B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$58.12B
P/E ratio
39.1
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$40.29
Gekko Fair Value
$1,581.47

Trading

Volume
827,796
Avg volume, 20 days
355,202
52-week high
$2,073.99
52-week low
$757.00
Shares outstanding
35.19M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$11.23B
Profit margin
12.8%
Return on equity
55.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+91.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.68
Typical daily move
±4.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
Dividend yield
0.16%

Comfort Systems USA stock news this week

Coverage of Comfort Systems USA this week reads positive: 4 positive, 0 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Comfort Systems USA peers

Comfort Systems USA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services+3.1%Accumulation6.0% above
FERFerrovial+0.8%Buying23.2% below
EMEEMCOR+2.6%Accumulation4.1% above
OTISOtis Worldwide−0.3%Accumulation16.0% below
MTZMasTec+1.8%Buying21.5% below
APGAPi+0.4%Accumulation0.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Comfort Systems USA stock FAQ

What is Comfort Systems USA’s market cap?

Comfort Systems USA’s market cap is $58.12B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,651.37, with 35.19M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.1.

What is the Comfort Systems USA stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Comfort Systems USA is $2,197.00, +33.0% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Comfort Systems USA stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Comfort Systems USA is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,651.37 is 4.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,581.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Comfort Systems USA report earnings next?

Comfort Systems USA is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (32 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $12.81 per share on revenue of $3.39B. Comfort Systems USA beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is Comfort Systems USA’s 52-week high and low?

Comfort Systems USA’s 52-week high is $2,073.99 and its 52-week low is $757.00; it closed at $1,651.37 on Sep 18, 2026, +116.5% over the past year.

Is Comfort Systems USA stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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