NYSE: FIX

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$1,091.31−193.82 (−15.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Comfort Systems USA rose 7.1% on 3 November with no single company announcement cited alongside the move, coming on the heels of its third-quarter 2026 results: sales of $3,766.3 million and net income of $489.04 million, EPS of $13.91 versus an estimate of $12.85. The company raised its quarterly dividend to $1.00 per share, announced a planned CFO transition, and reported a record $17.8 billion backlog, up $8.4 billion year over year, with mechanical and electrical segments posting double-digit service revenue gains and two acquisitions, Lewis Electrical and Neopod, expected to add over $100 million in annual revenue. Coverage framed this around data center and AI infrastructure demand, though Morningstar's newly initiated coverage flagged valuation concerns.

FIX closed at $1091.31, down 15.1%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $1536.63 and 200-day average of $1606.72, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 71.7, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price stands 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $1456.14.

The next earnings date is 18 February 2027, 105 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 30 days there has been 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $2,956,800 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.2% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Six analysts covering the stock rate it buy, with a consensus target of $1916.88.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Comfort Systems USA price vs fair value

$1,456$1,091Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $1,091.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,456.14

Comfort Systems USA quick facts

Market cap
$38.41B
P/E ratio
25.9
Forward P/E
18.3
EPS, TTM
$46.30
Revenue, TTM
$12.54B
Profit margin
13%
Dividend yield
0.24%
Beta
1.64
Volume
1.69M avg 646,642
1-year return
+11.6%
Typical daily move
±8.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
50-day average
$1,536.63
200-day average
$1,606.72
Next earnings
Feb 18
Shares outstanding
35.19M
52-week range
$841.66$2,073.99

Comfort Systems USA swing-trade checklist

Comfort Systems USA scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $1091.31 is below the 50-day ($1536.63) and 200-day ($1606.72) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.7, Buying

    Reading 71.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    25.1% below

    Price is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 105 days

    Next report Feb 18, 2027, 105 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Comfort Systems USA stock chart and price history

Comfort Systems USA closed at $1,091.31 on Nov 4, 2026, +11.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $841.66 to $2,073.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Comfort Systems USA share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$500$1500$2000DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct1091.31

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−40.0%
3 months
−36.3%
6 months
−45.7%
1 year
+11.6%
The full FIX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FIX in Gekko

Follow Comfort Systems USA through every session

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About Comfort Systems USA

Comfort Systems USA works on the mechanical and electrical systems that keep buildings running, taking on jobs that range from putting in new equipment to fixing, upgrading and swapping out what is already there. Its scope covers heating and cooling equipment, plumbing lines, wiring, piping, control systems, fire protection, and components built off-site before installation. The company has built a name around handling this kind of work across the full life of a building, not just at the construction stage.

It runs through two divisions, one focused on mechanical work and the other on electrical work, spanning both ground-up construction and the upkeep of buildings already in use. Services include planning, engineering and integrating these systems into new properties and getting them operational, as well as expanding, watching over and repairing them once a building is occupied. It also offers remote tracking of factors such as electricity consumption, temperature, air pressure, humidity and airflow within a building. Its client base includes those who own, develop, build, design or manage commercial, industrial and institutional properties.

The company dates back to 1917 and runs its operations from Houston, Texas. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker FIX.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Industrial services
Industry
Engineering & construction
Website
comfortsystemsusa.com

Comfort Systems USA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Comfort Systems USA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.7, in the Buying zone, up 3.2 points over five sessions.

010071.7Buying

Up 3.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)10−2.6%−4.7%+0.2%+29.1%
Accumulation134+2.0%+3.5%+4.6%+13.3%
Neutral450+1.8%+3.3%+7.3%+18.0%
Distribution92+0.7%+2.6%+6.7%+15.4%
Selling11+0.2%+4.4%+10.1%+35.8%

Average FIX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FIX price, zone by zone.Track FIX in Gekko

Is Comfort Systems USA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Comfort Systems USA trades 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,456.14, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Comfort Systems USA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$1,456.14

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

25.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$1,456$1,285Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FIX in Gekko

Comfort Systems USA insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Comfort Systems USA, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FIX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FIX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FIX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FIX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FIX in Gekko

Buybacks

Comfort Systems USA has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$337.9M
As a share of market cap
0.88%
Trailing four quarters
$470.2M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 21, $2.96M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold FIX.

0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Comfort Systems USA earnings: next date and track record

Comfort Systems USA reports on Feb 18, 2027 (105 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.0%Feb ’25+11.7%Apr ’25+25.7%Jul ’25+24.1%Oct ’25+10.8%Feb ’26+0.1%Apr ’26−3.2%Jul ’26−17.2%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Comfort Systems USA reported Q3 2026 EPS of $13.91, up $5.66 year-over-year. Backlog reached a record $17.8 billion, marking 8 consecutive sequential increases, with $8.4 billion more than prior year. Mechanical and Electrical segments both posted strong growth with double-digit service revenue gains. Two acquisitions (Lewis Electrical, Neopod) expected to contribute over $100 million in annual revenue. CFO Bill George announced retirement; Julie Shaeff promoted as successor.
Guidance
Management expects continuing growth and strong results for remainder of 2026 and into 2027, supported by solid bookings and strong demand. Quarterly dividend increased $0.10 to $1.00 per share.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 22, 2026$13.91
est $12.85
+8.2%$3.77B
est $3.40B
+10.7%−17.2%
Jul 23, 2026$12.53
est $10.45
+19.9%$3.27B
est $2.99B
+9.2%−3.2%
Apr 23, 2026$10.51
est $6.81
+54.3%$2.87B
est $2.39B
+19.7%+0.1%
Feb 19, 2026$9.37
est $6.75
+38.8%$2.65B
est $2.34B
+13.2%+10.8%
Oct 23, 2025$8.25
est $6.29
+31.2%$2.45B
est $2.16B
+13.6%+24.1%
Jul 24, 2025$6.53
est $4.84
+34.9%$2.17B
est $1.97B
+10.3%+25.7%
Apr 24, 2025$4.75
est $3.66
+29.8%$1.83B
est $1.77B
+3.7%+11.7%
Feb 20, 2025$4.09
est $3.63
+12.7%$1.87B
est $1.77B
+5.6%−8.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Comfort Systems USA stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Comfort Systems USA is $1,916.88, +75.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$1,916.88consensus 12-month target, +75.6% from the last close
Low $1,808High $2,100
Buy6
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$1,808+65.7%
Oct 26UBSBuy, maintained$1,900+74.1%
Oct 26KeyBancBuy, maintained$1,979+81.3%
Oct 26UBSBuy, reiterated$1,900+74.1%
Oct 26OppenheimerBuy, maintained$2,000+83.3%
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+6.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±8.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Comfort Systems USA seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Comfort Systems USA averaged +6.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.5%2021+3.3%2022+0.8%2023+27.0%2024−0.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+6.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+8.2%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.1%3 of 5

For scale, FIX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.4%.

Comfort Systems USA market cap and key statistics

Comfort Systems USA’s market cap is $38.41B, with a P/E ratio of 25.9 and revenue of $12.54B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$38.41B
P/E ratio
25.9
Forward P/E
18.3
EPS, TTM
$46.30
Gekko Fair Value
$1,456.14

Trading

Volume
1.69M
Avg volume, 20 days
646,642
52-week high
$2,073.99
52-week low
$841.66
Shares outstanding
35.19M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.54B
Profit margin
13%
Return on equity
58.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+68.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.64
Typical daily move
±8.9%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
Dividend yield
0.24%

Comfort Systems USA stock news this week

Coverage of Comfort Systems USA this week reads positive: 10 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Comfort Systems USA peers

Comfort Systems USA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PWRQuanta Services−7.4%Accumulation3.4% below
FERFerrovial−1.0%Neutral13.2% below
OTISOtis Worldwide+1.9%Neutral1.1% below
EMEEMCOR−4.6%Accumulation4.2% below
APGAPi−5.2%Neutral10.3% above
MTZMasTec−10.3%Accumulation21.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Engineering & construction

Comfort Systems USA stock FAQ

What is Comfort Systems USA’s market cap?

Comfort Systems USA’s market cap is $38.41B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,091.31, with 35.19M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.9.

What is the Comfort Systems USA stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Comfort Systems USA is $1,916.88, +75.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Comfort Systems USA stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Comfort Systems USA is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,091.31 is 25.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,456.14. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Comfort Systems USA report earnings next?

Comfort Systems USA is expected to report on Feb 18, 2027 (105 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $13.96 per share on revenue of $3.82B. Comfort Systems USA beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.6% on average across the report.

What is Comfort Systems USA’s 52-week high and low?

Comfort Systems USA’s 52-week high is $2,073.99 and its 52-week low is $841.66; it closed at $1,091.31 on Nov 4, 2026, +11.6% over the past year.

Is Comfort Systems USA stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Comfort Systems USA?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Comfort Systems USA over the last 30 days, with $2.96M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 21, 2026 with $2.96M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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